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Stock Market Live Updates | Gift Nifty Signals Flat To Positive Market Open
By Bajaj Broking Team
December 31, 2025
8 mins read
Market News
Synopsis:
Today’s share market’s key developments include: Titan appoints Sandhya Venugopal Sharma as Chairperson, RITES secures a $3.6 million locomotive order, Bharat Forge wins a ₹1,661.9 crore contract, Muthoot Finance raises ₹500 crore via rights issue, IFCI monetises NEDFi stake, while FIIs sell and DIIs buy equities.
10:20 AM IST
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex gains 100 points | Nifty trading above 25,950.
Indian equities ended the final trading session of 2025 on a positive note, with the Sensex rising around 100 points and the Nifty holding above 25,950. KPI Green Energy shares surged sharply, gaining 27% over two days on strong trading volumes. In contrast, metal stocks faced pressure as Hindustan Zinc declined amid a sharp drop in silver prices, while Hindustan Copper slipped as base metal prices weakened due to year-end profit booking.
9:20 AM IST
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex gains 200 points in 2025’s final session | Nifty trades above 26,000
Indian equities ended 2025 on a firm note, with the Sensex rising 200 points and the Nifty holding above 26,000. Bharat Forge shares moved over 2 percent after securing a ₹1,662 crore defence contract. Commodity markets saw sharp volatility as silver futures fell ₹15,000 per kg, while gold eased marginally. The rupee weakened 15 paise against the US dollar. Globally, South Korea outperformed peers, posting its strongest stock market rally since 1999.
Source: Bajaj Broking Research Desk.
GIFT NIFTY: Gift Nifty suggests a flat to positive start to the Indian markets. Nifty spot in today's session is likely to trade in the range of 25,00-26,200.
INDIA VIX: 9.68 | -0.043 (0.44%) ↓ today
In-Depth Market Insights: Global Outlook, Derivatives & More
Other Asset Classes
Treasury Yield:
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury pared earlier gains to 4.125%.
Currency:
The dollar index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of major currencies including the yen and the euro, was trading near 98.20.
Commodities:
Brent crude oil futures hovered at $61.2 per barrel, having fallen nearly 18% for the year.
Spot gold is trading near $4,342.50/oz. The precious metal has gained around 65% this year.
Asian Markets
General Trends:
Asian markets were subdued on the final trading day of 2025.
Sector-Specific Indicator:
Japanese markets closed. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was largely flat around 8,703, tracking muted overnight cues from Wall Street.
India Market Outlook
Market in the Previous Session:
Indian benchmark indices witnessed a volatile yet range-bound session on 30th December, marked by the monthly expiry and Nifty rebalancing activity.
The market struggled to generate sustained momentum and eventually ended marginally lower, weighed down by the absence of strong global cues and persistent selling pressure from the FII desk.
The Sensex slipped 20.46 points (-0.02%) to close at 84,675.08, while the Nifty declined marginally by 3.25 points (-0.01%), settling at 25,938.85, reflecting a lack of directional conviction throughout the session.
On the sectoral front, Nifty Metal, Auto, and PSU Bank stocks provided relative support and contributed positively to the index. However, this strength was offset by profit booking in Realty, Consumer Durables, and IT stocks, which capped the upside and kept the benchmarks confined within a narrow range.
The broader market also remained under pressure, with risk appetite staying subdued. The Nifty Midcap index closed lower by 0.15%, while the Nifty Small cap index underperformed, declining by 0.28%.
TRADE SETUP FOR DEC 31
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
The index formed a bullish pinbar candlestick, indicating buying interest at lower levels after four consecutive sessions of decline, largely due to intraday volatility around the monthly F&O expiry.
As anticipated, the index is now consolidating, with price action driven mainly by stock-specific movements. This phase is likely to continue, extending the consolidation of the past four weeks within a broad 25,700–26,300 range. A decisive breakout or breakdown from this zone will define the next directional move.
A sustained move above 26,300 could trigger further upside, with potential targets near 26,500 in the coming weeks.
On the hourly chart, the RSI had slipped into oversold territory and has rebounded, signaling the possibility of a short-term pullback from key supports. Immediate support is placed at 25,700–25,800, coinciding with the month’s lows & also the 50-day EMA. Holding above this band keeps the near-term outlook neutral to mildly positive.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 26,080, followed by 26,150 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 25,900, followed by 25,820.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 59,350, followed by 59,500, while downside support is found at 58,800, followed by 58,720.
Derivative Market Analysis
Nifty:
In the new monthly series, both call and put writing are heavily concentrated at the 26,000 strike, clearly establishing it as the primary pivot and decision point for Nifty.
On the downside, robust put writing in the 26,000–25,900 zone signals a strong support base. However, a decisive break below 25,900 could lead to rapid put unwinding, potentially accelerating downside momentum.
On the upside, meaningful short covering is likely only on a sustained move above 26,000, which would indicate a shift in near-term sentiment.
Overall, the setup remains range-bound with a clearly defined inflection zone. A break on either side is expected to result in a sharp directional move—below 25,900 on the downside or above 26,000 on the upside.
Bank Nifty:
Call and put open interest is concentrated at the 59,500 strike, marking it as the key near-term deciding level for Bank Nifty.
Put writing at in-the-money strikes reflects a constructive underlying bias and confidence in downside support.
On the upside, heavy call writing at 59,500 is likely to restrict gains, with short covering contingent on a sustained move above this level.
Until a clear breakout occurs, Bank Nifty is expected to consolidate, oscillating within the 59,000–59,500 range.
US Share Market News
Performance Overview:
U.S. equities are set to wrap up 2025 near record levels, with the S&P 500 up 17% for the year, putting the index on track for one of its seven strongest three-year performances on record.
Sector-specific indicator:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipping 94.87 points (0.20%) to 48,367.06. The S&P 500 declined 9.51 points (0.14%) to 6,896.23, while the Nasdaq Composite eased 55.27 points (0.23%) to 23,419.08.
Economic indicator:
The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes showed a division among FOMC members over their decision to cut rates earlier this month. The minutes show inflation must come down in order for additional decreases to occur.
Stay on top of the latest market news with Bajaj Broking’s insights. Our point-to-point analysis digs deep into the surface, empowering you with a unique perspective on domestic and global stock market events. Get all the current share market news, including US share market updates and the trade set up for today, in one place to make informed investment decisions.
Published Date :
31 Dec 2025
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