Global markets rebounded on easing tensions, supporting a positive open for India. Despite recent sharp declines, Nifty remains weak with oversold signals. Key support and resistance levels will guide near-term direction, while global cues and FII flows remain crucial.
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Global markets witnessed a strong rebound, led by U.S. equities, as easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East lifted investor sentiment. Optimism grew after signals of potential de-escalation in the ongoing conflict, with Donald Trump indicating openness to ending the war.
All major U.S. indices posted their best gains in months, supported by:
Softer economic cues from the JOLTS report
Cooling bond yields
Decline in crude oil prices
Mixed movement in gold despite monthly weakness
Asian markets also traded higher, tracking Wall Street’s rally and improving risk appetite.
GIFT Nifty signals a gap-up opening, tracking positive global cues.
For today’s session, Nifty is expected to trade in the range of 22,250–23,000.
Previous Session Recap
Indian equity markets ended sharply lower on March 30, weighed down by:
Monthly F&O expiry
Broad-based selling across sectors
Persistent FII outflows
Elevated crude prices
Global uncertainties
This led to a weak close for the final trading session of the financial year.
Sensex: down 1,635 points (-2.22%) to 71,947
Nifty 50: down 488 points (-2.14%) to 22,331
Sector-wise, all indices ended in the red, with auto, FMCG, realty, banks, and capital goods declining 2–4%.
Broader markets also remained under pressure:
Midcaps: ~-2.6%
Small caps: ~-2.6%
Meanwhile, the Rupee initially strengthened after action by the Reserve Bank of India but later reversed sharply, weakening towards the 95 mark.
Nifty continues to exhibit weakness on charts:
Formed second consecutive bearish candle with lower high & lower low
Bearish gap at 22,805–22,714 signals continuation of downtrend
Weekly structure shows consistent lower lows
However, after the recent sharp decline, the index has entered oversold territory, indicating a possible pullback.
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