High Conviction MTF Pick: HDFC Bank Targets 13% Upside

Summary:


HDFC Bank has formed a strong base near the ₹880–₹910 support zone, backed by the 52-week EMA and the change of polarity concept. Improving momentum and solid technical structure point to a medium-term opportunity in the ₹905–₹925 range, targeting ₹1,040 over six months.

Source: Bajaj Broking Research Report

HDFC Bank has demonstrated resilience after a two-month correction, consolidating near a critical support zone. Following the CY25 up move from ₹806 to ₹1,020, the stock has undergone a healthy pullback, retracing roughly 50% of its recent rally. The ongoing corrective phase appears to be nearing exhaustion, as per price action observations.

The current price action highlights a base-building formation near the ₹880–₹910 zone, a region reinforced by multiple technical support factors. This structure sets the stage for a potential trend resumption on the upside.

Hdfc Bank Ltd

Trade

903.9-16.69 (-1.81 %)

Updated - 13 February 2026
928.20day high
DAY HIGH
901.00day low
DAY LOW
50188359
VOLUME (BSE)

Key Levels

Parameter

Details

Buying Range

₹905–₹925

Target

₹1,040

Return Opportunity

13%

Time Period

6 Months

Technical Outlook

HDFC Bank has established a solid base near the ₹880–₹910 support zone. This area aligns with three critical technical confluences:

First, the zone represents a 50% retracement of the CY25 upward move from ₹806 to ₹1,020. Second, the 52-week EMA is positioned around ₹930, providing dynamic support. Third, this region marks the previous major breakout area near ₹910, which is now reversing its role to act as support, in line with the change of polarity concept.

Structurally, the stock's two-month consolidation has absorbed selling pressure, indicating potential base formation. Such price behaviour typically signals healthy base formation rather than trend exhaustion, supporting the case for a fresh upside leg.

The upside target of ₹1,040 corresponds to the trendline resistance connecting recent highs and the 123.6% external retracement of the current correction (₹1,020–₹905). This level represents a technically logical profit-taking zone for the anticipated rally.

Momentum Structure

The weekly stochastic oscillator has bounced from oversold territory and recently triggered a bullish crossover above its 3-period moving average. This improvement in momentum validates the positive price structure and supports the emerging bullish bias.

The combination of price stabilisation near key support levels and improving momentum indicators creates a favourable risk-reward setup for potential entry in the ₹905–₹925 range.

Published Date : 13 Feb 2026

Disclaimer :

Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing. This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

The information on this website is provided on "AS IS" basis. Bajaj Broking (BFSL) does not warrant the accuracy of the information given herein, either expressly or impliedly, for any particular purpose and expressly disclaims any warranties of merchantability or suitability for any particular purpose. While BFSL strives to ensure accuracy, it does not guarantee the completeness, reliability, or timeliness of the information. Users are advised to independently verify details and stay updated with any changes.

The information provided on this website is for general informational purposes only and is subject to change without prior notice. BFSL shall not be responsible for any consequences arising from reliance on the information provided herein and shall not be held responsible for all or any actions that may subsequently result in any loss, damage and or liability. Interest rates, fees, and charges etc., are revised from time to time, for the latest details please refer to our Pricing page.

Neither the information, nor any opinion contained in this website constitutes a solicitation or offer by BFSL or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service.

BFSL is acting as distributor for non-broking products/ services such as IPO, Mutual Fund, Insurance, PMS, and NPS. These are not Exchange Traded Products. For more details on risk factors, terms and conditions please read the sales brochure carefully before investing.


Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

[ Read More ]

For more disclaimer, check here : https://www.bajajbroking.in/disclaimer

Read More Blogs

Our Secure Trading Platforms

Level up your stock market experience: Download the Bajaj Broking App for effortless investing and trading

Bajaj Broking App Download

11 lakh+ Users

icon-with-text

4.8 App Rating

icon-with-text

4 Languages

icon-with-text

₹7,900+ Cr MTF Book

icon-with-text