Global markets dip due to Trump’s tariff threats on Europe over Greenland. Nifty faces volatility with support at 25,400. Cautious sentiment persists as investors seek safe havens like gold amid geopolitical tensions and mixed earnings.
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US stock futures and European markets experienced sharp declines following President Trump’s tariff threat against several European countries over Greenland. The tariffs, starting at 10% in February and rising to 25% by July, have heightened geopolitical tensions. This led to caution among investors, pushing them toward safe-haven assets like gold and silver. Meanwhile, oil prices rose slightly as markets braced for potential risks.
The Indian market reflected global weakness, with Nifty closing lower on January 19th. The cautious outlook in derivatives, with call writing limiting upside, suggests a sell-on-rallies setup. Bank Nifty remains in a narrow range, suggesting a mild negative bias unless there’s stronger support or short covering.
On Monday, Brent crude prices rose slightly, trading at $64.19 per barrel. The US 10-year Treasury yield was at 4.256%, reflecting a stable bond market. Gold prices climbed to a new peak, rising by 1.5% to $4,663.37 per ounce, while silver advanced by 3.3% to $92.93 per ounce as investors flocked to safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions. The Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six currencies, traded 0.2% lower, around the 99 level.
Asia-Pacific markets traded subdued as Japan’s long-dated government bond yields hit new highs. Investors also weighed renewed U.S. tariff threats linked to Greenland. Japanese markets are closely monitoring developments, especially after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announced plans for a snap election on February 8. Meanwhile, China's central bank kept its 1-year loan prime rate at 3% and 5-year loan prime rate at 3.5% for the eighth consecutive month.
Japan's Nikkei 225: -0.7%
Japan's Topix: -0.52%
South Korea's Kospi: -0.41%
China's Loan Prime Rates: 3% (1-year), 3.5% (5-year)
Kosdaq: Flat
Gift Nifty suggests a flat opening for the Indian market. Nifty spot in today's session is likely to trade in the range of 25,400-25,750.
Sensex: -324.17 points (0.39%) to 83,246.18
Nifty: -108.85 points (0.42%) to 25,585.50.
Sectoral Trends
All sectoral indices closed in the red, with FMCG being the only exception, which closed in the green.
Media, Oil & Gas, and Realty stocks were the worst performers, declining in the range of 1.5%–2%.
Midcap index fell by 0.4%, and Small-cap index dropped by 1%.
Nifty continues to trade with high volatility, forming a bearish candle on the daily chart, indicating a corrective bias. The index is consolidating near its 100-day EMA, with immediate support at 25,473 and resistance around 25,700. A key hurdle lies between 25,900–26,000. Nifty is likely to consolidate in the range of 25,400–26,000, with a breach below 25,400 signaling a decline towards 25,200.
Intraday Levels for Nifty
Resistance: 25,660 & 25,750
Support: 25,490 & 25,400
Bank Nifty Intraday Levels
Resistance: 60,100 & 60,330
Support: 59,660 & 59,500
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