Market Daily By Bajaj Broking: Oil Spike and Global Jitters Weigh on Markets

Synopsis:

 

Global markets eased on Strait tensions as oil rose. Asian markets stayed positive, with GIFT Nifty indicating a firm start. Nifty likely to trade in the 24,100–24,600 range amid volatility.

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Global markets turned cautious as U.S. indices pulled back from record highs amid rising tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude oil prices higher. Despite this, downside remained limited, supported by optimism over a potential diplomatic resolution and resilient corporate earnings. Asian markets, however, traded higher, reflecting selective optimism, while GIFT Nifty signall a positive start for Indian equities.

Back home, Indian benchmark indices managed to close with marginal gains in a highly volatile session on April 20. Persistent geopolitical concerns and rising crude oil prices kept investor sentiment in check, leading to cautious participation across sectors.

The Sensex edged up by 26.76 points (0.03%) to close at 78,520.30, while the Nifty gained 11.30 points (0.05%) to settle at 24,364.85. Sectoral trends remained mixed—buying interest was visible in Media, Auto, and Oil & Gas stocks, whereas IT, Realty, and Chemicals sectors witnessed mild pressure.

Broader markets showed signs of fatigue after recent rallies. The Nifty Midcap index declined 0.18%, and the Smallcap index slipped 0.45%, indicating mild profit booking and a slightly cautious risk appetite among investors.

Technically, the Nifty continues to trade in a consolidation phase, with 24,300–24,500 emerging as a crucial zone. The index has formed a high-wave candlestick pattern, reflecting indecision but maintaining a higher high–higher low structure, which supports an underlying positive bias.

Sustaining above the 23,850 zone—the recent gap-up area—could gradually open upside potential towards 24,700–24,800. This zone is technically significant as it aligns with the 200-day EMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous decline from 26,373 to 22,183.

On the downside, immediate support is placed in the 23,600–23,500 range, which coincides with the 20-day EMA and last week’s lows. As long as the index maintains its higher high–higher low formation on the weekly chart, the ongoing pullback trend remains intact.

However, volatility is expected to stay elevated, driven by geopolitical developments and fluctuations in crude oil prices.

Intraday Levels to Watch

For traders, key levels remain critical in navigating the current range-bound market:

  • Nifty Resistance: 24,480 and 24,600

  • Nifty Support: 24,240 and 24,110

  • Bank Nifty Resistance: 56,960 and 57,200

  • Bank Nifty Support: 56,250 and 55,930

Derivative data suggests limited participation from foreign institutional investors (FIIs), reinforcing the likelihood of a range-bound market. A decisive move above 24,500 could trigger short covering, while a break below support levels may lead to fresh downside pressure.

On Wall Street, markets slipped from record highs as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz escalated, raising concerns over global oil supply and the fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire. The Nasdaq ended its 13-day winning streak, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones also closed slightly lower. Losses, however, were contained due to optimism around a potential deal and strong first-quarter earnings.

In contrast, Asia-Pacific markets opened on a positive note. South Korea’s Kospi surged 1.58%, and Kosdaq gained 0.90%, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 1.16%, reflecting optimism about a possible easing of geopolitical tensions.

Markets are currently balancing two opposing forces—geopolitical uncertainty and underlying economic resilience. While rising crude oil prices and global tensions pose risks, steady earnings and technical support levels are helping limit downside.

Stay tuned with Bajaj Broking for more market insights and daily updates.

Oil Spike and Global Jitters Weigh on Markets

Published Date : 21 Apr 2026

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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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