Markets Daily By Bajaj Broking: Markets Slide on Middle East Tensions; Nifty Under Pressure

Synopsis:

 

U.S. markets gained on strong labor data despite Middle East tensions, while Asian markets rebounded. Indian equities fell sharply amid rising crude and FII selling. Volatility surged as Nifty slipped below 24,500, with derivatives data indicating continued pressure and elevated market uncertainty.

 

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U.S. Markets Rebound on Strong Data

U.S. equities ended higher on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected labor market data and resilient services activity helped lift investor sentiment, which had been weighed down by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The S&P 500 gained 0.8% to 6,869, the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.3% to 22,807, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 0.5% to 48,739.

Economic data also supported the market’s recovery. According to ADP’s monthly report, U.S. private payrolls increased by 63,000 in February, beating market expectations of 50,000 and marking the strongest job growth since July last year. Meanwhile, investors remain cautious as the Middle East conflict enters its fifth consecutive day. U.S. President Donald Trump indicated earlier this week that the administration expects the operation in Iran to continue for four to five weeks. Prolonged tensions could disrupt global energy supplies, potentially driving oil prices higher and increasing inflationary pressures worldwide. Market participants are also awaiting the release of weekly jobless claims on Thursday.

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Updated - 05 March 2026
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The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 3 basis points to 4.094%, reflecting steady bond market movements.

Gold prices moved higher as investors sought safe-haven assets amid geopolitical uncertainty. Spot gold rose 0.7% to $5,120.71 per ounce, and prices gained another 1% in early Thursday trade, hovering around $5,190.

Oil prices remained firm after comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who said the Trump administration would provide support to oil tankers transiting the Persian Gulf and announce additional measures soon. Brent crude closed at $81.37, and prices were up about 1.5% in early trade to around $83.50.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index ended slightly lower on Wednesday, closing near 98.5.

Asian Markets Rebound

Asian markets traded sharply higher on Thursday, rebounding after several days of steep losses as investor sentiment improved following the overnight gains on Wall Street and easing concerns over rapidly rising oil prices.

South Korea’s Kospi index surged over 12% in morning trade, recovering from its worst session earlier this week, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced about 4%, after declining 3% in the previous session.

Gift Nifty Signals Positive Opening

Gift Nifty indicates a positive start for Indian equities. The Nifty index is expected to trade within the range of 24,300–24,800 during today’s session.

Indian Markets: Sharp Decline in Previous Session

Indian equity markets closed significantly lower on March 4, with the Nifty slipping below the 24,500 level amid rising geopolitical tensions and a sharp spike in crude oil prices. Persistent selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) continued to pressure domestic equities, leading to capital outflows and weakening investor sentiment.

The Indian rupee touched a record low of 92.30 against the U.S. dollar, before closing at 92.07, weighed down by surging crude oil prices and ongoing geopolitical risks.

Market volatility also surged, with the India VIX jumping 22% to 20.83, its highest level since May 2025, reflecting heightened investor anxiety.

At the close, the Sensex fell 1,122.66 points (1.40%) to 79,116.19, while the Nifty declined 385.20 points (1.55%) to 24,480.50.

Sector-wise, IT was the only index to end in positive territory, while Infrastructure, PSU Banks, Realty, Media, Oil & Gas, Auto, and Metal stocks declined between 2% and 4%. The Nifty Midcap and Small-cap indices also dropped around 2% each.

Nifty Short-Term Outlook

Technically, the Nifty formed a small bullish candle with shadows on both sides, while a bearish gap between 24,865 and 24,602 indicates continuation of the corrective trend. The index also closed below last month’s low of 24,571, highlighting continued weakness.

During Wednesday’s session, the Nifty tested the August 2025 low of 24,337 and witnessed a mild intraday recovery to close above 24,450. However, volatility is expected to remain elevated due to uncertain global cues and escalating geopolitical tensions.

If the index holds above the panic low of 24,300, it could consolidate within the 24,300–25,000 range in the near term. On the downside, a sustained break below 24,305 may lead to further decline toward the 24,200–24,000 support zone, which aligns with the long-term trendline connecting the major lows of CY23 and CY25.

Intraday Levels

Nifty:

Resistance: 24,650 | 24,790

Support: 24,300 | 24,180

Bank Nifty:

Resistance: 59,260 | 59,500

Support: 58,550 | 58,200

Stay tuned with Bajaj Broking for more market insights and daily updates.

Global Markets Rebound as Strong U.S. Data Lifts Sentiment; Nifty Faces Volatility Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Published Date : 05 Mar 2026

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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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