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Top Stories on 13th February


In the United States, household leverage expanded sharply in Q4 2025, with total household debt rising by +$191 billion to a record $18.8 trillion. Since January 2020, aggregate household debt has increased by +$4.6 trillion. The latest surge was primarily driven by mortgage debt, which climbed +$98 billion to $13.2 trillion. Meanwhile, credit card balances rose +$44 billion to an all-time high of $1.3 trillion, auto loans increased +$12 billion to $1.7 trillion, and student loan balances edged up +$11 billion to $1.7 trillion — all at record levels, underscoring persistent consumer credit expansion.

At the same time, trade diplomacy gained momentum. The United States and Taiwan finalized a landmark reciprocal trade agreement, lowering tariff rates to 15% from 20%. Signed in Washington under the auspices of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) and the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office (TECRO), the pact signals deeper strategic alignment and sets the stage for billions of dollars in fresh investments across energy and technology sectors.

Meanwhile,  Russia is evaluating a potential return to the US dollar settlement system as part of a broader economic alignment proposal involving fossil fuels, natural gas, offshore oil and critical raw materials, reflecting a possible shift in economic engagement strategies as per the report.

In Europe, the U.K. economy recorded modest growth in December 2025, with GDP expanding by 0.1% MoM, slowing from the revised 0.2% in the prior month. The moderation keeps pressure on the Bank of England to continue monetary easing as growth momentum remains fragile despite temporary boosts such as the recovery in auto production.

Turning to China, policy efforts to stabilize the crisis-hit property market are showing gradual traction. State-owned enterprises have begun acquiring foreclosed housing projects, signaling a measured attempt to absorb excess supply.

Concurrently, Beijing softened its stance on electric vehicle trade negotiations, allowing domestic EV manufacturers to engage independently with the European Union after Volkswagen secured a tariff reprieve for a China-made SUV model. This marks a pragmatic shift in China’s approach to resolving trade frictions with Brussels.

On the domestic front, *India’s headline CPI inflation for January stood at 2.75% YoY, marking the first release under the new CPI series (Base: 2024=100). The revised weighting structure is expected to reduce sensitivity to food price volatility and be more representative of the consumption basket. The new series food inflation surged sharply to 2.11% from a negative print in Dec 2025 suggesting constituents are driving an upside to food inflation. However, core inflation dropped to 3.4% from 4.6% in Dec 2025 in old series-  clearly suggesting a downside to core inflation in the new series.

Encouragingly, trade negotiations are also progressing for India. Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal indicated that India may secure zero-duty textile access to the US, similar to concessions granted to Bangladesh, with a deal expected by end-March.

In parallel, the commerce ministry is set to operationalize eight components of the Rs 25,060-crore Export Promotion Mission, spanning e-commerce, factoring services and warehousing. The mission operates under two integrated sub-schemes — Niryat Protsahan (financial enablers) and Niryat Disha (non-financial enablers) — aimed at strengthening India’s export competitiveness.

Asian market

Asian markets opened mostly lower today followed by the US market after fears about artificial intelligence disruption in the U.S. sent the S&P 500 to a third straight day of losses.

Other Asset Class

* The US 10Y yield fell 8.1 basis points to 4.11%, marking its biggest decline since October 10 and its fifth drop in the past six sessions.

* WTI crude futures were largely unchanged at $62.85 per barrel, while Brent crude futures held steady at $67.53 per barrel.

* Gold was trading near $4,950/oz, while silver was trading near 76.5$/oz.

* (DXY) Dollar index was little changed at 96.93.

* The Indian rupee gained 0.1% against the U.S. dollar to 90.59.

* The benchmark 10-year bond yield declined over 2 basis points to 6.6833%.

* Bitcoin is down about 1.7% from yesterday’s close. trading near $66420

Economic Calendar – 13.02.2026

* EURO Flash GDP q/q (Expected: 0.3% versus Previous: 0.3%)

* U.S. CPI m/m (Expected: 0.3% versus Previous: 0.3%)

FII DII data on 12 February 2026 (Rs in Cr)

FII: +108.42

DII: +276.85

Stock ban in F&O: SAIL, SAMMAANCAP
 

Stocks In The News


Infosys: The company expands its partnership with ExxonMobil to develop AI infrastructure and data center immersion fluids.

CESC: Company's arm, Purvah Green Power, receives a Letter of Award from the Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI) for wind power projects.

NATCO Pharma: The company plans to incorporate a subsidiary in Chile with an investment of $300,000 and appoints Amit Parekh as the chief financial officer.

REC: The company will transfer its Project SPV, Bellary Davanagere, to Power Grid for Rs 13 crore.

PFC: The management confirms the entity will remain a government company post-REC merger and sees no material constraints in bank borrowings.

J Kumar Infra: The company secures a Rs. 616 crore order from NBCC India for redevelopment works in New Delhi.

eMudhra: The company enters into a pact with LankaPay to build Sri Lanka's national digital signature ecosystem.

HCC: The company's JV secures a Rs. 578 crore railway contract from the Northeast Frontier Railway.

GAIL India: The company appoints Deepak Gupta as the chairman and managing director with a tenure through Feb. 28, 2029.

AU Small Finance Bank: RBI approves the re-appointment of Sanjay Agarwal as the MD and chief executive officer for a period of three years.

Capital India: Shareholders approve the appointment of Surender Rana as the Whole-time Director and Executive VC.

Dynamic Cables: The company launches PVC Insulated Green Building Wires.

Shriram Properties: The company's arm resolves a commercial dispute with the West Bengal government by conveying 42.4 acres of land at Uttarpara.

Neogen Chemicals: The company receives an additional Rs 60 crore insurance claim for the March 2025 Dahej fire, taking total receipts to Rs 140 crore.

WeWork India Management: Bombay HC disposes of a petition against the company's IPO following an unconditional withdrawal by the petitioner.

Hexaware Tech: The company enters into a pact with CareInsight to accelerate AI-driven healthcare transformation.

Onix Solar: The company will raise Rs 250 crore via a rights issue of 45.8 lakh shares at Rs 546 per share, with Feb.18 as the record date.

Rajesh Power: The company enters into a joint venture pact with VITS Total Power Solutions to form a new JV entity.

NIIT Learning: Company's arm, MST Holding GmbH, has decided to undergo voluntary dissolution.

Tasty Bites Eatables: The company's chairman Mr. Pradeep Poddar has resigned.

Godawari Power: The company gets environment conservation board's nod to expand Chhattisgarh plant capacity.
 

Quarterly Earnings


Coal India Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit falls 15.6% to Rs 7,166 crore Vs Rs 8,491.2 crore

Revenue declines 5.2% to Rs 34,924.2 crore Vs Rs 36,858.6 crore

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit grows 22.6% to Rs 11,946.4 crore Vs Rs 9,746.5 crore

Revenue rises 0.1% to Rs 1,67,422.9 crore Vs Rs 1,67,212.6 crore

Other income zooms 37% to Rs 3,307.5 crore Vs Rs 2,414.8 crore

Board declares interim dividend of Rs 6.25 per equity share

Hindalco Industries Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit sinks 45.1% to Rs 2,049 crore Vs Rs 3,735 crore

Revenue soars 13.9% to Rs 66,521 crore Vs Rs 58,390 crore

Exceptional loss stands at Rs 2,610 crore Vs loss of Rs 41 crore

Indraprastha Gas Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit surges 20.6% to Rs 393.8 crore Vs Rs 326.6 crore

Revenue grows 8.3% to Rs 4,067.5 crore Vs Rs 3,754.9 crore

Biocon Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit zooms nearly 6-fold to Rs 143.8 crore Vs Rs 25.1 crore

Revenue rises 9.2% to Rs 4,173 crore Vs Rs 3,821.4 crore

Exceptional loss stands at Rs 293.4 crore Vs gain of Rs 18.1 crore

Indian Hotels Company Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit spikes 50.9% to Rs 954.2 crore Vs Rs 632.5 crore

Revenue grows 12.2% to Rs 2,842 crore Vs Rs 2,533 crore

Honasa Consumer Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit surges 92.9% to Rs 50.2 crore Vs Rs 26 crore

Revenue jumps 16.2% to Rs 601.5 crore Vs Rs 517.5 crore

Muthoot Finance Q3 (Standalone YoY)

Profit zooms 94.9% to Rs 2,656.4 crore Vs Rs 1,363.1 crore

Revenue soars 64.1% to Rs 4,467.1 crore Vs Rs 2,721.4 crore

PI Industries Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit declines 16.5% to Rs 311.3 crore Vs Rs 372.7 crore

Revenue falls 27.6% to Rs 1,375.7 crore Vs Rs 1,900.8 crore

Exceptional gains stand at Rs 105.1 crore Vs Nil

Travel Food Services Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit jumps 35.7% to Rs 132.7 crore Vs Rs 97.7 crore

Revenue grows 11% to Rs 456.2 crore Vs Rs 410.9 crore

Engineers India Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit spikes 219.3% to Rs 347.2 crore Vs Rs 108.7 crore

Revenue jumps 58.3% to Rs 1,210.2 crore Vs Rs 764.6 crore

Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit grows 15.6% to Rs 394.3 crore Vs Rs 341.1 crore

Revenue soars 18.4% to Rs 1,449.5 crore Vs Rs 1,224.7 crore

Petronet LNG Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit falls 3.6% to Rs 869.6 crore Vs Rs 901.7 crore

Revenue declines 8.7% to Rs 11,163.8 crore Vs Rs 12,226.9 crore

Puravankara Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit stands at Rs 58.3 crore Vs loss of Rs 92.6 crore

Revenue zooms 236% to Rs 1,069.3 crore Vs Rs 318.2 crore

Vedant Fashions Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit slips 14.6% to Rs 134.9 crore Vs Rs 158 crore

Revenue declines 3.8% to Rs 491.7 crore Vs Rs 511.3 crore

Endurance Technologies Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit soars 20.2% to Rs 221.6 crore Vs Rs 184.4 crore

Revenue zooms 26.2% to Rs 3,608.2 crore Vs Rs 2,859.2 crore

Deepak Nitrite Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit rises 1.7% to Rs 99.8 crore Vs Rs 98.1 crore

Revenue grows 3.8% to Rs 1,975 crore Vs Rs 1,903.4 crore

Other income declines to Rs 8.5 crore Vs Rs 21 crore

Exceptional loss stands at Rs 12.8 crore Vs Nil

Hindustan Construction Company Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit stands at Rs 8 crore Vs loss of Rs 38.9 crore

Revenue falls 8% to Rs 925.3 crore Vs Rs 1,006.8 crore

Fine Organic Industries Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit drops 10.6% to Rs 73.9 crore Vs Rs 82.7 crore

Revenue rises 7.3% to Rs 554.8 crore Vs Rs 516.8 crore

Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit surges 84.2% to Rs 36.4 crore Vs Rs 19.8 crore

Revenue zooms 56% to Rs 525.5 crore Vs Rs 336.9 crore

Schneider Electric Infrastructure Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit falls 12.2% to Rs 97 crore Vs Rs 110.5 crore

Revenue jumps 20.1% to Rs 1,029.2 crore Vs Rs 857.2 crore

Exceptional loss stands at Rs 24.58 crore Vs gain of Rs 17.65 crore

Cohance Lifesciences Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit plunges 76% to Rs 36.7 crore Vs Rs 153.1 crore

Revenue declines 19.5% to Rs 544.6 crore Vs Rs 676.2 crore

Mishra Dhatu Nigam Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit grows 8.3% to Rs 27.6 crore Vs Rs 25.5 crore

Revenue jumps 15.8% to Rs 275.6 crore Vs Rs 238 crore

Tega Industries Q3 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit tanks 63.7% to Rs 19.7 crore Vs Rs 54.2 crore

Revenue drops 1.4% to Rs 403.7 crore Vs Rs 409.3 crore
 

Fund Houses Recommendations


Jefferies On Petronet LNG

Recommendation - Underperform 

Target ₹200

Earlier Target ₹225

December-25 Review: Weak print; Capital allocation worry

Capacity expansion at Dahej by March 26 has little committed offtake as of now

Progress on PDHPP project has been slow

Proceeding with LNG terminal on the East Coast where it faces stiff competition

Cut FY26-27E Ebitda 8%/6% on the miss and lower marketing margins
 

MS on Bharti Airtel 

Like for its strong execution & free cash flow generation

MS team believe industry repair phase rising ARPUs will continue, reaffirmed by recent developments around improving monetization in tariff plans

They expect ARPUs to grow by mid-single digits (even without any further tariff support post 2026).

Team sees EBITDA rising by high-single to low-double digits for mobile wireless business, & 14% for overall India biz 

Believe India is in a sweet spot in terms of capex cycle.

Core India (ex passive infra) one-year forward EV/ EBITDA multiple is 14x.

Premium multiples are likely to be sustained over the next 12 months as return ratios for core business likely reach 20% by F2028.
 

Goldman Sachs On HUL

Target Price ₹2750

Earlier Target ₹2800

Recommendation Buy

Q3: Gradual recovery ahead, multiple strategic initiatives

Home care growth likely to accelerate, as pricing growth likely to turn positive

Encouraging recovery in foods

Makes major changes to organization structure to drive speed and innovation
 

JPMorgan on IT Sector

Al fears driving a sharp correction

IT firms remain the plumbers of the technology world

Advances such as Claude code's Cowork plugin can meaningfully accelerate complex task

Agentic Al can write a lot more software

Definitely foresee partnerships among Al tool firms and IT Services firms that can create several new areas of work

Al will be another tool to address more work with the same budget like offshore labor, enterprise software, cloud have been in the past

Reverse DCF suggests that stocks bake in 4% terminal growth at current prices with no short term acceleration

Only case with >30% further downside is companies hit 0 terminal growth with no growth hereafter

Both these scenarios appear overly pessimistic to us given the new Al work streams emerging and the likely cyclical recovery

FCF/Div yields scream deep value and are crossing levels prior seen during market dislocation events such as GFC and COVID

Take a barbell approach to buy deep value in large caps

Overweight on INFOSYS, TCS, Persistent and Sagility
 

Goldman Sachs On Hindustan Aeronautics

Target Price ₹5255

Recommendation Neutral

Q3FY26 Results Review: Balanced risk-reward

Execution of Tejas Mk-1A order to be closely tracked

Margins impacted by higher than expected employee cost

Robust order book is comforting; waiting for the pick-up in executioncontinue to get closer to the customer - handling the cargo end-to-end

Despite a higher container mix, and better returns, trades at a discount to JSW Infra
 

Bernstein on Adani Ports

Maintain Outperform with target price of Rs 1,747

Adani Ports: Logistics the next growth engine

Adani Ports continues to be among top 3 preferred stocks

Remain watchful of developments in US and Mundra extension, but on fundamentals the company is on solid ground

They are already handling ~50% of containers coming/going out of India

Have grown volume at 15% CAGR last 10 years

Now they plan to handle them for longer-deeper in the supply chain

This we think will drive strong pricing power in the long term, as they continue to get closer to the customer - handling the cargo end-to-end

Despite a higher container mix, and better returns, trades at a discount to JSW Infra
 

Jefferies on Muthoot Finance

Maintain Buy; Hike target price to Rs 4750 from Rs 4500

Q3: Profit beat; Strong earnings momentum continues

Q3 PAT growth led by interest income write backs

Standalone AUM grew 51% year-on-year, but missed estimate due to lower LTV and quarter-on-quarter dip in tonnage

Core NIMs fell quarter-on-quarter; opex/ AUM & credit cost surprised positively

Strong gold prices, LTV buffer, easing of branch expansion norms should support healthy AUM growth

Steady NIMs, lower opex/ AUM & credit costs should drive 17% EPS CAGR, 25%+ ROE over FY26-28
 

Morgan Stanley On Indian Hotels

Target Price ₹780

Recommendation Equal-weight

Q3 - In-line Quarter; RevPAR growth picks up in Q4

Company seeing double-digit growth so far in Q4

Beyond RevPAR, top-line growth will also be driven by management fees, new business and recent acquisitions

IHCL is well run franchise, with sector leading ROCE

Limited valuation headroom keeps us Equal-weight
 

Jefferies On Hindalco

Target Price ₹890

Earlier Target ₹855

Recommendation Hold

Weak December quarter and novelis concerns

India business witnessed weaker-than-expected performance of aluminum business

Raise FY27-28 EPS by 6% on higher aluminum prices

Concerned on multiple fire incidents clouding Novelis' operational outlook as well as rising debt levels
 

Citi On Bharat Forge

Target Price ₹930

Recommendation Sell

Q3FY26 results below estimates; Outlook is very positive

Management is optimistic about exports as well as domestic segments

Management is very positive about defence segment and expects 30-40% year-on-year growth in FY27

Remain cautious as defence order execution has been delayed

Valuations adequately price-in the positives but provide little room for error
 

Disclaimer: This content has been sourced from multiple news platforms and is published for informational purposes only. Bajaj Broking is not affiliated with, nor does it endorse, or assume any responsibility for, the original source material. Readers are advised to consult the original publication for complete and accurate context.

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Published Date : 13 Feb 2026

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Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing. This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.


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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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