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By Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)
India's automobile industry is expected to post healthy wholesale growth in June. Passenger vehicles and two-wheelers are likely to lead the gains, while commercial vehicles and tractors may also see steady growth. Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki, Bajaj Auto and Tata Motors are expected to be among the key performers.
The automotive sector in India will again witness robust wholesale growth in June. The demand for automobiles has been stable in all segments.
As per industry predictions, the passenger vehicle sales will be up 26% year-on-year. Sales of two-wheelers may remain robust, and the growth rate is expected at 18%. Growth in commercial vehicles and tractors is expected to be modest due to some headwinds in the form of high costs of inputs and diesel prices.
Among two-wheeler manufacturers, Bajaj Auto Ltd is expected to report a 26% increase in wholesales to 4.55 lakh units. TVS Motor Company Ltd is also likely to record similar growth, with sales estimated at 5.07 lakh units.
Royal Enfield, the motorcycle business of Eicher Motors Ltd, is expected to post a 19% rise in sales to 1.2 lakh units. Hero MotoCorp Ltd, however, may see largely stable volumes. Its June dispatches are estimated at 5.55 lakh units, up just 0.2% from the year-ago period.
The passenger vehicle segment is expected to remain the strongest performer. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd is likely to lead the sector with an increase of 31% in sales. The figure is expected to be at 1.03 lakh units. The company has benefited from strong demand for its SUV portfolio and is expected to do the same in the coming months.
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd is also expected to report healthy growth of 22%, with sales estimated at 2.05 lakh units. Tata Motors Ltd could register the sharpest increase in the segment. Its sales are projected to jump 71% year-on-year to 64,000 units.
However, Hyundai Motor India Ltd is expected to report a decline of 20%, with June sales seen at 49,000 units.
Commercial vehicle sales are forecasted to see positive growth. Ashok Leyland Ltd may record a growth of 10% to reach 16,900 units in terms of commercial vehicle sales. On the other hand, Tata Motors Ltd may register an even greater sales growth of 26%, reaching 38,200 units of commercial vehicles sales.
Furthermore, tractor sales by Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd are expected to grow 5% to hit the 55,800-unit mark.
Source: Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ), CNBC TV18
SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000006396).
Founded in 1986, Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ) brings decades of experience in India’s equity markets. DSIJ's research combines fundamental analysis with price action, guided by disciplined risk management and capital preservation. They follow a structured, data-driven approach designed to help investors and traders make informed decisions beyond short-term market noise.
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