Global equities declined after strong US PPI data and escalating US-Iran tensions triggered risk-off sentiment. Oil and gold rallied while bond yields eased. Asian markets fell, and Gift Nifty suggests a weak start for Indian indices amid rising volatility.
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Global markets started the week on a weak footing as a combination of macroeconomic concerns and escalating geopolitical tensions triggered a sharp risk-off move across asset classes.
U.S. benchmark indices declined sharply in Friday’s session after January’s Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.5% month-over-month, denting hopes of an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Adding to investor anxiety were rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran, along with concerns around artificial intelligence’s disruptive impact on the U.S. labor market.
On Friday:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 715 points (1.63%) to 48,694.51
The S&P 500 declined 0.94% to 6,844.25
The Nasdaq Composite slipped 1.08% to 22,632.30
Over the weekend, geopolitical tensions escalated significantly as U.S.–Israel strikes on Iran reportedly claimed the life of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Iran retaliated with missile strikes targeting Israeli and U.S. assets in the Gulf region, sharply increasing risks for global energy markets.
Stock futures tumbled in overnight trade as oil prices surged, reflecting growing instability in the Middle East.
Other Asset Classes: Oil Surges, Gold Gains, Yields Fall
The geopolitical shock led to a classic flight to safety:
Crude Oil: Brent crude jumped nearly 6% to around $76.50 amid fears of supply disruptions.
Gold: Spot gold rose over 1.4% to $5,338 per ounce in Asian trade as investors sought safe-haven assets.
U.S. 10-Year Yield: Fell over 5 basis points to 3.962%, indicating bond buying.
Dollar Index: Marginally lower at 97.61.
Asian Markets: Broad-Based Weakness
Asia-Pacific markets opened sharply lower as the Iran conflict escalated.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped nearly 2% at the open.
Topix declined 2.1%.
South Korean markets remained closed for a public holiday.
GIFT Nifty signals a negative opening for Indian markets.
Nifty Spot is likely to trade in the 24,900–25,350 range today amid elevated volatility.
Indian Market Recap: Broad-Based Selling Pressure
Indian benchmark indices ended lower on February 27 amid weak global cues and heightened geopolitical tensions.
At close:
BSE Sensex fell 961.42 points (1.17%) to 81,287.19
Nifty 50 declined 317.90 points (1.25%) to 25,178.65
Broader markets were also under pressure, with midcap and smallcap indices slipping around 1% each.
On a weekly basis, both Sensex and Nifty declined approximately 1.5%.
Losers: Auto, Banking, FMCG, Metal, Realty (down 1–2%)
Gainers: IT, Media, Consumer Durables
Nifty Outlook (Short-Term)
Technically, Nifty formed a sizable bearish candle with a lower high and lower low, signaling a corrective bias. The index closed just below the 200-day EMA.
Key Observations:
Breached the lower band of the 25,900–25,400 consolidation range.
Closed below 25,200, confirming breakdown momentum.
Volatility likely to remain elevated amid global uncertainty.
Bias remains negative below 25,400 (immediate resistance).
A sustained break below 25,141 (last week’s low) could open downside towards 25,000–24,800, aligning with the 52-week EMA and key retracement levels.
Intraday Levels
Nifty
Resistance: 25,250 | 25,350
Support: 25,020 | 24,900
Bank Nifty
Resistance: 60,680 | 60,900
Support: 60,100 | 59,800
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