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Global markets reacted cautiously to the Fed’s 0.25% rate cut, with US equities mixed, gold hitting record highs, and Asian markets trading unevenly. Indian equities rose on optimism over US trade talks, with Nifty signaling bullish momentum toward 25,500.
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The S&P 500 closed marginally lower on Wednesday, as the Federal Reserve’s rate cut and outlook for two further cuts this year largely met market expectations.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 260 points, or 0.6%, while the S&P 500 index fell 0.1%, remaining close to all-time highs of 6,626.99. The NASDAQ Composite slipped 0.3%.
The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 0.25% for the first time in nine months, projecting two more cuts this year. Concerns over a softening labor market, which threatens the economy, outweighed persistent inflationary pressures. Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the move as a "risk-management" step to guard against rising unemployment.
In corporate news, Nvidia stock dropped 2.6% following reports from the Financial Times that China’s internet regulator has instructed domestic firms to halt purchases of Nvidia’s AI chips and cancel existing orders.
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U.S. Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield rose 4.5 basis points to 4.074%, after briefly dipping below 4%.
U.S. Dollar Index: Weakened 0.33%, trading around 96.50.
Gold: Reached a record high of $3,707.40 per ounce before easing 0.2% to $3,681.39.
Oil: Brent crude futures slipped 0.76%, hovering near $68.22 a barrel.
Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed after the Fed rate cut:
Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.6% to a record high.
South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.43%.
Australia’s ASX/S&P 200 fell 0.57%.
The Bank of Japan began its two-day policy meeting, with expectations of holding rates steady.
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Gift Nifty
Gift Nifty indicates a positive start for Indian markets amid firm global cues. Nifty is expected to consolidate in the 25,200–25,500 range.
Indian equities ended higher, driven by optimism around India-US trade negotiations and hopes of a US Fed rate cut.
Sensex: Gained 313 points (0.38%) to 82,693.70
Nifty 50: Rose 91 points (0.36%) to 25,330.25
Investor confidence improved as trade talks were described as “constructive” and “forward-looking.” Stronger India-US trade ties are expected to boost economic growth and corporate earnings.
Sector Performance: PSU Banks led gains (+2.6%), while Auto, IT, and Oil & Gas rose 0.5–1%. FMCG, Consumer Durables, Power, Telecom, and Metals ended lower. Midcap index was flat, while Small-cap rose 0.64%.
Nifty has formed a bullish candle, maintaining higher highs and higher lows with a bullish gap at 25,240–25,270. The index has crossed the 20- and 50-day EMA, signaling positive momentum.
Resistance: 25,430 & 25,500
Support: 25,270 & 25,200
Nifty’s recent breakout above 25,250 suggests upside potential toward 25,500. Strong support lies at 24,850, aligned with moving averages and trendline breakout.
Bank Nifty Outlook (Intraday)
Resistance: 55,790 & 56,000
Support: 55,250 & 54,900
Healthy put writing around 55,500 indicates a strong base, while unwinding at 57,000 suggests range adjustment. Sustained moves above 56,000 could drive momentum toward 57,000.
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