Indian markets remain under pressure amid global uncertainty and FII outflows. Nifty slipped below key supports, keeping short-term structure weak. Oversold conditions may allow a brief pullback, while global and Asian markets trade cautiously ahead of key data.
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Global markets traded cautiously as US equities ended largely flat ahead of the closely watched US nonfarm payrolls report. Gains in cyclical stocks were offset by a pause in chip-led momentum, keeping overall indices range-bound.
Rising US Treasury yields, a firm dollar, higher crude oil prices, and mixed Asian cues reflected a risk-aware environment among global investors.
Indian equities witnessed sharp selling pressure in the previous session amid renewed concerns over potential US tariff measures and sustained foreign institutional investor outflows. These factors pushed the Nifty below key technical supports, reinforcing short-term weakness.
Despite oversold conditions that may allow a brief technical pullback, the broader structure remains bearish, with rising futures shorts and limited support from options data.
Gift Nifty indicates a flat to mildly positive opening for the Indian market.
Expected Nifty Spot Range: 25,700 to 26,050
Indian benchmark indices closed sharply lower on January 8 as cautious sentiment prevailed across global and domestic markets.
The Nifty slipped below the 25,900 level, signalling broad-based selling pressure.
Sectoral trends remained weak, with notable declines across key segments:
Metal
Oil and Gas
Power
PSU Banks
Capital Goods
Each of these sectors declined in the range of 2% to 3% as risk aversion dominated market activity.
Metal stocks saw profit booking following a retreat in global commodity prices. Oil and Gas stocks faced pressure amid geopolitical concerns linked to developments between Venezuela and the United States.
The broader market also came under selling pressure, with both midcap and small-cap indices declining by around 2% each.
The Nifty formed a large bearish candle with a lower high and a lower low, extending the corrective decline for the fourth consecutive session.
The index closed below the key support zone of 26,000 to 25,900. It also slipped below the rising trendline connecting recent swing lows and the 50-day exponential moving average for the first time since October 3, 2025, indicating a deterioration in the short-term price structure.
Downside Risk: Further weakness could open the path towards the 25,700 to 25,600 zone. This area represents a confluence of the previous month’s low and the 100-day EMA, making it an important medium-term support.
Pullback Possibility: Momentum indicators suggest the index is in oversold territory, which could allow a short-term technical bounce.
Resistance for Stability: For the corrective decline to pause, the index must close above the previous session’s high and decisively reclaim the 26,100 level.
Nifty Resistance: 25,970 and 26,050
Nifty Support: 25,790 and 25,700
Bank Nifty Resistance: 59,900 and 60,150
Bank Nifty Support: 59,500 and 59,210
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