Get Free Demat Account*
Open Your Free Demat Account
Enjoy low brokerage on delivery trades
By Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)
Trade Set Up for May 21: Nifty recovered over 260 points from the day’s low but stayed within its recent range. A close above 23,860 may signal strength, while 23,500 remains key support. For Sensex weekly expiry tomorrow, 74,350 to 74,400 will be an important support zone.
Source: Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)
On Wednesday, May 20, the Nifty 50 index opened with a gap down of nearly 160 points and briefly slipped below the 23,400 mark. However, the index recovered steadily through the session, supported by Reliance Industries, and closed above the 23,650 level. From the day’s low, the index recovered more than 260 points, signaling buying interest at lower levels.
The day’s price action resulted in the formation of a bullish bodied candle, but it remained within the range of the sizeable bearish candle formed on May 12. This shows that while buyers defended lower levels, the broader structure has still not broken out of its recent range. Over the last five sessions, the index has moved in an uneven manner, closing positive on alternate days. In fact, the Nifty has remained range bound for the last seven trading sessions.
The index tested its 8-EMA during the session but faced resistance near that level. Volumes were lower, while the index breadth remained largely neutral. The positive takeaway is that the Nifty has not formed a lower low. However, it has also not formed a higher high, which means the index is still waiting for a clear directional trigger.
This tight consolidation may not continue for long. The next two to three sessions could be important in deciding whether the index breaks higher or slips below its support zone.
Going ahead, the Nifty needs a decisive close above its 50-DMA, placed near 23,659, to strengthen the bullish bias. However, for the uptrend to resume, the index must close above 23,860 and form a higher high. Even then, the upside may not be smooth, as the 20-DMA is placed around 23,928 and could act as another hurdle.
On the downside, immediate support is seen near 23,500, followed by Wednesday’s low of 23,397. As long as the index holds above these support levels, it may attempt to move towards the upper end of the trading range.
The 14 period daily RSI remains below the 50 mark, while the hourly RSI is hovering around 50. Momentum is likely to improve only if the hourly RSI moves above 60. For now, there is no clear directional bias as the index continues to trade within a narrow range. A decisive breakout from the 23,262 to 23,860 range will be important for fresh directional trades.
The BSE Sensex also recovered smartly from the day’s low on Wednesday and ended with gains of 117.54 points, or 0.16%, at 75,318.39. From the intraday low, the index recovered nearly 760 points, reflecting strong buying from lower levels.
For the Sensex weekly expiry on May 21, immediate support is placed around 74,350 to 74,400. This zone is important as the upward rising trendline connecting the April low and the May 18 swing low is placed around this area. Below this, the next key support is at 74,134, which is the low of May 13.
A close below 74,134 would carry negative implications as it would confirm a breakdown from the recent trading range along with a breach of the rising trendline. On the upside, 75,500 will act as the immediate resistance, followed by 75,750. These levels should remain on the radar for the Sensex weekly expiry.
SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000006396).
Founded in 1986, Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ) brings decades of experience in India’s equity markets. DSIJ's research combines fundamental analysis with price action, guided by disciplined risk management and capital preservation. They follow a structured, data-driven approach designed to help investors and traders make informed decisions beyond short-term market noise.
Disclaimer :
Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing. This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.
The information on this website is provided on "AS IS" basis. Bajaj Broking (BFSL) does not warrant the accuracy of the information given herein, either expressly or impliedly, for any particular purpose and expressly disclaims any warranties of merchantability or suitability for any particular purpose. While BFSL strives to ensure accuracy, it does not guarantee the completeness, reliability, or timeliness of the information. Users are advised to independently verify details and stay updated with any changes.
The information provided on this website is for general informational purposes only and is subject to change without prior notice. BFSL shall not be responsible for any consequences arising from reliance on the information provided herein and shall not be held responsible for all or any actions that may subsequently result in any loss, damage and or liability. Interest rates, fees, and charges etc., are revised from time to time, for the latest details please refer to our Pricing page.
Neither the information, nor any opinion contained in this website constitutes a solicitation or offer by BFSL or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service.
BFSL is acting as distributor for non-broking products/ services such as IPO, Mutual Fund, Insurance, PMS, and NPS. These are not Exchange Traded Products. For more details on risk factors, terms and conditions please read the sales brochure carefully before investing.
Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited
This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing.
For more disclaimer, check here : https://www.bajajbroking.in/disclaimer
Level up your stock market experience: Download the Bajaj Broking App for effortless investing and trading