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Global markets are in a positive risk-on phase, driven by US-Iran talks and strong earnings. Nifty is expected to trade between 24,100–24,550, with key support and resistance levels outlined for today’s session.
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Global markets are currently in a positive risk-on phase, fueled by the ongoing US-Iran peace talks and easing geopolitical tensions. These factors have significantly boosted US stocks, with all major indices reaching record highs. In addition, Asian markets have followed this upward trend, showing strong performances across the region. The Indian market, in particular, has also shown solid gains, driven by positive global cues and a stronger Indian Rupee (INR).
As we look ahead to today’s session, Gift Nifty signals a flat to positive opening for the Indian market. Nifty is expected to trade within the range of 24,100–24,550. Immediate resistance for Nifty is placed at 24,410–24,540, while the support levels are at 24,210–24,100. This provides an outlook for the intraday movement of Nifty and potential levels to watch closely.
On May 6, Indian benchmark indices closed on a strong note, with both the Sensex and Nifty gaining more than 1%. Despite intraday volatility, Nifty closed near the day’s high, above the 24,300 mark. The uptrend was primarily driven by positive global cues, particularly developments surrounding a potential US-Iran deal, which involved easing restrictions through the Strait of Hormuz. This led to a decline in crude oil prices and a subsequent improvement in the INR, both of which boosted market sentiment.
The market saw broad-based buying, with significant contributions from sectors like PSU Banks, Private Banks, Realty, Auto, and Pharma stocks. Each of these sectors saw a rise of 2–3%. On the other hand, FMCG was the only sector that witnessed some selling pressure.
The broader markets also exhibited strength, with the Nifty Midcap index rising by 1.76% and the Small Cap index advancing by 1.93%, signaling sustained buying interest across the broader space.
From a technical standpoint, Nifty formed a bullish candlestick pattern with a higher high and higher low, signaling the extension of the previous session's pullback from the two-week lows around 23,800–23,900. Nifty continues to consolidate around the 20-day EMA, and it is currently placed at the upper band of its last nine sessions trading range between 23,800–24,400.
For a potential upside, a breakout and close above 24,400 is needed, which could lead to further upward movement towards 24,600 and 24,800 levels. However, failure to surpass 24,400 will result in continued consolidation between the 24,400–23,800 range. Short-term support has been revised higher to 23,800, aligning with the low observed in the last two weeks.
Resistance: 24,410 and 24,540
Support: 24,210 and 24,100
For Bank Nifty, resistance is placed at 56,475 and 56,700, while support lies at 55,650 and 55,300.
The positive developments in US-Iran negotiations, aimed at ending hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, have helped fuel a global risk-on sentiment. On May 6, US stocks hit record highs:
S&P 500 closed at 7,365.11 (+1.46%)
Nasdaq ended at 25,838.94 (+2.02%)
Dow Jones closed at 49,910.59 (+1.24%)
This rally was supported by easing geopolitical tensions and strong corporate earnings. Additionally, crude oil prices remained in a lower range, benefiting oil-importing nations like India.
Asian markets opened strong, following Wall Street's rally. The Nikkei 225 surged 4.26% to 62,050.64, and the S&P/ASX 200 rose 1.05% to 8,885.5. With a continued focus on updates from US-Iran talks, oil price movements, and global earnings, markets are in a risk-on mode. The stabilizing oil prices and a stronger INR are expected to support the Indian market today.
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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited
This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing.
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