Markets Daily By Bajaj Broking: Geopolitical Tensions Keep Markets Volatile | Nifty Range in Focus

    Synopsis:

     

    Markets remain volatile due to geopolitical tensions and rising crude prices. Nifty shows recovery but faces resistance near key levels. Global cues, FOMC minutes, and oil trends will guide sentiment, while traders track crucial support and resistance zones for directional clarity.

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    Global markets continue to remain volatile as rising geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran keep investor sentiment cautious. Concerns around potential oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz have added pressure, even as stronger-than-expected U.S. labour data signals a resilient economy. Market participants are now closely watching the upcoming FOMC minutes for further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory.

    Indian Market Outlook

    GIFT Nifty indicates a gap-down opening for Indian equities. The Nifty is expected to trade in the range of 22,550–23,940 in the near term.

    Previous Session Highlights

    Indian equity markets ended marginally higher in a volatile session on April 2, with the Nifty sustaining above the 22,700 mark. The day began on a weak note, impacted by rising crude oil prices, which crossed $106 per barrel amid geopolitical concerns. This led to initial weakness across Asian markets.

    However, sentiment improved as the session progressed, with the Nifty recovering over 500 points from intraday lows to close near the day’s high.

    Sensex: Up 185.23 points (0.25%) to 73,319.55

    Nifty: Up 33.70 points (0.15%) to 22,713.10

    Broader markets underperformed, with midcap and smallcap indices ending lower.

    On the sectoral front, IT stocks led gains, rising 2.6%, followed by realty. Meanwhile, auto, PSU banks, oil & gas, pharma, and consumer durables sectors witnessed mild declines.

    Nifty Technical Outlook

    From a technical perspective, the Nifty formed a counterattack bullish candle, indicating a strong pullback after a gap-down opening. Buying interest emerged from oversold levels, supporting the recovery.

    That said, volatility is expected to remain elevated due to global uncertainties and firm crude oil prices.

    Key Levels to Watch

    Upside Trigger: A move above 22,941 may open the path towards 23,450

    Range Scenario: Failure to cross 22,941 could keep Nifty range-bound between 22,200–22,900

    Downside Risk: A breach below 22,182 may lead to further decline towards 22,000–21,800

    The 22,000–21,800 zone remains a crucial support area, supported by long-term trendline support and the 200-week EMA.

    For any meaningful pause in the broader downtrend, the index needs to form a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, along with a sustained close above 23,465.

    Intraday Levels

    Nifty Resistance: 22,800 | 22,940

    Nifty Support: 22,550 | 22,410

    Bank Nifty Resistance: 51,780 | 52,000

    Bank Nifty Support: 51,110 | 50,700

    Global and Asian Market Update

    Geopolitical tensions escalated over the weekend after the U.S. issued a warning to Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz. The situation continues to remain a key risk factor for global markets, particularly due to its implications on oil supply.

    Despite this, Asian markets showed some resilience. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.1%, while the broader Topix Index gained 0.5%, marking a second consecutive session of gains as investors assessed ongoing developments.

    Stay tuned with Bajaj Broking for more market insights and daily updates.

    Geopolitical Tensions Keep Markets Volatile | Nifty Range in Focus

    Published Date : 06 Apr 2026

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    Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



    This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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