Market Snapshot by Bajaj Broking

    MARKET SNAPSHOT

    Top Stories 30th June
     

    • The Japanese yen weakened to its lowest level against the US dollar since 1986, touching 161.96 per dollar despite stronger-than-expected economic data. Retail sales rose 5.3% in May, the fastest pace since November 2023, reinforcing expectations of further Bank of Japan rate hikes. However, the wide US-Japan interest rate differential and expectations of additional Federal Reserve tightening continued to keep the yen under pressure ahead of the BOJ's July 31 policy meeting.

    • In the US, the Supreme Court upheld the Federal Reserve's institutional independence by refusing to allow President Donald Trump to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook. In a 5-4 ruling, the court blocked the dismissal for now, preserving the central bank's autonomy even as it expanded presidential authority in a separate landmark judgment.

    • Meanwhile, political developments in the UK remained in focus. Andy Burnham, widely expected to succeed Keir Starmer as Prime Minister, reaffirmed his commitment to Labour's 2024 manifesto and fiscal rules, stating that his economic agenda would support growth without jeopardising public finances.

    • Separately, a survey by the Asia Securities Industry & Financial Markets Association (ASIFMA) and KPMG showed that global financial firms are increasingly prioritising expansion in South Korea while adopting a more cautious approach towards China and India. Firms are also focusing on expanding existing operations and broadening product offerings across a narrower set of Asian markets.

    • On the domestic front, the government has withdrawn restrictions on the retail sale of petrol and diesel for commercial users with effect from July 1, citing improved energy supply conditions. The petroleum ministry said the temporary regulatory measures introduced on June 12 were no longer required in the public interest.

    • India's industrial activity also gathered pace, with industrial output growth accelerating to a five-month high of 5.1% YoY in May from 4.9% YoY in April. The improvement was led by the electricity and gas segment, which expanded 9.9%, compared with 4.6% in the previous month. Within the sector, renewable electricity generation surged 18%, while non-renewable generation increased 8.8% and overall electricity output rose 11%.

    • Further supporting the infrastructure push, the Union Cabinet approved an additional Rs 30,000 crore investment in the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF), doubling the Centre's total commitment to Rs 60,000 crore. The fresh capital will be deployed towards launching NIIF Infrastructure Fund II, which targets a corpus of Rs 30,000 crore.

    • Further strengthening energy security, India is moving ahead with five new strategic petroleum reserve projects across Odisha, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Karnataka. Once completed, the expansion could increase the country's strategic crude oil storage capacity to nearly 40 days of consumption.

    • On the trade front, India has urged the European Union to exempt it from proposed restrictions on metal scrap exports, warning that the measures could disrupt raw material supplies, raise production costs, and impact the domestic steel and aluminium industries. Under the EU's revised Waste Shipment Regulation, exports of non-hazardous waste, including recyclable metal scrap, to non-OECD countries will be prohibited from May 2027 unless approved by November 2026.

    • In another bilateral development, India and Saudi Arabia signed a Memorandum of Understanding to strengthen cooperation in water resource management. Signed during Saudi Water Week in Jeddah, the agreement aims to enhance collaboration in sustainable water management, irrigation systems, and capacity building.

    • Asian markets opened higher today, tracking gains on Wall Street overnight. Last night in the US, all three major indices closed on the higher end after a pause in hostilities between the U.S. and Iran lifted sentiment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to a fresh record close, powered by Alphabet.

    Other Asset Class

    • U.S. 10Y Treasury Yield: Eased down fractionally ahead of the upcoming manufacturing data slate, tracking lower by -0.4 bps (-0.09%) to trade at 4.372%.

    • India 10Y Bonds (IN10Y): Yield structures compressed significantly into global fixed-income flows, tumbling -1.9 bps (-0.28%) to settle at 6.755%.

    • Dollar Index (DXY): Consolidated its upper macro trading boundaries against global peers, creeping up +10.2 bps (+0.10%) to print at 101.213.

    • Spot Gold (XAUUSD): Suffered notable profit booking as geopolitical safe-haven premiums compressed, sliding 1.03% (-$41.285) to hover at $3,975.670 per ounce.

    • International Brent Crude (UKOIL): Held soft near its lower bands, ticking down a marginal 0.19% (-$0.14) to sit at $73.44 per barrel as desks play the Doha stand-down updates.

    • USD/INR: Indian Rupee appreciated by 13 bps and locked at 94.35.

    • Bitcoin (BTCUSD): Handed back minor baseline structure overnight, easing 0.68% (-$409) to trade down near the 59,755 block.

    Economic Calendar on 30-06-2026

    • UK Q1 GDP data

    Stocks in Ban

    • NIL

    FII DII Activity Data as on 29-06-2026 (Rs in Cr)

    • FII: -1350

    • DII: +2801
       

    Stocks to Watch

    HDFC Bank:
    The Board has approved the appointment of Rajiv Kumar as an Additional Director (Independent Director) of HDFC Bank for a period of four years, effective June 30. He has also been appointed as the Part-time Chairman of the bank, subject to RBI approval.

    • Axis Bank: Puneet Sharma has resigned as the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of the bank, effective August 31, to pursue the next phase of his professional journey.

    • Bandhan Bank: Rajeev Mantri has resigned as the CFO of the bank, effective September 25, to pursue another opportunity from a career growth perspective.

    • Engineers India: Atul Gupta, Director (Commercial), has been appointed as the Chairman & Managing Director of Engineers India by the Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas. He assumed charge as the CMD of the company with effect from June 29.

    • SIS: The Board has approved a proposal to undertake a share buyback of up to Rs 120 crore, marking its fifth buyback since the company's listing in August 2017.

    • Crest Ventures: The company, through its wholly owned subsidiary Sutlej Housing (SHPL), has registered a Development Agreement with Prafulla Co-operative Housing Society, one of the constituent societies within a large-scale cluster redevelopment project located in Dadar, Mumbai.

    • Yes Bank: The Board has approved raising up to Rs 7,500 crore through the issuance of equity securities and up to Rs 8,500 crore through the issuance of debt securities.

    • RITES, Container Corporation of India: RITES has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Container Corporation of India (CONCOR) to collaborate on project management consultancy (PMC) services, covering projects from concept to commissioning for the development and improvement of CONCOR's terminals and establishments.

    • Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy: The company, in a 50:50 joint venture with Hassan Allam Construction (one of the leading contractors in Egypt and the MENA region), has secured an order worth approximately $560 million for the West Minya Solar Power Project in Minya Governorate, Egypt.

    • Afcons Infrastructure: The Board has recommended a final dividend of Rs 2 per share for FY25-26. The company has fixed July 23 as the record date for determining the entitlement of shareholders to receive the proposed dividend, if declared at the 50th Annual General Meeting.

    • Juniper Hotels: Tarun Jaitly has resigned from the position of Chief Financial Officer of the company to pursue a new opportunity outside the company. His resignation will be effective from July 15.

    • Jagsonpal Pharmaceuticals: The company has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire an 85 percent equity stake in Aequitas Healthcare, a Mumbai-based pharmaceutical company primarily focused on the sale and distribution of pharmaceutical products to hospitals, for Rs 20.8 crore.

    • SJVN: SJVN has signed Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam (GUVNL) for the supply of power from its upcoming hydroelectric projects in Himachal Pradesh—66 MW Dhaulasidh HEP, 210 MW Luhri Stage-I HEP, and 382 MW Sunni Dam HEP.
       

    Fund Houses Recommendations
     

    KOTAK SECURITIES ON AUTO SECTOR

    • Delhi contributed 2.6% of pan-India 2W volumes in FY26.

    • Scooter penetration is already at 20%+ and motorcycle electrification remains nascent.

    • Believe motorcycle-heavy OEMs – Hero Moto & Royal Enfield - are at a disadvantage.

    • From a 3W perspective, electrification would be easier to achieve.

    KOTAK SECURITIES ON APOLLO TYRES

    • Target Price: ₹450

    • Earlier Target: ₹410

    • Recommendation: Add

    • Corrective actions in play; profitability recovery from H2FY27.

    • Steady recovery taking shape in the domestic business.

    • Commodity correction plus pricing action should aid profitability.

    • Increase FY27-29E consolidated EBITDA estimates by 1-7%.

    INVESTEC ON CROMPTON CONSUMER

    • Target Price: ₹410

    • Recommendation: Accumulate

    • Focus on accelerating revenue growth.

    • Gaining market share in its core categories.

    • Scaling up Solar/Wires businesses.

    • Continuing to expand TAM by entering new categories.

    • Current valuations look attractive.

    CITI ON AUTO SECTOR

    • Delhi EV Policy passed by the State Cabinet.

    • Execution would also be tough given Delhi's porous borders with Haryana and UP.

    • Delhi contributed 5% to all-India PV sales, 3% to 2W sales, and 2% to 3W sales in FY26.

    • Delhi 3Ws contribute <3% of IGL's overall volumes.

    • New Delhi EV policy will certainly help reduce pollution.

    GOLDMAN SACHS ON PAGE INDUSTRIES

    • Target Price: ₹48000

    • Earlier Target: ₹45000

    • Recommendation: Accumulate

    • Another price hike taken in May; volume growth momentum likely to sustain.

    • Volume growth recovery is led by structural factors.

    • Signs of improvement in EBO experience bode well for the long term.

    • Online channel continues to see healthy growth.

    MORGAN STANLEY ON PRESTIGE

    • Target Price: ₹1920

    • Recommendation: Overweight

    • Big jump in IP income in FY29.

    • Strong sell-through continues.

    • According to PROPEQUITY, in the first two months of Q1, Prestige pre-sales was Rs 6300 cr.

    • Expect rents to go up further.

    • Hospitality listing could wait for the new Aerocity hotel with 778 keys to be completed.

    MACQUARIE ON PIDILITE

    • Target Price: ₹1250

    • Recommendation: Underperform

    • Constructive near-term outlook.

    • Limited demand impact from price increases.

    • Limited impact on demand despite price hikes.

    • Reiterating 20-24% margin range.

    • Focus on volume growth improvement.

    HSBC ON M&M

    • Target Price: ₹4200

    • Recommendation: Accumulate

    • EV penetration in 4Ws surged in recent weeks, driven by concerns over the fuel price outlook.

    • Think the medium-term outlook (FY30-32) for EV penetration remains, at best, in the mid-teens.

    • OEM margins are likely to be healthy in FY27/28, thanks to PLI, and then fall in FY29.

    Disclaimer: This content has been sourced from multiple news platforms and is published for informational purposes only. Bajaj Broking is not affiliated with, nor does it endorse, or assume any responsibility for, the original source material. Readers are advised to consult the original publication for complete and accurate context.

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    Bajaj Broking

    Published Date : 30 Jun 2026

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    Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



    This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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