Axis Bank Share Price Outlook 2026: Analysis & Forecast

    Summary:


    Axis Bank reported ₹1,62,211.95 crore in FY26 revenue. Total assets are close to ₹18.89 lakh crore. The stock’s future performance will depend on book value growth, deposit growth, and valuation.

    Axis Bank Share Price Today: Live Quote and Key Metrics at a Glance

    Incorporated in December 1993, Axis Bank Limited is a private sector bank. It has the third-largest branch network among private sector banks.

    As of October 5, 2026, the stock price had declined 2.7% YTD, and the stock is trading at ₹1222.

    Key Metrics

    MetricAxis Bank
    Share Price₹1222
    Market Capitalisation₹3,79,778 crore
    52 Week High₹1418
    52 Week Low₹1131
    P/E Ratio13.7x
    P/B Ratio1.69x
    FY26 Revenue₹1,62,211.95 crore
    FY26 PAT₹26,493.82 crore
    Dividend Yield0.08%

    (Source: Company Annual Report, Screener)

    As of October 5, 2026, Axis Bank is trading at a P/E ratio of 13.7. Financial performance, operating margins, client relationships, and other business factors are relevant when assessing Axis Bank’s earnings and valuation.

    About Axis Bank: Business Model, Revenue Mix and Market Position

    Axis Bank is reported to be the third-largest private sector bank in India, offering financial services across retail banking, corporate and wholesale banking, and treasury operations.

    Headquartered in Mumbai and originally established in 1993 as UTI Bank, it operates a domestic and international network, with a digital-first approach and a unified “One Axis” business strategy.

    The Bank reported market shares of 36% in UPI, 37% in NEFT, and 27% in IMPS in digital payments during fiscal 2026.

    Interest Income

    FY26 Revenue MixContribution
    Retail Banking72%
    Wholesale Banking25%
    Commercial Banking3%
    Total100%

    (Source: Company Annual Report, BSE)

    Non Interest Income

    FY26 Revenue MixContribution
    Fee Income93%
    Trading Profit5%
    Miscellaneous income2%
    Total100%

    (Source: Company Annual Report, BSE)

    Axis Bank Financial Performance: Revenue, PAT and Margins (FY24 to FY26)

    Axis Bank reported the following financial figures during a period of varied demand conditions. The Bank Nifty index declined about 8.45% YTD, which has been linked to expectations of an increase in interest rates, FII outflows, and pressure on Net Interest Margin (NIM). Axis Bank reported revenue growth in FY25 and FY26, alongside reported profitability in both years.

    Financials (₹ crore)

     FY24FY25FY26
    Revenue from operations₹1,37,989.36 crore₹1,55,916.86 crore₹1,62,211.95 crore
    Revenue growth30%13%4%
    PAT₹26,423.54 crore₹28,111.74 crore₹26,493.82 crore
    PAT growth140%6%5.8% decline
    NIM4.07%3.98%3.69%

    (Source: Company Annual Report, BSE)

    The Banking Index traded at ₹54,633 as of the stated date. Axis Bank is trading 2.7% lower YTD at ₹1,222, compared with a 52-week high of ₹1,418.

    Revenue for Axis Bank increased from ₹1,37,989 crore in FY24 to ₹1,62,211 crore in FY26, while revenue growth moderated from approximately 30% in FY24 to 4% in FY26.

    Consolidated profit for the year moved from ₹26,423 crore in FY24 to ₹26,493 crore in FY26. PAT growth moved from 140% in FY24 to a 5.8% decline in FY26, while the Net Interest Margin (NIM) contracted from 4.07% in FY24 to 3.69% in FY26.

    Key Ratios: P/E, P/B, ROE, NIM, and Comparison with Sector Average

    Broader macroeconomic conditions and interest rate expectations have been linked to movements in the Axis Bank stock price. Axis Bank has traded at varying P/E multiples over time. With loan portfolio growth moderating, it currently trades at a P/E multiple that has shown less variation.

    The bank reported an ROE of 13.1% and an NIM of 3.69%, alongside a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.74x and a dividend yield of 0.08%.

    Key ratio (FY26/TTM)Axis Bank
    P/E13.7x
    P/B1.69x
    ROE13.1%
    NIM3.69%
    Dividend yield0.08%

    (Source: Company Annual Report, BSE, Screener)

    The bank is trading at a P/E of 13.7 and a P/B of 1.69. Book value growth relative to this valuation is a factor that may be tracked going forward.

    Axis Bank Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance and Moving Averages

    On a technical basis, the share price of Axis Bank has shown a pattern of lower highs and lower lows on a weekly time frame. A near-term support level has been noted at ₹1,150.

    A resistance level has been noted at ₹1300. A move beyond this level would represent a change from the current pattern of lower highs and lower lows.

    As of October 5, Axis Bank is trading below its short-term, medium-term, and long-term moving averages on the daily chart. On the weekly chart, the stock is trading below its 10-week and 30-week moving averages and above the 100-week moving average. The stock is trading near a support level of ₹1,222.

    Shareholding Pattern: Promoter, FII and DII Trend over 4 Quarters

    The shareholding pattern of Axis Bank has changed in recent quarters. Promoter holding declined from 8.16% to 7.87% between September 2025 and June 2026. FII holding declined from 41.89% to 39.91%, while DII holding remained little changed at 42.69% in June 2026.

    Public holding increased from 7.06% to 9.52% over the same period. Changes in foreign institutional holdings can be tracked alongside the stock’s valuation and the overall global environment.

    Shareholding PatternSep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
    Promoters8.16%8.15%8.14%7.87%
    FIIs41.89%42.58%42.04%39.91%
    DIIs42.87%42.65%43.35%42.69%
    Public & Others7.06%6.61%6.44%9.52%

    (Source: Screener)

    Peer Comparison within the Banking Sector

    The banking sector includes multiple companies operating across retail, corporate and wholesale segments. HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and SBI are direct peers of Axis Bank.

    Axis Bank reported market shares of 36% in UPI, 37% in NEFT, and 27% in IMPS for the fiscal year 2026. SBI reported total assets of ₹83.21 lakh crore for the fiscal year 2026. HDFC Bank reported total assets of ₹50 lakh crore, while ICICI Bank and Axis Bank reported total assets of ₹25 lakh crore and ₹18 lakh crore, respectively.

    The table below shows five stocks from the Nifty Bank index along with market capitalisation, 3-year sales and profit variance, and 3-year and 1-year returns (as of October 5, 2026).

    Stock NameMarket Cap (In ₹ cr)Sales Variance of 3YProfit Variance 3Y3-Year Return1-Year Return
    HDFC Bank10,88,861.3715.68%18.06%2.03% decline25.28% decline
    ICICI Bank9,44,256.3717.85%16.58%11.51%4% decline
    SBI8,86,892.0719.94%14.38%17.10%10.01%
    Kotak Mahindra4,14,727.1517.46%8.94%6.25%0.42% decline
    Axis Bank3,80,461.7820.59%34.58%6.73%3.06%

    (Source: Screener)

    The market cap of Axis Bank was roughly ₹3,80,461 crore as of October 5, 2026, with a P/E ratio of roughly 13.7. The stock recorded a 3-year return of roughly 6.73% and a 1-year return of roughly 3.06%.

    The bank reported a 3-year sales growth variance of roughly 20.59% and a 3-year profit growth variance of approximately 34%.

    Key Risk Factors

    1. Cost of Funds Pressure: Interest rate risk and deposit pricing are among the variables that influence net interest margins (NIM). If the cost of deposits rises faster than loan revenues, or if a bank offers higher-cost term deposits, NIMs can narrow.

    2. Growth in NPA: The NPA ratio is a key asset quality metric for a bank. An increase in non-performing assets can directly affect the bank’s profitability.

    3. Macroeconomic Risks and Geopolitics: Axis Bank’s participation in international and domestic trade networks means the firm is exposed to broader macroeconomic risk as well as global interest rate conditions that may affect credit demand and foreign institutional investment.

    Axis Bank Performance Data: Returns and Recent Results

    The stock recorded a return of 6.73% over 3 years and 3.06% over 1 year. The banking sector has faced industry-level pressures this year.

    The company reported growth in book value and revenue over the last five years. Axis Bank reported a strong performance for Q2 FY27, with net profit surging 38% year-on-year to ₹7,003 crore, driven by robust core operating growth. Net Interest Income (NII) increased by 12% YoY to ₹15,371 crore, yielding a Net Interest Margin (NIM) of 3.36%. The bank witnessed healthy credit expansion, with advances growing 23% YoY and total deposits rising 21% YoY. Asset quality improved notably, with the Gross NPA ratio declining to 1.16% and the Net NPA ratio dropping to 0.35%.

    The company’s business includes brand presence, a diversified portfolio, and established distribution channels.

    Axis Bank NIM, Slippages and Credit Cost Trend

    The bank faces interest rate risk and competition for deposits. If the cost of deposits rises above the returns on loans, or if the bank relies on higher-cost deposits to maintain liquidity, the bank’s NIM can be affected.

    The NIM for Axis Bank declined over the past three years from 4.07% in FY24 to 3.69% in FY26. This decline occurred alongside increases in revenue and deposits. Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decisions are a factor linked to the bank’s NIM.

    Asset quality metrics for the bank were GNPA at 1.23% (down 5 bps YoY) and NNPA at 0.37%.

    Citi Retail Portfolio Integration: Cost and Franchise Considerations

    The acquisition of Citibank’s India retail business by Axis Bank involved an upfront cost of about ₹11,603 crore, along with operational and technology costs of consolidating platforms and migrating employees. The acquisition gave Axis Bank entry into the premium retail segment without building the business from the beginning.

    In return for the payment, Axis Bank acquired a customer portfolio comprising approximately 2.5 million credit card users, deposit balances, and wealth management assets. The acquisition included an unsecured lending portfolio, personnel, and infrastructure, which support cross-selling opportunities and fee revenues.

    Axis Bank’s Position among the Big Four Private Banks

    Axis Bank ranks third among private banks by total assets, with HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank ranking first and second, respectively, and Kotak Mahindra Bank ranking fourth. Axis Bank reported total assets of ₹18.87 lakh crore and deposits of ₹13.36 lakh crore.

    By comparison, HDFC Bank reported total assets of ₹50 lakh crore, while ICICI Bank reported around ₹30 lakh crore in total assets. Axis Bank ranks fourth by market capitalisation at ₹3,80,461.78 crore, compared with HDFC Bank's ₹10,88,861.37 crore.

    Source:
     Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ), Axis Bank Annual Reports, BSE India, NSE India, Screener, TradingView

     

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    Published Date : 26 Oct 2026

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    Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



    This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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