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9:20 AM IST
Stock Market LIVE Update | 9:20 AM IST | 02 Mar 2025 | Sensex plunges 1,100+ points | Nifty slips below 24,850
Equity benchmarks tumbled as escalating Middle East tensions rattled sentiment, with the Sensex dropping over 1,100 points and the Nifty slipping below 24,850. Broad-based risk aversion dragged cyclicals, banks, realty and consumption stocks lower, while metals showed relative resilience. The rupee weakened past 91 per U.S. dollar, opening at 91.25. Crude oil surged up to 12% amid fears of supply disruption following U.S.–Israel strikes on Iran. Aviation and tourism stocks remained in focus, while the dollar strengthened and the euro declined.
Source: Bajaj Broking Research Desk.
GIFT NIFTY: Gift Nifty suggests a negative opening for the Indian market. Nifty spot in today's session in likely to trade in the range of 24,900-25,350.
INDIA VIX: 13.70 | +0.64 (4.90%) ↑ today
BhartiAirtel partners with Google to advance spam protection in India with secure RCS messaging.
Lemon Tree Hotels signs new 55-room Keys Prima property in Akola, Maharashtra.
Bharat Electronics declares ₹1.95 per share interim dividend for FY26.
Supreme Court rejects SpiceJet plea in Maran dispute, upholds ₹144 crore payment.
Brigade Enterprises launches 'Brigade Stellaris' in Chennai with ₹1,700 crore GDV.
Abbott India to sell Novo Nordisk’s semaglutide, weight-loss drug behind Ozempic.
Paras Defence enters semiconductor space with new subsidiary.
FIIs Net Sell ₹7,536.36 Cr while DIIs Net Buy ₹12,292.81 Cr in equities.
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Treasury Yield:
The benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield fell more than 5 basis points to 3.962%.
Currency:
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.12% to 97.61.
Commodities:
Crude oil prices jumped higher, as market participants fear war between the U.S. and Iran will spiral out of control and lead to a major supply disruption. Global benchmark Brent jumped around 6% to $76.50.
Gold prices jumped over 1.4% in Asian trading on Monday as investors rushed into safe-haven assets. Spot gold rose 1.4% at $5,338 an ounce.
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets tumbled in Monday morning trade as the conflict between Iran and the U.S.-Israel escalates.
Sector-Specific Indicators:
U.S. President Donald Trump said Sunday that combat operations in Iran will continue after three U.S. servicepersons were killed.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 tumbled almost 2% on its open, with the Topix fell 2.1%. South Korea’s markets were closed for a public holiday.
Market in the Previous Session:
Indian benchmark indices ended lower on February 27, with the Nifty breaching the 25,200 marks amid broad-based selling across sectors, except IT and media. After a muted start, the market remained under persistent pressure throughout the session, dragged down by weak global cues and heightened geopolitical tensions that kept investor sentiment cautious.
At the close, the Sensex fell 961.42 points, or 1.17 percent, to 81,287.19, while the Nifty declined 317.90 points, or 1.25 percent, to settle at 25,178.65.
In the broader market space, the Nifty Midcap and Small cap indices also slipped around 1 percent each.
On a weekly basis, both the BSE Sensex and the Nifty registered losses of 1.5 percent each.
Sector-wise, auto, banking, FMCG, metal, and realty stocks dropped 1–2 percent, whereas IT, media, and consumer durables stocks ended the session in positive territory.
TRADE SETUP FOR MAR 02
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
The index has formed a sizable bearish candle with a lower high and a lower low signaling corrective bias. The index in the process closed just below the 200 days EMA.
Nifty breached the lower band of the last 10 sessions range ( 25,900-25400) on Friday’s session and witnessed sharp decline thereafter to close below the 25,200 levels.
Volatility is likely to remain elevated amid uncertain global cues and escalating geo-political tension. Bias remain down below Friday’s breakdown area of 25,400, which is likely to act as immediate resistance.
A follow through weakness below last week low (25,141) will open further downside towards 25,000-24,800 levels in the coming sessions being confluence of 52 weeks EMA and key retracement.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 25,250, followed by the 25,350 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 25,020, followed by 24,900.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 60,680, followed by 60,900, while downside support is found at 60,100, followed by 59,800.
Nifty:
Aggressive call writing above 25,300 continues to establish a strong overhead resistance zone for the upcoming weekly expiry.
Active in-the-money call writing at 25,200–25,000 reflects strong trader conviction toward continuation of downside pressure.
Put writers have unwound positions and shifted their base to lower strikes, indicating a gradual weakening of the support structure.
Max Pain positioned at 25,300 suggests expiry gravitation near this zone, while the current positioning indicates a higher probability of corrective bias with potential put-side gamma momentum emerging.
A sustained breach below 25,200 may trigger fresh selling pressure, opening downside potential toward the 25,000 level.
Unless Nifty decisively reclaims 25,500, any intraday pullback is likely to attract supply and may be viewed as a sell-on-rise opportunity.
Bank Nifty:
Significant Call and Put open interest concentration at 61,000 strike makes it a crucial directional pivot for Bank Nifty.
Strong call writing at 61,000 continues to act as a firm near-term resistance, restricting upside attempts.
Put writers at the same strike remain under pressure; any meaningful unwinding may accelerate downside momentum.
A breakdown below prevailing levels could push Bank Nifty towards 60,500, followed by the 60,000 support zone.
US Benchmark Indices witnessed sharp decline on Friday’s session as January producer price index surged 0.5% month-over-month derailed any remaining hope of a smooth glide path toward Federal Reserve rate cuts. Geopolitical tension between US and Iran and fears over artificial intelligence’s disruptive footprint on the U.S. labor market lead to negative sentiment on equities around the world.
Sector-specific indicator:
On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 715 points, or 1.63%, settling at 48,694.51. The S&P 500 shed 0.94% to land at 6,844.25, and the Nasdaq Composite surrendered 1.08%, closing at 22,632.30.
On Geo-political front a lot has happened during the weekend with US-Israel strikes on Iran which claimed the life of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Iran’s subsequent missile retaliation against Israeli and US targets in the Gulf have dramatically raised the stakes for global energy markets.
The geopolitical shock triggered a classic risk-off move across markets today morning, with equities sliding and crude oil surging, reinforcing demand for bullion as a store of value.
Economic indicator:
Stock futures tumbled in overnight trading after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran over the weekend, causing oil prices to surge and adding an unstable Middle East to a list of growing worries for equity investors.
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