Gold, Silver and Oil Fall as Market Sentiment Shifts


By Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)

Summary :

 

After months of strong gains, commodity markets are witnessing a correction. Gold has hit a seven-month low, silver has fallen sharply from its peak, and crude oil has dropped below $70 a barrel as investor sentiment improves and profit booking picks up.

Gold

If you have been tracking the commodity markets lately, you will know that it has been a volatile market. For months, everything from the gold to the fuel in your car seemed to be going up. Commodity prices had been rising for several months. 

However, they have come under pressure recently, with prices falling further on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. 

Gold prices have fallen back to trade at their lowest levels in 7 months. Silver is now trading at less than half of the record high of $121, which was reached in January this year. The crude oil price has fallen back to pre-war levels, trading below $70 a barrel.

So, what went wrong? Why are these commodities suddenly losing their shine?

Let’s break down the prices and look at the reasons driving this market correction.

Gold, Silver and Crude Price Check (As on June 25, 2026)

The scale of the drop becomes clear when you look at the data. International benchmarks and India's MCX have both witnessed a consistent decline in prices over the past few sessions.

Commodity

Price

Change (1 Day)

Gold

$3962 per ounce

-0.10%

Silver

$57 per ounce

-0.10%

Crude Oil

$69 per barrel

-1.41%

Three Key Reasons Behind the Fall in Commodity Prices 

This sudden drop is the result of a few major global events colliding all at once.

1. Improved Middle East Situation

For a long time, people were terrified about what was happening in the Middle East. Shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz were under constant threat. When investors are scared, they do two things: they panic-buy oil because they worry about shortages, and they buy gold because it is safe. This is called a "geopolitical risk premium".

Recently, the mood changed. Quiet diplomatic talks between the US and Iran in Switzerland have led to a breakthrough. They have set up lines of communication to keep shipping lanes safe.

Just like that, the fear evaporated. With the threat of war fading, investors rushed to sell their safe-haven assets.

2. US Dollar

The second big issue comes down to the US Federal Reserve. Everyone expected the Fed to start cutting interest rates by now. Lower rates make borrowing cheaper and usually help commodities boom.

Instead, US inflation stayed stubborn, and jobs data came in hot. The Fed changed its tune, hinting that interest rates might stay high for a long time. This has sent the US Dollar Index to a 13-month high. Because global commodities are priced in dollars, a strong dollar makes them incredibly expensive for buyers using other currencies. Demand fades away, and prices fall.

3. Profit Booking

After an exceptional multi-month bull run where silver and gold breached historic highs, a technical correction was overdue.

The Takeaway: A Crash or Just a Pause?

When prices fall, it is easy to think something has gone seriously wrong. But it is important to look at the bigger picture.

Gold and silver had been hitting record highs for weeks. Markets rarely move up without taking a break. What we are seeing now looks more like a pullback than a collapse.

The fall in prices is not limited to precious metals and oil. Other commodities such as natural gas, copper, aluminium, etc. have also seen prices soften in recent weeks.

For now, the commodities markets are just taking a well-deserved breather.

Source: Dalal Street Investment Journal, TOI

About the Author

SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000006396).


Founded in 1986, Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ) brings decades of experience in India’s equity markets. DSIJ's research combines fundamental analysis with price action, guided by disciplined risk management and capital preservation. They follow a structured, data-driven approach designed to help investors and traders make informed decisions beyond short-term market noise. 

Published Date : 25 Jun 2026

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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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