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Mixed Global Cues Keep Nifty in Check; Support Seen at 25,200

Synopsis:

Price movement across global and domestic markets reflected a consolidation phase. Activity stayed confined within key levels, indicating indecision among participants and absence of clear directional cues. Overall sentiment remained cautious amid a technically range-bound environment.


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Mixed Global Cues Keep Nifty in Check; Support Seen at 25,200

Global Markets at a Glance

US equities continued their bullish momentum and closed at record highs in a shortened trading session on Thursday, lifted by stronger-than-expected June job data. The Nasdaq surged 1% to 20,601.1, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8% each. The rally was led by the technology sector, with all major segments ending in the green. In economic updates, nonfarm payrolls increased by 147,000, beating consensus estimates, while the unemployment rate eased to 4.1%. Investors also digested news of a $3.4 trillion fiscal package passed by the House, expected to be signed by President Trump today.

Meanwhile, Asian markets traded in a tight range on Friday as investor sentiment turned cautious. Despite the boost from robust US economic data, concerns over President Trump’s renewed tariff threats weighed on regional equities. The mixed global cues have kept markets largely range-bound heading into the weekend.

RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD

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1527.39.50 (0.62 %)

Updated - 04 July 2025
1530.00day high
DAY HIGH
1517.20day low
DAY LOW
6603501
VOLUME (BSE)

Domestic Market Snapshot

Back home, Indian markets remained under pressure, continuing their consolidation phase. Benchmark indices ended lower on Thursday’s weekly expiry, dragged down by persistent foreign fund outflows, rupee weakness, and global uncertainty, particularly around the India-US trade agreement. The Sensex slipped 170.22 points to close at 83,239.47 (-0.20%), while the Nifty declined 48.10 points to settle at 25,405.30 (-0.19%).

On the sectoral front, Nifty Media outperformed, whereas PSU Banks lagged. FMCG and Auto stocks saw selective buying, indicating a mixed sectoral trend. In the broader market, the BSE Midcap index dipped marginally by 0.06%, while the BSE Smallcap index gained 0.47%, reflecting continued interest in select mid- and small-cap counters.

Nifty Outlook

The Nifty formed a bearish candle with a lower high and lower low, reflecting profit-booking for the fourth straight session. The index is expected to remain in a consolidation zone between 25,200–25,700 unless a breakout above 25,600 or a breach below 25,200 triggers a directional move.

A move above 25,600 could signal the end of the current corrective phase, while further downside may be capped near the key support zone of 25,200–25,100, which coincides with the 20-day EMA and the upper boundary of the previous consolidation breakout (25,200–24,500). This area is expected to act as a strong support, exhibiting a change of polarity—where past resistance turns into support.

Intraday Levels

Nifty Resistance: 25,530 & 25,610

Nifty Support: 25,340 & 25,250

Bank Nifty Resistance: 57,080 & 57,350

Bank Nifty Support: 56,550 & 56,280

Gift Nifty indicates a flat opening for Indian equities, and the Nifty is likely to continue trading within its existing range of 25,400–25,700.

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