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By Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)
Indian airline stocks rallied after crude oil prices dropped to around $86 per barrel following signs of a potential US-Iran peace deal. Lower fuel costs boosted investor sentiment, with IndiGo share price gaining over 4% and SpiceJet surging more than 6.5%.
Since the outbreak of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, it has caused global crude oil prices to shoot up drastically. Fear of a wider war kept energy markets highly volatile. US President Donald Trump issued a threat on June 11, 2026 that his military would hit strong blows to Iran. In addition, he threatened that his troops would seize the Kharg Island and other vital points in Iran's oil facilities.
However, the threatened military escalation did not happen. President Trump later announced that he cancelled a third consecutive day of scheduled strikes on Iran. He claimed that a peace deal with Tehran is now close to being finalised instead. According to the US President, high-level leaders have approved the core details of a memorandum of understanding. Trump noted that a time and place of the signing are to be announced shortly. This sudden shift from war threats to diplomacy immediately calmed the global markets.
Consequently, the global energy benchmark experienced a sharp drop. The price of Crude fell sharply to roughly $86 per barrel due to reduced fears of supply disruptions. The dramatic fall in the international prices of crude oil is certainly good news for several energy-intensive sectors.
Among these businesses, the aviation industry stands out as the primary beneficiary of this downward trend in oil prices.
As we already know, Aviation Turbine Fuel, or ATF, is the single largest operating expense for any carrier. In fact, ATF contributes 30-40% of the total running costs for airlines. When crude oil prices fall, aviation fuel becomes much cheaper. This directly expands the profit margins for commercial carriers.
Following this, Indian aviation firms saw immediate positive action on the exchanges on June 12, 2026.
InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, the parent company of IndiGo, experienced a similar positive run. InterGlobe Aviation Ltd share price jumped by over 4% on the same morning.
SpiceJet Ltd also witnessed a sharp buying interest from the opening bell. SpiceJet Ltd share price surged by over 6.5% in early trade on Friday.
Market experts believe this cost relief will help domestic companies recover from recent financial pressures.
Source: Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ), Trading View, Al Jazeera
SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000006396).
Founded in 1986, Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ) brings decades of experience in India’s equity markets. DSIJ's research combines fundamental analysis with price action, guided by disciplined risk management and capital preservation. They follow a structured, data-driven approach designed to help investors and traders make informed decisions beyond short-term market noise.
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This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing.
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