US indices declined amid tariff uncertainty and AI disruption fears, while gold rallied on safe-haven demand. Indian markets closed strong previously, but Gift Nifty signals a cautious start. Derivatives positioning suggests positive bias unless key support levels are decisively breached.
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Major U.S. indices ended sharply lower amid renewed concerns over artificial intelligence disruptions across industries and fresh tariff uncertainty from President Donald Trump.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled nearly 822 points, or about 1.7%, dragged down by a steep ~13% fall in IBM shares. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 1.1%, while the S&P 500 shed around 1%, slipping into negative territory for the year.
Investor sentiment weakened after Trump signaled he would raise a temporary universal tariff on imports to 15%, up from the earlier 10%, shortly after the Supreme Court ruled that he had exceeded his authority in imposing broad trade tariffs under an economic emergency declaration.
Markets are now closely watching earnings from Nvidia, scheduled for Wednesday, which could significantly influence sentiment amid the ongoing tech pullback. Investors are also tracking consumer confidence data, along with earnings from Home Depot, Salesforce, and Snowflake later this week.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield declined over 5 basis points to 4.031%.
Gold surged more than 2% to a three-week high on safe-haven demand amid tariff uncertainty. Spot gold climbed 2% to $5,206.39 per ounce.
Oil Prices remained largely stable as the U.S. and Iran moved toward a third round of nuclear talks. Brent Crude slipped 0.38% to close at $71.49 per barrel.
The US Dollar Index traded flat around 97.70 levels.
Gift Nifty indicates a negative start for Indian markets. Volatility is expected to remain elevated due to the monthly expiry session.
Expected Nifty Spot Range: 25,500 – 25,850
Indian equity benchmarks ended February 23rd on a strong note, buoyed by optimism after the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Trump’s earlier reciprocal tariff policy.
The BSE Sensex advanced 479.95 points (0.58%) to close at 83,294.66.
The NIFTY 50 gained 141.75 points (0.55%) to settle at 25,713.
IT fell 1.4%
Metals declined 0.2%
PSU Banks rose 1.3%
Pharma, Oil & Gas, Infrastructure, FMCG, and Auto gained around 0.5% each
Broader markets were mixed:
Nifty Midcap: -0.4%
Small-cap index: +0.3%
The index formed a small bullish candle with shadows on both sides, signaling consolidation with a positive bias for the second consecutive session. Nifty has moved above its 20-day and 50-day EMAs.
Current Consolidation Range: 25,400 – 25,900
A breakout above 25,900 may open upside toward 26,200–26,300.
A breakdown below 25,372 (last week’s low) could trigger downside toward 25,100–25,200, near the 200-day EMA.
A potential double bottom has formed near 25,372, strengthening near-term technical structure.
Nifty
Resistance: 25,780 & 25,850
Support: 25,610 & 25,500
Bank Nifty
Resistance: 61,520 & 61,760
Support: 60,930 & 60,700
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