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Share Market Today | Gift Nifty Signals 100-Point Gap Up for Indian Markets

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Synopsis:

Today’s share market features a rise of Sona BLW by ₹2,400 crore via QIP at ₹675-700 per share. ICRA upgrades Vedanta to AA. India's credit card market to double in 5 years. Reliance awarded 10 GWh capacity. GAIL & IOC survey green hydrogen pipelines. FIIs net buy ₹975.46 crore.

Latest Market News

1. Sona BLW Precision Forgings likely to raise up to ₹2,400 crore via QIP at ₹675-700 per share

2. ⁠ICRA raises Vedanta's long-term credit rating to AA from AA- after successful placement

3. ⁠India's credit card market to hit 200 mn in 5 years, doubling growth in half the time

4. ⁠Ministry Of Heavy Industry awards 10 GWh capacity to Reliance Industries under the PLI ACC scheme

5. ⁠GAIL & IOC conducting a survey to transport Green Hydrogen via pipelines

6. ⁠FIIs net buy ₹975.46 crore and DIIs net buy ₹97.35 crore in equities

In-Depth Market Insights: Global Outlook, Derivatives & More

US Share Market News

  1. Performance Overview:

    • U.S. benchmark equity indexes ended mixed on Wednesday as traders analyzed the latest economic data and comments from a Federal Reserve official.

    • The US trade deficit widened at a less-than-projected rate in July as import growth outpaced that of exports, according to government data.

    • Still, the focus remains on Friday's nonfarm payrolls report.

  2. Sector-Specific Movements:

    • The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.3% to 17,084.3, while the S&P 500 fell 0.2% to 5,520.1. 

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up by 0.1% to 40,975. 

    • Energy saw the steepest decline among sectors, while utilities led the gainers.

  3. Economic Indicators:

    • In economic news, vacancies in the US fell to 7.67 million as of the last day of July from the previous month's downwardly revised 7.91 million print, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey. The Bloomberg estimates were 8.1 million for the same.

 

Other Asset Classes

  1. Treasury Yields:

    • The US two-year yield slumped 12.2 basis points to 3.77% Wednesday, while the 10-year rate dropped 8.5 basis points to 3.76%.

  2. Currency:

    • The dollar index measures against major peers fell marginally to 101.25.

  3. Commodities:

    • West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 2.1% to $68.85 a barrel Wednesday.

    • Brent crude oil futures fell by 1.4% to settle at $72.7 per barrel on Wednesday, reaching the lowest level since December 2023.

    • Gold rose 0.1% to $2,525.60 per troy ounce, while silver gained 0.7% to $28.55 per ounce.

Asian Markets

  1. General Trends:

    • Asia-Pacific markets mostly rebounded on Thursday from the sell-off a day ago, except markets in Japan.

  2. Specific Index Performance:

    • The Nikkei 225 and Topix fell 0.92% and 0.49%, respectively on open, shortly after the release of Japan's July wage data.

    • South Korea's Kospi rose 1.15%, while the small-cap Kosdaq was 0.75% higher.

    • Australia's S&P/ASX 200 climbed 0.48% ahead of the trade data release.

    • In contrast, Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 17,461, just marginally higher than the HSI's last close of 17,457.34.

India Market Outlook

  1. GIFT Nifty Projection:

    • Gift Nifty suggests a gap-up opening of 100 points for the Indian markets. 

    • Nifty spot after a positive opening is likely to consolidate in the broad range of 25,080 - 25,400.

  2. Market in Previous Session:

    • Indian benchmark indices mirrored global trends and closed in the red, with Nifty snapping its 14-day winning streak, ending below 25,200 due to broad-based selling across sectors, except for realty, FMCG, and pharma.

    • At the close of trading, the Sensex had dropped 202.80 points or 0.25% to 82,352.64, while the Nifty fell by 81.10 points or 0.32% to 25,198.70.

    • Due to weak global markets, Indian indices opened with a gap-down and traded in negative territory for the entire session. However, a recovery in the afternoon session helped to trim intraday losses.

    • On the sectoral front, FMCG, realty and pharma gained 0.5% each, while auto, bank, energy, IT, and metal were down by 0.4-1%.

  3. Nifty Short-Term Outlook:

    • The 14-day winning streak was finally broken yesterday. Going forward, the Index might consolidate between 25,080 and 25,350. A drop below 25,080 could trigger further correction towards 24800-24900; while a move beyond 25,350 might induce a rally toward higher levels and can hit fresh all-time highs.

    • Structurally such retracement of the rally is a normal phenomenon amid the bull market and offers an incremental buying opportunity. 

    • This movement suggests that the bulls are still maintaining their position, although consolidation may happen if global pressures continue to mount.

  4. Intraday Levels:

    • Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 25,380 followed by 25,420 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 25,080, followed by 25,000.

    • Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 51,750, followed by 51,900, while downside support is found at 51,250, followed by 51,080.

    • Fin Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 23,950, followed by 24,070, while downside support is found at 23,540, followed by 23,460.

Derivative Market Analysis

  1. Nifty:

    • For the weekly expiry, the highest Put OI addition is observed at the 25,000 level, which will serve as an immediate support level.

    • On the other hand, major Call OI is seen at the 25,300 level, while immediate Call OI addition has been noted at the 25,200 level.

    • As per the option chain analysis, the immediate range for Nifty is between 25,000 and 25,300. A break on either side of this range will likely result in a further directional move.

    • The Nifty Put-Call Ratio has declined by 0.12 and is now positioned at 1.08.

  2. Bank Nifty:

    • Accumulation of both Call and Put OI has been observed at the 51,500 level, making it a key level for the day.

    • If the price surpasses and sustains above 51,500, a directional movement toward 52,000 could be possible. However, if the price holds below 51,500, a correction toward the 51,000 level may occur.

    • According to option chain analysis, the broader range for Bank Nifty is between 51,000 and 52,000.

    • The Bank Nifty Put-Call Ratio has declined by 0.17 and is now positioned at 0.90.

Stay on top of the latest market news with Bajaj Broking’s insights. Our point-to-point expert analysis digs deep into the surface, empowering you with a unique perspective on domestic and global stock market events. Get all the current share market news, including US share market updates in one place and make wise investment decisions.

Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.

This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly is the stock market, and how does it work?

Answer Field

The stock market is a platform where investors buy and sell shares of publicly traded companies. It operates through stock exchanges, where supply and demand for securities determine prices.

Why should I consider investing in the stock market?

Answer Field

Investing in the stock market offers the potential for long-term wealth growth, dividend income, portfolio diversification, and ownership stakes in successful companies.

How can I start investing in the stock market?

Answer Field

To begin investing in stocks, individuals can open a brokerage account, conduct research on companies and industries, and start building a diversified portfolio aligned with their investment goals and risk tolerance.

What factors should I consider before investing in stocks?

Answer Field

Important factors to consider include investment goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, market research, diversification, and staying informed about economic and market trends.

What are the risks associated with stock market investments?

Answer Field

Risks include market volatility, liquidity risk, company-specific risks, and the potential for loss of capital. It's essential for investors to assess their risk tolerance and diversify their portfolios accordingly.

How do I stay informed about daily market happenings?

Answer Field

You can stay informed by monitoring financial news websites, market analysis reports, earnings announcements, economic indicators, and utilising real-time market data provided by reliable brokerage platforms.

What is the difference between long-term investing and trading in the stock market?

Answer Field

Long-term investing involves holding stocks for extended periods, typically years or decades, with a focus on capital appreciation and dividend income. Trading involves buying and selling stocks more frequently, often based on short-term price movements.

How can I mitigate risks in the stock market?

Answer Field

Risk mitigation strategies include diversifying your portfolio, setting stop-loss orders, conducting thorough research, avoiding over-leveraging, and maintaining a long-term perspective on investments.

Are there any specific tax implications associated with stock market investments?

Answer Field

Yes, tax implications vary depending on factors such as investment duration, type of account (e.g., taxable brokerage account, retirement account), and realised gains or losses from selling stocks.

Can I invest in the stock market with a small amount of capital?

Answer Field

Yes, many brokerage platforms offer fractional investing or allow investors to purchase partial shares, enabling individuals with limited capital to start investing in the stock market with smaller amounts.

What are government bonds in India, and how do they work?

Answer Field

Government bonds in India serve as a financing tool for public initiatives, provided by the government. Investors buy these bonds, receiving fixed interest payments. They are a reliable option, offering security and predictable returns.

What are the benefits of investing in government bonds compared to other investment options?

Answer Field

Government bonds offer safety and stability, ideal for risk-averse investors. Compared to equities, they provide predictable returns, helping in portfolio diversification. Additionally, they are less volatile, making them suitable for long-term financial planning.

How can I buy government bonds in India, and what are the steps involved in the purchasing process?

Answer Field

To understand how to buy government bonds in India, investors can participate in Reserve Bank auctions, purchase through brokers, or invest in GILT mutual funds. A Demat account is necessary, followed by transaction completion on selected platforms.

What are the different types of government bonds available for investment in India?

Answer Field

India offers several government bonds, including treasury bills, sovereign gold bonds, and long-term bonds. Each type has distinct tenures and interest rates, catering to different investment needs, from short-term liquidity to long-term stability.

How do I determine the best government bonds to invest in India based on my financial goals?

Answer Field

Choosing the best government bonds to invest in India depends on individual goals. Short-term bonds offer liquidity, while long-term bonds provide stability. Consider factors like maturity, interest rates, and inflation protection for tailored investment decisions.

What factors should I consider when evaluating government bonds for investment?

Answer Field

Key factors include interest rates, inflation trends, and bond maturity. Evaluating these aspects helps in aligning bond choices with financial goals, especially for conservative portfolios. GILT mutual funds diversify risks across multiple government bonds.

How can I invest in government bonds through the online platform or through a broker?

Answer Field

Investors can invest in government bonds via online platforms, brokers, or banks. Online options facilitate participation in auctions and secondary markets, offering a streamlined process for how to invest in government bonds conveniently.

What are the tax implications of investing in government bonds in India?

Answer Field

Interest from government bonds is taxed according to the investor’s income bracket. However, some bonds may offer tax benefits. Understanding these implications helps optimise returns when considering how to invest in government bonds.

Are there any risks associated with investing in government bonds in India?

Answer Field

Although government bonds are low-risk, they are subject to interest rate fluctuations and inflation, which can impact returns. Understanding these risks is essential when considering how to invest in government bonds effectively.

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