GIFT Nifty Down 546 Pts as US–Israel–Iran Tensions Rise


By Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)

Summary:


Indian markets are likely to open higher tracking global gains, despite escalating US–Israel–Iran tensions. GIFT Nifty signals a positive start, while Wall Street ended strong led by tech stocks. FIIs remained net sellers, even as DIIs bought equities. Investors will track Middle East developments, China’s growth target, commodities, and stock-specific triggers on Thursday.

GIFT Nifty Suggests Positive Start for Indian Markets

India’s benchmark indices, the Sensex and Nifty 50, are likely to start Thursday’s session on a positive note, tracking a strong rally in global markets amid upbeat US economic data. 

As of 7:31 am, GIFTY Nifty was trading around the 24,700 level, a premium of nearly 63 points from the Nifty futures’ previous close, indicating a positive start for the Indian stock market indices.

Asian markets posted sharp gains, while US equities closed higher overnight, supported by strength in technology stocks. South Korea’s Kospi index has jumped over 9%, Japan’s Nikkei is up by over 1,400 points. 

Also Read: IEX Feb ’26: Highest Daily Average Electricity Volume Touches 448 MU

Reliance Industries Ltd

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Updated - 05 March 2026
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What to Watch on March 5, 2026

US–Israel–Iran Conflict Escalates

Tensions in the Middle East have intensified sharply, with the United States and Israel stepping up coordinated military operations targeting Iranian power assets. US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed that an Iranian naval vessel was sunk in international waters, signaling a major escalation in the conflict.

Dollar Pauses Rally

The US dollar paused its recent strong rally. The dollar index eased to 98.78 against a basket of major currencies, retreating from a more than three-month high reached earlier in the week. 

China Sets 2026 Growth Target

China has set its 2026 economic growth target in the range of 4.5% to 5%, slightly below last year’s 5% expansion and marking its most modest growth goal since 1991. The country plans to maintain its budget deficit at around 4% of GDP this year, the same record level seen in 2025.

Stocks to Watch on Thursday: Gujarat Gas, BSE, Great Eastern Shipping, L&T and Others

The stock-specific actions are likely to continue, and here is the list of stocks to watch out for on Thursday, March 5, 2026.

Company

Trigger

Brief Details

Gujarat Gas

LNG shortage

Issued force majeure; gas supply cut from March 6 due to Middle East disruption.

BSE

SEBI nod

Cleared to launch Sensex Next 30 monthly F&O contracts.

Great Eastern Shipping

Vessel buy

Acquiring a 2014-built Kamsarmax bulk carrier; delivery by Q1 FY27.

Ramky Infrastructure

EPC order

Won ₹1,401.84 crore Dighi Port Industrial Area project.

Neogen Chemicals

Fundraise

Board to consider equity fundraise on March 7.

L&T

Middle East impact

Monitoring situation; stock fell 4.5% on BSE.

Aqylon Nexus

Stock split

10:1 split; trades ex-split.

Nexome Capital

Rights issue

Shares to trade ex-rights.

Stock in F&O Ban on March 5th

For today, Sammaan Capital and SAIL will remain on the F&O ban list.

Institutional Flows – FIIs and DIIs

On March 4, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers, having sold equities worth ₹8,752.65 crore. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs), on the other hand, bought shares totalling ₹12,068.17 crore during the same session.

FIIs have emerged as net sellers for the last 4 consecutive trading sessions. 

Wednesday’s Indian Stock Market Action

On Wednesday, the Indian stock market extended its slump as escalating US-Israel clashes with Iran lifted oil prices to a 19-month high, and stoked fears of a prolonged conflict.

The Sensex crashed 1,122.66 points, or 1.40%, to close at 79,116.19, while the Nifty 50 settled 385.20 points, or 1.55%, lower at 24,480.50.

Wall Street Closed Higher on Wednesday

US equities closed higher on Wednesday, with technology stocks leading the gains.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 238.14 points, or 0.49%, to finish at 48,739.41. The S&P 500 advanced 52.87 points, or 0.78%, to close at 6,869.50, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 290.79 points, or 1.29%, ending the session at 22,807.48.

Among major movers, Nvidia gained 1.66%, AMD jumped 5.82%, Microsoft added 0.31%, Amazon rallied 3.88%, and Tesla surged 3.44%. Apple, however, slipped 0.47%. In the energy sector, Exxon Mobil fell 1.3% and ConocoPhillips declined 2.42%. Meanwhile, Moderna shares soared 16% during the session.

US Private Payrolls Rise and Service Sector Activity 

Private sector hiring in the US recorded its strongest growth in seven months in February, according to ADP’s national employment report. Employers added 63,000 jobs during the month — the biggest increase since July 2025 — following a downwardly revised gain of 11,000 jobs in January. 

US service-sector activity accelerated more than expected in February, according to a report released on Wednesday by the Institute for Supply Management.

Commodities – Gold and Crude Oil 

Gold prices rose as the dollar declined and the war in the Middle East entered a sixth day with no sign of resolution. Spot gold price gained 0.6% to $5,172 an ounce, while silver price rose 0.88% to $84.27 an ounce.

Crude oil prices rose amid persistent worries about supplies because of the Middle East conflict. Brent crude oil price jumped 0.63% to $82 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rallied 0.88% to $75.83 a barrel.

Also Read: Gold Price Today in India

About the Author

SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000006396).


Founded in 1986, Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ) brings decades of experience in India’s equity markets. DSIJ's research combines fundamental analysis with price action, guided by disciplined risk management and capital preservation. They follow a structured, data-driven approach designed to help investors and traders make informed decisions beyond short-term market noise. 

Published Date : 05 Mar 2026

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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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