Global equities declined sharply as U.S.-Iran tensions intensified, lifting oil prices and volatility. U.S. indices ended lower despite partial recovery. Asian markets extended losses. Nifty remains under pressure with bearish derivatives positioning, elevated VIX, and downside risk toward 24,200–24,000 levels.
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Global markets witnessed another turbulent session as geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran intensified, triggering sharp intraday swings across asset classes. Concerns over a prolonged conflict and its inflationary implications weighed heavily on investor sentiment.
On Tuesday, all three major US indices ended in the red after a highly volatile session:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 403.51 points (-0.83%) to close at 48,501.27.
The S&P 500 slipped 0.94% to 6,816.63.
The Nasdaq Composite declined 1.02% to settle at 22,516.69.
At their intraday lows, the S&P 500 was down 2.5%, the Nasdaq dropped 2.7%, and the Dow plunged over 1,200 points before recovering partially.
Markets found some support after comments from Donald Trump, who stated that the U.S. Navy would escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz if required, ensuring the free flow of global energy supplies. The reassurance helped trim deeper losses.
Investor sentiment deteriorated after reports of Iranian drone strikes hitting a U.S. embassy in Riyadh and targeting infrastructure in the UAE and Bahrain. Retaliatory strikes across the Middle East have heightened fears of a widening conflict.
The key concern remains inflation. A sustained spike in crude oil prices could disrupt global supply chains, push inflation higher, and prompt major central banks to adopt a more hawkish stance.
Traders now await the ADP private payrolls report for further economic cues.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield rose over 1 basis point to 4.063%.
Gold prices declined 3.6% to $5,137 per ounce, pressured by a stronger dollar and fading rate-cut expectations.
Brent crude surged 4.71% to settle at $81.40, after rallying over 9% intraday amid supply disruption fears.
The dollar index gained 0.5% to 98.995.
Asian equities extended losses on Wednesday:
South Korea’s KOSPI plunged 5%, marking a steep selloff.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.59%.
The TOPIX declined 1.61%.
Escalating geopolitical risks continue to drive risk-off sentiment across global markets.
Gift Nifty indicates a gap-down start for Indian markets amid weak global cues. The Nifty spot is expected to trade with a downward bias in the 24,200–24,870 range.
Domestic indices ended sharply lower amid geopolitical tensions and continued foreign institutional outflows.
BSE Sensex declined 1,048.34 points (-1.29%) to 80,238.85.
Nifty 50 fell 312.95 points (-1.24%) to 24,865.70.
Sectorally, Auto, Consumer Durables, Oil & Gas, and Realty led losses, while Pharma and Metals showed marginal resilience. Broader markets also weakened, with midcaps and small caps declining sharply, reflecting widespread risk reduction.
The index traded with high volatility, forming a bearish structure with a lower high and lower low.
Bias remains negative below the gap-down zone of 25,178–24,989.
A breach below 24,571 (last month’s low) could open the path toward the August 2025 low of 24,337.
Sustained weakness may drag the index toward the 24,200–24,000 support zone.
Volatility is expected to remain elevated amid uncertain global cues. Traders may consider intraday pullbacks as selling opportunities while the index remains below 25,000.
Nifty
Resistance: 24,870 & 24,990
Support: 24,330 & 24,200
Bank Nifty
Resistance: 59,840 & 60,000
Support: 58,500 & 58,100
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