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Markets declined globally as trade tensions and inflation resurfaced. The Nifty slipped below 24,800 amid FII outflows. Volatility remains high with key events like the RBI policy and U.S. jobs data set to influence market direction.
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Global equity markets ended largely in the red as investors digested a mix of economic data, earnings reports, and escalating trade tensions. U.S. markets saw renewed inflationary concerns after the June PCE data hinted at rising consumer prices, amplified by fresh tariffs. The S&P 500 fell 0.4%, the Dow Jones shed 0.7%, and the Nasdaq remained largely flat.
Meanwhile, Asian equities extended their losing streak for the sixth consecutive session. The Nikkei slipped 0.6% and Australia’s ASX 200 declined nearly 1%, as strong tech earnings failed to lift overall sentiment, which remained clouded by trade worries and cautious central bank commentary.
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On monthly expiry day, Indian markets witnessed significant intraday volatility. The Nifty climbed as high as 24,956 but fell sharply in the second half, closing at 24,768.38, down 0.35%. The Sensex dropped 296.28 points to 81,185.58, marking a 0.36% decline.
The broader market remained weak:
Nifty Midcap: -0.93%
Nifty Smallcap: -1.05%
Sectoral Highlights
Strength: FMCG, Media
Weakness: Oil & Gas, Pharma, Metals (each fell ~1.5%)
The pressure was exacerbated by U.S. tariffs on Indian exports, triggering heavy FII outflows and denting investor confidence.
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Nifty formed a bull candle with a long upper shadow, underscoring the ongoing consolidation phase around the 100-day EMA. Volatility is expected to remain elevated with key events such as:
RBI Policy Meeting (Next Week)
U.S. Payroll Data Release
U.S.-India Trade Developments
Nifty Range:
Likely to trade between 24,500–25,000 in the near term. A breakout on either side may define the next directional trend.
Key Support Levels:
24,600
24,400 (confluence of prior swing low, 100-D EMA, and key retracement level)
Intraday Levels – Nifty
Resistance: 24,860 & 25,000
Support: 24,600 & 24,510
Bank Nifty Intraday Levels
Resistance: 56,330 & 56,600
Support: 55,500 & 55,280
Market reaction to ongoing U.S. tariff announcements
Impact of RBI rate decision next week
Developments in the U.S. labor market and inflation outlook
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