Indian markets likely to open flat as global cues remain mixed. Nifty eyes 25,500–25,900, with investors tracking US jobs, CPI, retail data, crude, gold, and domestic corporate developments. Short-term technical bounce possible amid cautious sentiment.
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Major U.S. stock indices surged to record highs on Friday, while the dollar strengthened after data showed the U.S. economy added fewer jobs than expected in December. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 50,000, slightly below the 60,000 estimate but above November’s revised 56,000. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.4%, in line with expectations.
Markets continued to rise despite heightened geopolitical tensions, following a U.S. military operation resulting in Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro’s capture. Investors were also awaiting a Supreme Court decision on former President Trump’s tariffs, now postponed to January 14. U.S. inflation data (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, followed by retail sales and PPI on Wednesday.
Key U.S. Index Movements (Friday):
Dow Jones: +237.96 pts (+0.48%) → 49,504.07
S&P 500: +44.82 pts (+0.65%) → 6,966.28
Nasdaq Composite: +191.33 pts (+0.82%) → 23,671.35
Dow: +2.3%
S&P 500: +1.6%
Nasdaq: +1.9%
U.S. 2-year yield: +5 bps → 3.538%
U.S. 10-year yield: –1.2 bps → 4.171%
Dollar Index (DXY): +0.26% → 99.13
Spot Gold: +1.5% → $4,578/oz
Brent Crude: +$1.35 (+2.18%) → $63.34/bbl
WTI Crude: +$1.36 (+2.35%) → $59.12/bbl
Asian stocks opened higher on Monday, following record highs in U.S. markets. Markets in Australia, South Korea, and Hong Kong futures tracked the S&P 500’s gains. Japanese markets remained closed due to a public holiday.
Gift Nifty:
Indian markets are expected to open flat, with Nifty likely to trade in the 25,500–25,900 range.
Previous Session Recap (January 9, 2026):
Indian markets fell for the fifth consecutive session, with Nifty slipping below 25,700. Ongoing uncertainty over US–India tariff talks, geopolitical tensions, and Q3 FY26 IT earnings impacted sentiment.
Sensex: –604.72 pts (–0.72%) → 83,576.24
Nifty: –193.55 pts (–0.75%) → 25,683.30
Midcap Index: –0.79%
Small-cap Index: –1.81%
Sectoral performance: Only IT, PSU Banks, and Oil & Gas closed higher. Auto, FMCG, Realty, and Consumer Durables fell 1–2%.
The Nifty has formed a second straight strong bearish candle with lower highs and lower lows, extending the correction to a fifth session. On the weekly chart, a bearish engulfing pattern indicates profit booking at higher levels. The index is currently testing the 20-week EMA near 25,620.
A break below 25,620 could lead to further downside toward 25,500–25,400.
Short-term momentum indicators suggest the market is oversold, so a technical bounce is possible.
For the decline to pause sustainably, Nifty needs to form higher highs and move decisively above 26,000.
Intraday Levels:
Resistance: 25,780 & 25,870
Support: 25,610 & 25,500
Resistance: 59,430 & 59,650
Support: 59,000 & 58,770
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