Global markets rose on AI optimism led by Nvidia and Amazon, while Indian indices traded range-bound with midcaps hitting fresh highs. Analysts expect consolidation to continue, advising staggered accumulation of quality stocks as Nifty eyes a move toward record levels.
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Global markets saw a positive shift on Wednesday as U.S. stocks rebounded, driven by dip-buying in tech stocks following recent weakness. The S&P 500 gained 0.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 225 points (0.5%), and the NASDAQ Composite climbed 0.7%. This boost in the U.S. equity market came amid rising concerns surrounding President Donald Trump’s sweeping IEEPA tariffs, which are now under examination in the Supreme Court. Justices questioned the president's authority, casting doubt on the legality of his trade measures, a case that could have far-reaching implications for U.S.-China relations and global trade.
The earnings season continued on a positive note, with 82% of S&P 500 companies reporting better-than-expected results, according to FactSet. In economic data, the ADP employment report showed a 42,000-job increase in private payrolls, following a revised 29,000 decline in September. This, coupled with a rise in Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar, created a mixed environment across asset classes.
Treasuries: The 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 6 basis points, closing at 4.159%.
Gold: Spot gold gained 1.2%, reaching $3,977.94 per ounce.
Dollar: The U.S. dollar extended gains, climbing 0.11% to 100.28, as expectations of a Fed rate cut this year softened, and private payrolls data alleviated labor market concerns.
Oil: Brent crude futures fell 1.43%, closing at $63.52 a barrel, reflecting continued concerns over global economic growth.
Asian Markets
Asian markets opened Thursday on a positive note, mirroring the strength of Wall Street. Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 1.45%, while South Korea’s Kospi index surged 2.5%, leading the region’s gains. The small-cap Kosdaq was up 2.01%, reflecting a strong rebound after a previous session’s decline. The rally was further supported by the upbeat earnings results from artificial intelligence stocks, which boosted investor sentiment.
Gift Nifty: The Indian market is likely to start flat to positive, with Nifty expected to trade in the range of 25,450–25,800 during today’s session.
Previous Session: Indian markets closed lower on November 4, with the Nifty slipping below 25,600 amid broad-based selling. Weak global cues and profit-booking during the weekly expiry session led to this downturn. However, India’s economic fundamentals remained robust, supported by strong manufacturing PMI and steady GST collections. The Sensex fell by 519 points (0.62%) to 83,459.15, and the Nifty dropped by 166 points (0.64%) to 25,597.65.
Nifty has been under a corrective phase, registering a decline of more than 500 points in the last nine sessions. This corrective phase has helped ease the overbought conditions indicated by the daily stochastic oscillator. The index is approaching key support levels between 25,500–25,300, which is likely to hold due to its alignment with a recent breakout zone, key retracement, and the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA).
A formation of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart would signal a reversal of the current corrective trend. Immediate resistance for Nifty is placed at 25,850, followed by the 26,100 level, which represents the highs of the past two weeks.
Nifty Intraday Levels:
Resistance: 25,690 & 25,800
Support: 25,510 & 25,450
Bank Nifty Intraday Levels:
Resistance: 58,100 & 58,360
Support: 57,630 & 57,400
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