Global equities opened the year on a mixed note amid geopolitical tensions and key data cues. Indian markets extended their rally to record highs, supported by strong domestic participation, sectoral breadth, and a bullish technical and derivatives outlook.
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U.S. equity markets began the new trading year on a cautious yet positive note. The S&P 500 managed modest gains on Friday, supported by a rally in chip stocks, though overall momentum remained subdued due to weakness in heavyweight technology names such as Microsoft and Meta amid light trading volumes.
The S&P 500 ended higher by around 0.2%, the Nasdaq 100 closed nearly flat, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average outperformed with a gain of 0.7%, adding 319 points.
Investors will remain focused this week on key macroeconomic data, particularly the December U.S. jobs report scheduled for release on Friday.
Over the weekend, a major geopolitical development unfolded as U.S. forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. U.S. President Donald Trump stated that Washington would administer Venezuela until a new leader is elected. He further indicated that major U.S. oil companies would be permitted to enter the country and oversee oil production.
Venezuela holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves; however, output has suffered due to aging infrastructure and the impact of prolonged U.S. sanctions, which have constrained exports.
Following the U.S. action in Venezuela, U.S. stock futures remained steady and largely flat.
Bond yields edged higher, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rising more than 3 basis points to 4.191%.
Gold prices surged during Asian trading on Monday amid heightened geopolitical tensions. Spot gold was last trading about 1% higher at $4,374.92 per ounce.
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of major currencies, gained 0.24% to 98.48.
Crude oil prices also moved higher in early Asian trade, reversing initial losses. Brent crude futures for March rose 0.3% to $60.90 per barrel after news of the developments in Venezuela.
Asia-Pacific markets started the first full trading week of the year on a strong footing. Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped 2.26% in its first session of the year, while the Topix index rose 1.42% to a record high. South Korea’s Kospi advanced 2.19% to a new record high of 4,420.92, while the Kosdaq added 0.2%.
Gift Nifty signals a positive start for Indian equities, supported by firm global cues. The Nifty is expected to trade within a range of 26,500 to 26,200 during today’s session.
Indian Market Recap – Previous Session
Indian benchmark indices extended their positive momentum on 2 January, with both the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty registering fresh all-time highs. The rally came despite muted global cues and continued foreign institutional investor selling, as optimism around upcoming corporate earnings and strong domestic participation lifted sentiment.
At the close, the Sensex gained 573.41 points, or 0.67%, to end at 85,762.01. The Nifty advanced 182 points, or 0.70%, to settle at 26,328.55, marking a robust start to the new trading year.
Sectoral participation remained broad-based. Realty, PSU banks, and metal stocks led the gains, reflecting improved risk appetite and expectations of stronger earnings in cyclical sectors. FMCG was the only sector to close in the red, as investors booked profits following recent outperformance.
The broader market mirrored benchmark strength, indicating healthy market breadth. The Nifty Midcap and Smallcap indices closed higher by 1.01% and 0.72% respectively.
The Nifty formed a strong bullish candle, registering a higher high and higher low and closing above its previous swing high. This reinforces the prevailing uptrend. The index continues to trade comfortably above key moving averages, confirming underlying strength and the potential for further upside.
A breakout above the 5-week consolidation range of 26,300 to 25,700 opens the door for upside toward 26,500 initially, followed by the 26,800–26,900 zone from a short-term perspective.
The overall structure remains positive, and a buy-on-declines strategy is favored as long as the index sustains above the 26,000 mark.
Intraday Levels for Nifty
Resistance: 26,430 and 26,500
Support: 26,290 and 26,200
Bank Nifty Intraday Levels
Resistance: 60,450 and 60,600
Support: 60,030 and 59,850
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