Markets start the week under pressure as global cues weaken sentiment. Rising yields, geopolitical tensions, and rupee weakness weigh on outlook. Nifty shows bearish trend with gap-down opening expected, while key support and resistance levels remain crucial for near-term direction.
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Global markets remained under pressure, with equities declining for a third consecutive session. Rising bond yields and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices elevated, leading to renewed concerns around inflation.
The ongoing conflict has now entered its fourth week, with no visible signs of easing. This has continued to weigh on investor sentiment across global markets.
Gift Nifty indicates a gap-down opening of around 300 points, reflecting weak global cues. For today’s session, the Nifty is expected to trade within the range of 22,650 to 23,330.
Market Recap: Previous Session
Benchmark indices ended higher on Friday but gave up a significant portion of their intraday gains. The primary reason was persistent weakness in the Indian Rupee, which impacted sentiment in the latter half of the session.
The USD/INR touched a fresh all-time high of 93.71, highlighting continued pressure on the domestic currency. Over the past four weeks, the pair has appreciated by 2.75%, and on a yearly basis, it has risen 8.75%.
At closing:
Sensex gained 325.72 points (0.44%) to settle at 74,532.96
Nifty rose 112.35 points (0.49%) to close at 23,114.50
Market breadth remained positive, with most sectors closing in the green.
Gainers: Telecom, IT, metals, pharma, and PSU banks (up 1–2%)
Laggards: Media, private banks, and realty
Midcap index rose 0.6%, showing continued participation
Small cap index remained flat, indicating muted activity
Nifty formed a Doji candle with a long upper shadow, indicating intraday volatility and strong selling pressure at higher levels.
The index continues to show a bearish trend in both the short and medium term, forming a pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
With today’s expected gap-down opening below last week’s low of 22,930, sustained weakness could push the index toward the next key support zone of 22,700–22,400.
While daily and weekly indicators are approaching oversold levels, confirmation from price action is still awaited. Until then, the bias remains negative.
Nifty:
Resistance: 23,190 | 23,330
Support: 22,780 | 22,650
Bank Nifty:
Resistance: 53,550 | 53,800
Support: 52,630 | 52,300
Asian markets also reflected weakness. Japan’s equity markets saw sharp declines, with:
Nikkei 225 falling 3.8%
Topix Index also down 3.8%
This marks growing caution across global equities amid continued geopolitical uncertainty.
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