Global markets remained strong on U.S.–Iran optimism, stable inflation, and earnings growth. Asian markets gained, supporting a positive start for India. Despite earlier volatility, Nifty recovered sharply, holding firm with key levels in focus amid improving sentiment and global cues.
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Global equities staged a strong comeback on Tuesday, with U.S. markets inching closer to record highs, driven by easing geopolitical concerns, supportive inflation data, and resilient corporate earnings. The positive momentum is now spilling over into Asian markets and is likely to set the tone for Indian equities today.
U.S. markets closed firmly in the green, supported by renewed optimism around Middle East diplomacy and strength in technology stocks.
The S&P 500 surged 1.2% to close at 6,967, just shy of its record high
The NASDAQ Composite jumped 2% to 23,639, led by growth stocks
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.7%, ending at 48,535
Three key factors drove this rally:
Growing expectations of a potential U.S.–Iran agreement
Better-than-expected inflation data
Continued strength in corporate earnings
Despite ongoing tensions, diplomatic efforts between the U.S. and Iran appear to be progressing, with discussions indicating a possible extension of the ceasefire. Additional geopolitical developments, including talks involving the U.S., Israel, and Lebanon, further boosted investor confidence.
The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for March came in softer than expected, rising:
0.5% month-on-month (vs. 1.1% expected)
4.0% year-on-year (vs. 4.6% expected)
This cooling inflation trend reinforced expectations of a more stable macroeconomic environment, providing further support to equities.
Crude oil prices declined sharply, with Brent crude falling over 4% to $94.70 per barrel amid renewed hopes of peace talks. Gold moved higher, gaining 1.1% to $4,810 per ounce, supported by a weaker dollar. The U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.3% to 98.12, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield eased to 4.252%. In India, the rupee stood at 93.37 against the dollar, and the 10-year government bond yield was at 6.938%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin hovered near the $74,700 mark.
Asian equities opened higher on Wednesday, mirroring Wall Street’s strength and reacting positively to falling oil prices and improving geopolitical outlook.
South Korea’s Kospi surged nearly 3%
Kosdaq gained 1.65%
Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.72%
Topix advanced 0.87%
Indian equities witnessed a volatile session in the previous trading day. Markets opened sharply lower due to rising geopolitical tensions and surging crude oil prices but recovered significantly during the day.
Despite the decline, the Nifty showed resilience by rebounding nearly 300 points from its intraday lows, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
Sector-wise, weakness was broad-based, with Auto, Oil & Gas, and FMCG stocks leading the decline. Broader markets also followed suit, with midcap and small-cap indices slipping modestly.
The Nifty has formed a bullish recovery candle after a gap-down opening, signaling demand at lower levels around the 20-day EMA.
With strong global cues, the index is expected to open gap-up today.
Above 24,100: Potential upside towards 24,350 and 24,700
Support zone: 23,450–23,100
Immediate resistance: 24,230 and 24,350
However, the stochastic oscillator is nearing overbought territory, suggesting the possibility of consolidation at higher levels.
Bank Nifty is showing signs of strength supported by derivatives data:
Strong support seen in the 55,000–55,200 range due to put writing
Call writing pressure around 55,600–55,700 may unwind
Sustaining above support could trigger further upside momentum
Nifty:
Resistance cluster at 23,900–24,000 due to call writing
Strong support at 23,800 and 23,000 from put writing
Breakout beyond this range may trigger a directional move
Bank Nifty:
Strong base formation between 54,500–55,200
Limited resistance at higher levels could fuel upward movement
Several stocks are expected to remain in focus based on recent developments:
RailTel Corporation of India: Secured orders worth ₹564.5 crore
HG Infra Engineering: Won a ₹519.33 crore infrastructure contract
Life Insurance Corporation of India: Approved 1:1 bonus share issuance
Indoco Remedies: Cleared US FDA inspection with zero observations
Hindustan Zinc: Won a mining block in Rajasthan
Prestige Estates Projects: Reported strong Q4 sales growth
Global markets are showing renewed strength as geopolitical tensions ease and inflation concerns soften. With strong cues from the U.S. and Asia, Indian markets are poised for a positive start.
While the broader trend appears constructive, key resistance levels and overbought indicators suggest that markets may witness intermittent consolidation. Traders should closely monitor price action around critical levels as the next directional move unfolds.
Stay tuned with Bajaj Broking for more market insights and daily updates.
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