Market Daily By Bajaj Broking: Global Tensions Rattle Markets while Nifty Holds Strong

Synopsis:

 

Global tensions drove volatility and lifted crude, while U.S. futures declined. Despite mixed cues, Indian markets remained strong, with Nifty holding a positive bias supported by technical strength and firm derivatives positioning.

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Global markets began the week on a cautious note as geopolitical tensions resurfaced over the weekend following statements by Donald Trump regarding the seizure of an Iranian-flagged cargo vessel in the Gulf of Oman. The situation escalated further as Iran reportedly targeted vessels and reversed its decision to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, effectively reinstating an informal closure. Despite this, shipping activity remained resilient, with over 20 vessels transiting the route on Saturday, marking the busiest day since March 1.

The escalation weighed on sentiment, with U.S. stock futures declining—Dow futures fell nearly 1%, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively. Crude oil rebounded sharply, trading around $95.40 per barrel as supply concerns resurfaced. Meanwhile, gold prices declined 1.1% to $4,776, and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged higher to 4.20%. The dollar index also recovered from one-month lows to 98.32.

This cautious start follows a strong close on Friday, when optimism around de-escalation and a temporary reopening of the Strait lifted U.S. equities. The S&P 500 gained 1.2% to 7,125.36, Nasdaq rose 1.5% to 24,468.48, and the Dow Jones advanced 1.8% to 49,447.92.

Asian markets opened on a positive note despite geopolitical concerns. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.6% above 58,800, while the Topix Index gained 0.8% near 3,790, tracking the strength seen in U.S. equities in the previous session.

Back home, Gift Nifty signals a positive start for Indian markets. However, volatility is expected to remain elevated given mixed global cues, with Nifty likely to trade in a broad range of 24,150–24,600 during the session.

Indian benchmark indices ended the previous session on a strong footing, supported by optimism around U.S.–Iran peace talks, along with a strengthening rupee and cooling crude prices.

  • Sensex: rose 504.86 points or 0.65% to close at 78,493.54

  • Nifty 50: gained 156.80 points or 0.65% to settle at 24,353.55

Sectorally, buying interest was widespread, with notable gains in FMCG, metal, and oil & gas stocks, which advanced between 1% and 3%, while IT lagged. Broader markets outperformed, with the Nifty Midcap rising 1.27% and the Smallcap index gaining 1.48%, reflecting strong participation beyond frontline stocks.

Technically, Nifty formed a bullish candlestick pattern on Friday, remaining within the previous session’s range—indicating consolidation with a positive bias. The index has already retraced more than 50% of its prior decline from 26,373 to 22,183.

Going forward, a sustained move above 24,400 could trigger further upside momentum, potentially pushing the index towards the 24,700–24,800 zone. On the downside, failure to breach this level may lead to consolidation within the 23,500–24,400 range, especially after a sharp 2200-point rally in just 10 sessions, with indicators nearing overbought territory.

Immediate support is seen at 23,600–23,500, aligning with last week’s low and the 20-day EMA. Holding above this zone will be crucial to sustain the ongoing pullback trend.

  • Nifty: Resistance at 24,490 and 24,600; Support at 24,270 and 24,150

  • Bank Nifty: Resistance at 56,950 and 57,200; Support at 56,300 and 56,000

Among key developments, Lupin received Form 483 with three observations from the USFDA for its New Jersey facility. UltraTech Cement commissioned three new grinding units, taking total capacity beyond 200 MTPA in India. PC Jeweller reduced its bank debt by another 10%, repaying over 90% under settlement. ZenTech secured an arms manufacturing license from the Indian government, while JSW Steel and POSCO Group announced a 50:50 joint venture with Saffron Resources as the JV entity. Institutional activity showed FIIs as net buyers of ₹683.20 crore, while DIIs were net sellers of ₹4,721.48 crore.

Derivatives data indicates a positive undertone. Call writers have unwound positions between 24,200–24,400, signaling easing resistance, while strong put writing between 24,000–24,400 establishes a solid support base. Limited call writing at 24,600 suggests immediate resistance, with a breakout potentially opening the path towards 25,000. A break below 24,200, however, could weaken sentiment and lead to consolidation.

For Bank Nifty, strong put writing between 56,000–56,500 highlights a firm support base, while call unwinding across higher levels indicates reduced resistance. The overall setup suggests a positive bias, though upside may remain event-driven.

Markets are navigating a mix of geopolitical uncertainty and underlying bullish momentum. While global cues remain volatile, domestic strength, supportive technical structure, and positive derivatives positioning suggest that the broader trend remains constructive, with a buy-on-dips approach likely to persist in the near term.

Stay tuned with Bajaj Broking for more market insights and daily updates.

Global Tensions Rattle Markets while Nifty Holds Strong

Published Date : 20 Apr 2026

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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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