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Markets await the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision as U.S. retail sales beat forecasts. Indian indices surged, supported by sectors like Auto and Realty. Nifty shows bullish signals, with key resistance at 25,250 and support near 24,850, indicating a potential uptrend.
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The S&P 500 closed slightly lower on Tuesday after hitting a fresh intraday record high, as investors look ahead to the Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cut on Wednesday.
Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 125 points (-0.2%)
S&P 500 fell by 0.1%
NASDAQ Composite declined by 0.1%
Retail sales data for August showed a surprising 0.6% rise month-on-month, beating expectations of 0.2%. This signals strong consumer spending amid ongoing economic uncertainty.
The Federal Reserve is set to announce a 25 basis point rate cut during its two-day meeting. A new set of forecasts, including expectations for further cuts, will be released with the decision. Many investors are betting on up to three rate cuts this year.
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Treasury Yields: The benchmark 10-year yield dropped slightly to 4.028% as investors anticipate a rate cut.
Dollar: The U.S. dollar weakened, with the index falling 0.7% to 96.61.
Gold: Spot gold rose 0.2% to $3,687.67 per ounce after hitting an all-time high of $3,702.95 earlier in the session.
Brent Crude: Crude prices climbed 1.53%, closing at $68.47 per barrel.
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Asian markets opened lower on Wednesday, mirroring Wall Street’s subdued sentiment amid uncertainty ahead of the Fed’s decision.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 0.3%
Topix Index declined 0.65%
South Korea’s Kospi fell 1.07%
Kosdaq declined 0.78%
Despite the initial weakness, optimism surrounding U.S.-China trade negotiations in Madrid provided some support. President Trump remarked that the discussions “has gone VERY WELL,” further boosting investor sentiment.
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Gift Nifty points to a flat-to-positive start for the Indian markets, with the Nifty spot likely to trade between 25,400 and 25,050 today.
Indian Market Recap – Previous Session
Indian indices rose on Tuesday, tracking gains in Asia amid growing optimism around U.S. trade talks.
Sensex closed up by 594.95 points (+0.73%) at 82,380.69.
Nifty 50 gained 169.90 points (+0.68%) to settle at 25,239.10.
Sector-wise highlights:
Winners: Auto, Realty, IT, Media – driven by strong rotational buying.
Laggers: FMCG and Healthcare – suggesting profit booking at elevated levels.
Broader Market:
Nifty Midcap 100 rose 0.54%.
Nifty Smallcap 100 advanced 0.95%, signaling sustained strength in mid-to-small cap stocks.
Nifty – Short-term Outlook
A bullish trend is forming as Nifty posted a sizable bull candle with higher highs and lows, hinting at an extension of the rally.
Bullish crossover between 20-day and 50-day EMA.
Resistance zone at 25,200–25,250.
A decisive close above 25,250 could reverse the ongoing correction and unlock targets near 25,500 in the coming weeks. However, failure to sustain these levels may lead to consolidation between 25,250–24,850.
On the downside, 24,850 serves as critical support, backed by EMA and trendline structures. Staying above this level keeps the positive outlook intact.
Intraday Levels – Nifty
Resistance: 25,330 & 25,400
Support: 25,140 & 25,050
Intraday Levels – Bank Nifty
Resistance: 55,390 & 55,650
Support: 54,900 & 54,710
That’s all for today’s Markets Daily from Bajaj Broking. Stay tuned for more updates tomorrow. Don’t forget to subscribe to our podcast.
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