3 Key Catalysts That Could Weigh on Indian Markets’ Opening on February 17


By Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ)

Summary:


Indian markets are likely to open lower on Tuesday, February 17, due to three key negative catalysts: a widening trade deficit, a sharp rise in WPI inflation, and FII net selling. FII extended their selling for the second consecutive day.

3 Key Catalysts That Could Weigh on Indian Markets’ Opening on February 17

On Tuesday, February 17, 2026, Indian equity benchmark indices are expected to open lower, with GIFT Nifty indicating a negative start this morning. As of 07:30 AM, GIFT Nifty is trading 81 points down, or 0.32%, at 25,615.

Asian market cues are also unfavourable, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index falling 0.80% to below 56,400, extending its recent losses. Mainland China and Hong Kong are closed for the Lunar New Year holidays.

Key Negative Catalysts for February 17:

  1. India's trade deficit widens sharply due to a surge in imports.

  2. WPI Inflation Jumps to 1.81% in January, the highest since March 2025.

  3. In Monday's trade, FIIs turned net sellers, offloading ₹972 crore worth of equities.

Earnings Season Winding Down

The Q3 earnings season for Corporate India is nearing its end. While a significant number of companies have reported better-than-expected results, this hasn't translated into sustained market momentum. Investor sentiment remains cautious, particularly amid concerns over market disruptions, notably in the software sector.

FIIs Turn Net Sellers

After five consecutive days of buying, FIIs resumed selling on February 16, with net sales of ₹972 crore, while DIIs continued their buying spree, investing ₹1,666 crore in equities.

Given these factors, it looks like a challenging day for the Indian markets, with potential volatility due to the weekly expiry.

Stocks to Watch on February 17:

  • Cochin Shipyard: The Ministry of Defence has named Cochin Shipyard the L1 bidder for the construction of 5 Next Generation Survey Vessels for the Indian Navy, worth ₹5,000 crore.

  • JSW Infrastructure: The board will meet on February 20 to discuss a proposal for raising funds through a qualified institutional placement, rights issue, or another mode.

  • Lupin: The company has entered into a licensing and supply agreement with Spektus Pharma to sell the novel antidepressant DeslaFlex in Canada.

  • TVS Supply Chain: The company has signed an MoU with Italy-based ALA Group to collaborate in India's growing aerospace and defence sector.

Monday Market Action

On Monday, Nifty 50 surged by over 200 points after two consecutive days of decline, with HDFC Bank and Reliance Industries leading the gains. Meanwhile, Sensex ended its three-day losing streak.

Wall Street Observes Presidents' Day Holiday

The US markets were closed on Monday for Presidents' Day. As they reopen on Tuesday, traders will be closely watching developments, particularly in sectors influenced by artificial intelligence, which are expected to shape market sentiment in the near term.

Gold and Silver Update

As of writing, Gold is trading 0.75% lower at $4,976.85/oz, with inflation data raising the likelihood of future rate cuts. Silver is also trading down.

About the Author

SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000006396).


Founded in 1986, Dalal Street Investment Journal (DSIJ) brings decades of experience in India’s equity markets. DSIJ's research combines fundamental analysis with price action, guided by disciplined risk management and capital preservation. They follow a structured, data-driven approach designed to help investors and traders make informed decisions beyond short-term market noise. 

Published Date : 17 Feb 2026

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Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

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