Bajaj Broking Research Desk's High Conviction MTF Pick: Jayaswal Neco Industries Targets 18% Upside

    Synopsis:


    Jayaswal Neco Industries Ltd. has stabilised its operations and balance sheet through asset monetisation, refinancing, and capacity ramp-ups. The company operates two captive iron ore mines in Chhattisgarh with a combined operational capacity of 3 MTPA, alongside a 1.5 MTPA pellet plant. The report outlines a target price of ₹124, based on 5x EV/EBITDA on FY28E earnings, with an 18% upside from the current market price of ₹105.

    Bajaj Broking Research Desk has identified Jayaswal Neco Industries Ltd. (JNIL) as a high conviction MTF pick. The company is the flagship entity of the NECO Group of Industries and has stabilised its operations and balance sheet through asset monetisation, refinancing, and capacity ramp-ups. JNIL operates as a cost-efficient steel producer with captive mines, pelletisation, power generation, and downstream steel capacity.

    JNIL has established an operational presence across two captive iron ore mines in Chhattisgarh — Metabodeli, with a mining capacity of 1 MTPA valid until 2052, and Chotedongar, with production capacity extending up to 6 MTPA and mine validity until 2055. The company is currently operating at a combined iron ore mining capacity of 3 MTPA against an approved operational capacity of 4 MTPA, while an additional 3 MTPA expansion remains under approval.

    Trade Setup

    Parameter

    Level

    CMP

    ₹105

    Target Price

    ₹124

    Upside

    18%

    Market Cap

    ₹103.99 bn

    High / Low

    ₹117 / ₹34.8

    Financial Summary

    Particulars

    FY26E

    FY27E

    FY28E

    Revenue (Rs Mn)

    71,318

    1,29,250

    1,49,500

    EBITDA (Rs Mn)

    13,275

    20,680

    25,415

    PAT (Rs Mn)

    4,631

    11,452

    15,551

    EPS

    4.8

    11.8

    16.0

    EBITDA Margin

    18.6%

    16.0%

    17.0%

    PAT Margin

    6.5%

    8.9%

    10.4%

    P/E

    14.3

    5.8

    4.3

    ROE

    16.3%

    27.5%

    27.2%

    ROCE

    25.0%

    33.5%

    36.4%

    Investment Rationale

    Iron Ore Mining Operations – Strong Captive Resource Advantage

    JNIL has established operational presence across two captive iron ore mines in Chhattisgarh — Metabodeli, with a mining capacity of 1 MTPA valid until 2052, and Chotedongar, with production capacity extending up to 6 MTPA and mine validity until 2055. Currently, the company is operating at a combined iron ore mining capacity of 3 MTPA against an approved operational capacity of 4 MTPA, while an additional 3 MTPA expansion remains under approval.

    Pelletisation and Beneficiation – EBITDA Accretive Expansion

    JNIL currently operates a 1.5 MTPA pellet plant. The company has announced plans to expand this capacity with another 1.5 MTPA with a capex of ₹7,200 mn, contingent on funding and cash flows over the next two years. Given the pellet margins of ₹1,000–1,500 per ton for low-cost miners, this expansion is expected to generate substantial incremental EBITDA.

    Jayaswal Neco Industr Ltd

    Trade

    90.990.66 (0.73 %)

    Updated - 03 July 2026
    93.75day high
    DAY HIGH
    90.60day low
    DAY LOW
    3731995
    VOLUME (BSE)

    Strengthening the Balance Sheet through Debt Refinancing

    As of March 31, 2025, the company's debt stands at approximately ₹21,179 mn. In FY 2025-26, the company achieved financial closure for debt refinance through issuance of lower-rate NCDs and internal accruals, with liquidity further augmented by working capital. Furthermore, 100% of the promoter's shareholding (61.2% as on 31 December 2025) will be pledged with new lenders, with 50% to be released post 50% of the repayment, enhancing financial flexibility.

    Valuation

    The target price of ₹124 is arrived at by applying a 5x EV/EBITDA multiple on FY28E earnings. Key monitorables include the ramp-up of iron ore mining capacity, execution of the pellet plant expansion, progress on debt refinancing, and timely realisation of operating leverage benefits.

    Published Date : 14 May 2026

    Disclaimer :

    Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing. This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

    The information on this website is provided on "AS IS" basis. Bajaj Broking (BFSL) does not warrant the accuracy of the information given herein, either expressly or impliedly, for any particular purpose and expressly disclaims any warranties of merchantability or suitability for any particular purpose. While BFSL strives to ensure accuracy, it does not guarantee the completeness, reliability, or timeliness of the information. Users are advised to independently verify details and stay updated with any changes.

    The information provided on this website is for general informational purposes only and is subject to change without prior notice. BFSL shall not be responsible for any consequences arising from reliance on the information provided herein and shall not be held responsible for all or any actions that may subsequently result in any loss, damage and or liability. Interest rates, fees, and charges etc., are revised from time to time, for the latest details please refer to our Pricing page.

    Neither the information, nor any opinion contained in this website constitutes a solicitation or offer by BFSL or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service.

    BFSL is acting as distributor for non-broking products/ services such as IPO, Mutual Fund, Insurance, PMS, and NPS. These are not Exchange Traded Products. For more details on risk factors, terms and conditions please read the sales brochure carefully before investing.


    Content Partner - Dalal Street Investment Journal Wealth Advisory Private Limited



    This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. DSIJ Wealth Advisory Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (Reg. No: INH000006396) and Investment Adviser (Reg. No: INA000001142). Please consult your financial adviser before investing. 

    For more disclaimer, check here : https://www.bajajbroking.in/disclaimer

    Read More Blogs

    Our Secure Trading Platforms

    Level up your stock market experience: Download the Bajaj Broking App for effortless investing and trading

    QR code to download Bajaj Broking App

    9 lakh+ Users

    icon-with-text

    4.9 App Rating

    icon-with-text

    4 Languages

    icon-with-text

    ₹7,300 Cr+ MTF Book

    icon-with-text