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India is poised to become the world’s third-largest economy by 2030, with the IMF forecasting the country’s sustained growth. India currently has $690 billion in forex reserves and holds the fourth-largest position globally. Inflation stayed under 4% for three months.
At the Confederation of Indian Industry’s (CII) Annual Business Summit 2025, India’s robust economic trajectory was highlighted, projecting the country’s rise to the world’s third-largest economy by 2030. This projection aligns with the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) forecast, supported by consistent GDP growth, strong foreign exchange reserves, and forward-looking trade policies.
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IMF projects India as 3rd largest global economy by 2030
India holds $690 billion in forex reserves (4th globally)
Inflation has stayed below 4% for three consecutive months
Over 40,000 compliance procedures reduced to aid ease of business
EFTA to invest $100 billion in India over 15 years
Renewable power with storage costs Rs.3.30/kWh, enabling data centres
Multiple FTAs in progress with UK, EU, and USA
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India has maintained a steady growth rate of 6–7%, with potential to reach 8% at constant prices. Despite global instability, it remains one of the top-performing emerging economies. India currently holds the fourth-largest foreign exchange reserves at approximately $690 billion. Inflation remains under control, staying below 4% for the past three months, aided by sound monetary policy and liquidity management.
India continues to attract robust foreign direct investment (FDI), with EFTA nations committing $100 billion over the next 15 years. This investment could multiply into a $1 trillion economic ecosystem. Indian companies have demonstrated strong returns, averaging nearly 20% CAGR over the past two decades. This positions India as a stable and attractive long-term investment destination.
India has fast-tracked Free Trade Agreements with several nations, including UAE, Australia, the UK, and the EU. Negotiations are underway with the USA and New Zealand, aiming to enhance global trade presence. These FTAs aim to foster fair trade, improve bilateral relations, and accelerate economic progress.
Indicator | Value |
Foreign Exchange Reserves | Rs.690 billion |
Current Inflation Rate | Below 4% (last 3 months) |
Target GDP Growth (constant prices) | 8% |
FDI Commitment from EFTA (15 years) | Rs.100 billion |
Cost of Renewable Energy + Storage | Rs.3.30/kWh |
India’s commitment to ease of doing business is reflected in the reduction of over 40,000 compliances and repeal of nearly 2,000 obsolete laws. The Jan Vishwas Act promotes self-certification and streamlines regulatory frameworks, creating a business-friendly environment for MSMEs, start-ups, and large enterprises alike.
India is preparing for an AI-integrated future with policies focused on skill development, responsible AI use, and tech adoption across industries. Renewable energy, available at Rs.3.30/kWh, positions India as a hub for data centres and clean energy-driven industries, creating both environmental and economic advantages.
The nation’s growth model includes inclusive welfare schemes targeting healthcare, education, and employment. Programmes to support skill development and uplift the underprivileged underscore India’s commitment to holistic progress. This aligns with the larger vision for Viksit Bharat 2047, driven by macroeconomic stability, trust-based governance, and technological transformation.
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Source: PIB
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