Global equities surged as U.S.-Iran tensions eased, lifting risk sentiment. Indian markets opened lower but are poised for a gap-up. Nifty and Bank Nifty levels, sector performance, derivative trends, and major corporate developments highlight market direction.
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Global equities rebounded sharply on Monday after oil prices tumbled, following a signal from U.S. President Donald Trump indicating a pause in escalation by deferring planned strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure. In an early morning post on Truth Social, Trump noted that discussions with Tehran had been “very good and productive,” aiming for a “complete and total resolution” of the conflict. Any military action was delayed by five days. Iran, however, denied that such talks took place.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: +631 points (+1.38%) to 46,208.47
S&P 500: +74.52 points (+1.15%) to 6,581.00
Nasdaq Composite: +299.15 points (+1.38%) to 21,946.76
10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield: edged up 3 bps to 4.37%, reflecting a modest uptick in bond yields.
Gold: steadied above $4,400 per ounce after briefly touching a four-month low near $4,100.
Oil: Brent crude rose 2.5% to $102.50 per barrel on renewed supply concerns, amid conflicting statements from Iran and the U.S.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): inched up 0.19% to 99.33, showing mild dollar strength.
Japanese equities recovered after Monday’s sharp sell-off:
Nikkei: +0.7% to 51,884
Topix: +1.8% to 3,550, reflecting a broad-based recovery
The Gift Nifty suggests a gap-up opening for Indian markets, fueled by hopes of Middle East de-escalation. The Nifty spot is expected to trade in the 22,450–23,200 range.
On March 23, Indian equities ended sharply lower amid widespread selling:
Sensex: -1,836.57 points (-2.46%) to 72,696.39
Nifty: -601.85 points (-2.60%) to 22,512.65
Realty, Capital Goods, Consumer Durables, Metals, Telecom, PSU Banks: down 4–5%
Auto, Energy, Media, Private Banks, Oil & Gas: down ~3%
Midcap & Smallcap Indices: declined nearly 4% each
The Nifty formed a sizable bearish candle with lower highs and lower lows, signaling a continuation of the downtrend. Market volatility is expected to remain elevated due to uncertain global cues, rising crude prices, and geopolitical tensions.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 23,000 | 23,180
Support: 22,450 | 22,330
Scenario:
A sustained close above 23,862 may signal a pause in the downtrend.
Failure to break resistance may result in consolidation between 22,400–23,850.
Breach below 22,400 could extend the downside to 22,100–21,800.
The Nifty is opening gap-up today, rebounding from oversold conditions in daily and weekly oscillators, supported by hopes of Middle East de-escalation.
Bank Nifty – Intraday Levels
Resistance: 52,300 | 52,680
Support: 51,330 | 51,000
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