Trade Setup for Tommorow, Know Key Support and Resistance Levels


By Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)

Summary:


The Nifty 50 index has dropped 480 points in the past few sessions, accompanied by above-average volume. This price action raises concerns for the bulls, and the initial euphoria following the India-US tariff deal announcement appears to be fading. Here's why!

Trade setup for monday

Source: NSE, Dalal Street Investment Journal 

On Friday, the Nifty 50 index opened with a gap-down, falling below both the 50-DMA and 100-DMA levels. Within the first hour of trading, it hit a low of 25,525, after which it largely traded within the range established during the initial hour. However, selling pressure intensified as the day progressed, affecting multiple sectors. The Nifty Metal index saw a sharp decline of over 3%, while Realty and Energy index also struggled, falling by more than 2%.

On the daily chart, this price action formed a significant bearish pattern with a gap-down opening, resulting in lower highs and lower lows. Consequently, the index closed near the lows of the week, approaching the 20-DMA, which had been in an upward trend until Thursday. However, after this session, the trajectory of the 20-DMA has shifted downward.

When we move to the weekly chart, several key technical developments become evident. The index has retraced approximately 50% of its recent upward move, from the Budget Day low of 24,572 to the intraday high of 26,341, which followed the announcement of the India-US trade deal. It has now closed below both the 10-week and 20-week moving averages. After multiple rejections in the 26,300-26,370 range, the index is now testing a crucial support zone, formed by a confluence of the 50% retracement level, the Budget Day high, and the 20-DMA, all in the 24,440-24,470 region.

Trade setup for monday

With a drop of 480 points in the past few trading sessions, accompanied by above-average volume, the recent price action raises concerns for the bulls. The initial euphoria following the India-US tariff deal announcement appears to be fading, with the index now moving into the February 3 gap area. If the gap is filled by a further decline to 25,108, market sentiment will shift from an attempt at a rally to a downtrend, as this would breach the key 200-DMA on the daily timeframe.

At the moment, immediate support is found in the 24,440-24,470 range, with major support at the 200-DMA around 25,293, followed by the 25,108 level. On the resistance side, immediate resistance is at 26,630, followed by the 50-DMA, which is currently at 25,772.

The 14-period RSI on both the daily and weekly timeframes is in neutral territory, though it is below its 9-day average. On the hourly timeframe, it is in oversold territory. The MACD also shows a clear weakening of bullish momentum, while the declining ADX line suggests that the bullish bias is weakening.

Looking ahead, the key focus in the coming week will be the 24,440-24,470 support zone. If the index holds above this level, a pullback rally could occur due to the oversold conditions on the hourly timeframe. However, this rally would likely be short-lived, as long as the index remains below the 50-DMA. A sentiment shift would only occur if the index manages to close above the 50-DMA. On the other hand, a close below the 24,440-24,470 support zone would open the door for further downside, with the next targets being 25,293 and 25,108.

Published Date : 15 Feb 2026

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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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