Nifty Weekly Expiry Outlook for June 16: Check Expected Range

     

    By Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)
     

    Summary:


    Nifty weekly expiry outlook for June 16: The expected expiry range stands at 23,900-24,000, with PCR cooling to 1.03. Max Pain has shifted to 23,900, while Call writing at 23,950 and 24,000 may cap gains. Sustaining above 23,900 remains crucial.

    As of Updated 1:30 PM IST

    Nifty Weekly Expiry Update: Bias Turns More Range Bound

    As of 1 pm on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, the Nifty 50 has trimmed part of its intraday gains and is trading near 23,935, up around 80 points. Earlier in the session, the index was trading near 23,950 with a gain of about 96 points. The move shows that the index has lost some momentum from the day’s high, although it continues to trade in positive territory.

    A notable development is the sharp fall in India VIX, which has dropped nearly 6% to 13.50. This indicates that volatility expectations have cooled during the session, even as expiry-related positioning remains active.

    Max Pain Shifts Lower to 23,900

    Compared with the earlier reading, the Max Pain has shifted from 23,950 to 23,900. This shift is important as it suggests that the options market is now giving more weight to the 23,900 zone for the weekly expiry.

    The Put Call Ratio has also cooled from 1.28 earlier to 1.03 in the afternoon session. This shows that the earlier bullish undertone has moderated, and the expiry setup has turned rangebound.

    Call Writers Active at 23,950 and 24,000

    On the Call side, aggressive writing is visible at the 23,950 and 24,000 strikes. The maximum open interest concentration is now seen at the 24,000 Call strike, making it the strongest resistance for the day.

    The 23,950 level has also become an immediate hurdle as fresh Call writing has emerged around this zone. Unless the index sustains above 23,950, the move towards 24,000 may remain difficult.

    Put Writers Defend 23,900

    On the Put side, significant open interest addition is seen at the 23,900 strike. This makes 23,900 an important support zone for the remaining part of the session. Since Max Pain has also shifted to 23,900, this level becomes more relevant from an expiry perspective.

    As long as the index holds above 23,900, the downside may remain limited. However, a break below this level could weaken the intraday structure and may lead to further pressure.

    Nifty Weekly Expiry Outlook

    The updated options data suggests that Nifty is likely to remain in a narrow expiry range of 23,900 to 24,000. The earlier positive bias has cooled, as reflected in the lower PCR and the shift in Max Pain from 23,950 to 23,900.

    For the rest of the session, 23,900 remains the key support, while 23,950 and 24,000 are likely to act as resistance zones. A sustained move above 24,000 could trigger Call writer unwinding and open the door for further upside. Until then, the index may continue to trade with a range bound bias on weekly expiry.

    As of Updated 11:30 AM IST

    The Nifty 50 index opened Tuesday’s session on a positive note and extended its gains as the day progressed. As of 11:05 am, the index was trading near the 23,950 level, up around 96 points. Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank and Bajaj Finance were among the key contributors supporting the index.

    Source: Opstra

    PCR and Max Pain Indicate 23,950 as Key Zone

    On the options front, the Put Call Ratio currently stands at 1.28, indicating a mildly positive undertone. The Max Pain is placed at 23,950, close to the level where the index is trading, suggesting that this zone could remain important for the June 16 weekly expiry.

    Put Writers Build Support Around 23,900

    On the Put side, the highest open interest is seen at the 23,900 strike, making it an important support zone for the day. Fresh open interest addition has also been seen at the 23,950 Put strike, which further strengthens the support base around the current market level.

    24,000 Emerges as Key Resistance

    On the Call side, the 24,000 strike has seen significant open interest build-up. This makes 24,000 a key resistance level for the expiry session. The importance of this level also increases from a technical perspective, as the index had failed to sustain above the 24,000 mark in the previous session and trimmed gains from the day’s high.

    Likely Range for June 16 Expiry

    Considering the options data and price action, Nifty is likely to trade in the 23,900-24,000 range for the June 16 weekly expiry. A sustained move above 24,000 could trigger unwinding by Call writers, which may open the door for an upside move towards 24,100-24,150. On the downside, failure to hold 23,900 may weaken the intraday structure and bring fresh pressure on the index.

     

    Source: Dalal Street Investment Journal, Opstra

    About the Author

    SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000006396).


    Founded in 1986, Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ) brings decades of experience in India’s equity markets. DSIJ's research combines fundamental analysis with price action, guided by disciplined risk management and capital preservation. They follow a structured, data-driven approach designed to help investors and traders make informed decisions beyond short-term market noise. 

    Published Date : 16 Jun 2026

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    Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



    This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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