Global markets stayed under pressure due to weak U.S. jobs data and rising crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions. Indian markets may open weak, with Nifty expected to trade with a corrective bias as volatility remains elevated and key support levels come into focus.
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Global markets began the week on a cautious note as weak U.S. labor market data and a sharp surge in crude oil prices weighed on investor sentiment. U.S. equities ended the previous week in negative territory. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined about 3%, the S&P 500 slipped 2%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.2%.
Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed crude oil prices above $108 per barrel, raising concerns about inflationary pressures and the potential impact on global economic growth.
Early indicators suggest a weak start for domestic markets. GIFT Nifty signals a gap-down opening, indicating that the Nifty 50 may begin the session on a cautious note. The index is expected to trade with a corrective bias in the range of 23,600–24,500.
Indian benchmark indices declined on March 6, reversing the previous session’s brief recovery. The sell-off was driven by persistent geopolitical tensions in West Asia, rising crude oil prices, and continued foreign fund outflows. Weak cues from U.S. equities and a subdued trend across Asian markets further dampened investor confidence.
The volatility index also surged sharply, climbing more than 11% to the 20 mark, indicating heightened uncertainty in the market.
At the close:
The BSE Sensex fell 1.37% to 78,918.9
The Nifty 50 declined 1.27% to 24,450.45
Broader markets also witnessed mild pressure. The Nifty Midcap 100 declined 0.7%, while the Nifty Smallcap 100 slipped 0.2%.
Sectoral indices ended the session on a mixed note.
Sectors that declined:
Auto
Realty
PSU Bank
Private Bank
These sectors fell between 1% and 2% during the session.
On the other hand, a few sectors showed resilience:
Defence stocks gained nearly 3%
Capital Goods advanced 1.3%
Power index rose 0.4%
From a technical perspective, the Nifty 50 formed a bearish candle with a lower high and lower low, indicating a lack of follow-through to the previous session’s pullback and continuation of the broader corrective trend.
Volatility is likely to remain elevated due to uncertain global cues and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
The market is expected to open below last week’s low, highlighting a downward bias. The corrective move may extend toward the major support zone of 24,000–23,700 in the coming sessions.
On the upside, any pullback could face strong resistance in the 24,600–24,700 zone.
The 24,000–23,700 region is considered a crucial support area as it represents the confluence of the 100-week EMA and a long-term trendline connecting the lows of CY23 and CY25. A decisive close below this zone may signal deterioration in the broader price structure.
Nifty 50
Resistance: 24,460 | 24,550
Support: 23,720 | 23,600
Bank Nifty
Resistance: 57,800 | 58,050
Support: 56,550 | 56,200
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