Today’s share market’s key developments include: Great Eastern Shipping expands its fleet, Vakrangee partners Tyger Home Finance, and Polycab faces a ₹3.27 billion tax demand. BSE gets SEBI nod for new derivatives, while Gujarat Gas restricts LNG supply. FIIs remain net sellers as DIIs continue strong equity purchases.
9:20 AM IST
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex rises 250+ points | Nifty crosses 24,600
Sensex advanced over 250 points while Nifty moved above 24,600 amid selective buying. Gujarat Gas shares dropped sharply after issuing force majeure notices to industrial clients due to disruptions in R-LNG supply linked to the ongoing US-Iran conflict. The company stated the full financial impact remains uncertain. Meanwhile, the rupee rebounded 51 paise to 91.54 against the US dollar as traders indicated possible RBI intervention through dollar sales. IT stocks including Infosys, TCS, and Wipro remained in focus following a strong rally in US technology shares.
Source: Bajaj Broking Research Desk.
GIFT NIFTY: Gift Nifty suggets a positive opening for the Indian market. Nifty spot in today's session is likely to trade in the range of 24,300-24,800.
INDIA VIX: 17.13 | +3.43 (25.01%) ↑ today
Treasury Yield:
The benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield rose more than 3 basis points to 4.094%.
Currency:
The benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield rose more than 3 basis points to 4.094%.
Commodities:
Gold prices rose on Wednesday as the escalating conflict in the Middle East attracted safe‑haven bids. Spot gold was up 0.7% at $5,120.71 per ounce. Gold prices are higher by another 1% in today's morning trade placed around $5190.
Oil prices held steady Wednesday, after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Trump administration will provide support to oil tankers transiting the Persian Gulf and announce more measures in the coming days. Global benchmark Brent closed at $81.37. It is higher by 1.5% in today's morning trade placed around $83.50.
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets jumped Thursday, rebounding after several days of steep losses as sentiment improved following overnight gains on Wall Street and easing concerns over surging oil prices.
Sector-Specific Indicators:
South Korea’s Kospi jumped over 12% Thursday morning trade, staging a sharp rebound from its worst session. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 4%, after sliding 3% in the previous session.
Market in the Previous Session:
Indian markets ended sharply lower on March 4th , with the Nifty slipping below the 24,500 mark amid rising geopolitical tensions. Escalating conflict and a spike in crude oil prices pushed markets into a phase of heightened uncertainty. Persistent selling by overseas investors continues to pressure domestic markets, triggering capital outflows and dampening liquidity as well as investor sentiment.
The rupee tumbled to a new low of 92.30 against the US dollar , weighed down by surging crude and persistent geopolitical risks thereby closing at 92.07.
Volatility surged, with the India VIX jumping 22% to 20.83 — its highest level since May 2025 — reflecting elevated investor anxiety.
At close, the Sensex dropped 1,122.66 points (1.40%) to 79,116.19, while the Nifty declined 385.20 points (1.55%) to 24,480.50.
Except for IT, all sectoral indices ended in the red, with Infra, PSU Banks, Realty, Media, Oil & Gas, Auto, and Metal stocks falling 2–4%.
The Nifty Midcap and Small-cap indices also lost around 2% each.
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
Index formed a small bull candle with shadows in either direction and a bearish gap above its head ( 24865-24602) signaling continuation of the corrective trend. The index in the process closed below its last month low (24,571).
Nifty on Wednesday session tested the August 2025 low (24337) and witnessed a mild pullback during intraday session to close above 24450 levels. Volatility is likely to remain elevated amid uncertain global cues and escalating geo-political tension.
Index holding above Wednesday panic low of around 24,300 is likely to consoliate in the range of 24,300-25,000.
A follow through weakness below Wednesday low (24305) can led to test of the support area of 24,200-24,000 being the value of the trendline joining the major lows of CY23 and CY25.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 24,650, followed by the 24,790 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 24,300, followed by 24,180.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 59,260, followed by 59,500, while downside support is found at 58,500, followed by 58,200.
Nifty:
Weekly synthetic future is placed near 24,494, keeping the index anchored near lower levels.
India VIX jumped ~23.4% to 21.14, indicating a sharp spike in volatility — levels last seen around May 2025.
Open interest increased ~5.2%, confirming fresh short build-up.
Highest call writing remains at 26,000, while immediate call writing is concentrated at 25,000, forming the near-term resistance zone.
Highest put writing is now at 23,100, with immediate support positioned at 24,000.
A notable concern is that put writers have shifted activity to deep OTM strikes, suggesting markets are pricing in risk of deeper downside.
Call writers were active at 24,500 and 25,000, reinforcing supply at higher levels.
Put writers have unwound positions between 24,700–25,000 while adding positions below 24,400, with the largest addition at 23,100, confirming downward migration of support levels.
The index is expected to remain under pressure while trading below 24,500, and sustained weakness could extend the decline towards 24,000 levels.
Bank Nifty:
Highest call writing is positioned at 61,000, while highest put writing stands at 59,000.
Importantly, highest put writing has shifted lower from 61,000 to 59,000, indicating a clear downward shift in support levels.
Open interest has surged ~19.2%, confirming strong short build-up in the index.
Call writers were active around 59,000, capping the upside near current levels.
Put writers have unwound positions at 59,500, 60,000 and 61,000, while adding fresh positions at 59,000 and 62,000, indicating repositioning after the sharp decline.
The derivative structure reflects weakening higher supports and increasing bearish conviction, suggesting the index may remain under pressure in the near term.
Performance Overview:
U.S. market rose on Wednesday after solid readings on the labor market and services growth lifted sentiment that had been battered by the escalating conflict in the Middle East.
Sector-specific indicator:
The benchmark S&P 500 index was up 0.8% to 6,869 points, the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite gained 1.3% to 22,807 points, and the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.5% to 48,739 points.
U.S. private payrolls jumped by 63k in February, ADP’s monthly release showed, the best showing for job gains since July last year. The reading also easily beat the expected figure of 50k.
The Middle East conflict has entered its fifth consecutive day. President Donald Trump earlier this week said his administration had projected a four- to-five week timeline for the operation in Iran.
Economic indicator:
The conflict’s inflationary effects were a key point of concern for markets, given that a prolonged war could greatly disrupt global energy supplies, driving up oil and gas prices. Oil prices rose sharply this week on expectations of supply disruptions. A prolonged rally in oil is expected to drive up global inflation, hampering economic growth and eliciting a more hawkish stance from major central banks.
On the economic front, weekly jobless claims are due Thursday.
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