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Stock to Buy: JSW Energy, Upside Potential of 15% in Next 12 Months

Let’s talk about one of India’s biggest names in the energy space – JSW Energy. If you're someone who's looking to diversify their portfolio into clean energy and power infrastructure, this might be worth a closer look. The company isn’t just building power plants – it’s laying down the blueprint for India’s energy transition. And it’s doing so at a pretty aggressive pace.

So, what’s JSW Energy really up to?

Think of JSW Energy’s “Strategy 3.0” like a roadmap for the future, a plan that aims to triple its power generation and create a massive energy storage network. By FY2030, they want to hit:

  • 30 GW of generation capacity

  • 40 GWh of storage capacity

Where do they stand today? As of Q1 FY26:

  • 12.7 GW already installed

  • 12.9 GW under construction, all backed by long-term Power Purchase Agreements (so revenue visibility is strong)

  • 4.5 GW at LOI/LOA stage

They’ve basically locked in the entire 30 GW target.

JSW ENERGY LIMITED

Trade

537.826.14 (5.10 %)

Updated - 04 August 2025
539.90day high
DAY HIGH
512.30day low
DAY LOW
9051726
VOLUME (BSE)

Growth via Smart Acquisitions

JSW’s growth isn’t just organic – it's also driven by acquisitions. A few standout moves:

  • KSK Mahanadi (Thermal): 3.6 GW total, of which 1.8 GW is already operational. The rest is commissioning-ready.

  • O2 Power (Renewables): Brought in 4.7 GW worth of solar and wind potential, including land and grid tie-ins.

Betting Big on Storage

Storage is going to be huge as India’s grid becomes more dynamic. And JSW Energy is ahead of the curve:

  • Locked in 29.4 GWh so far

  • Two pumped hydro storage projects (12 GWh each) with Maharashtra and UP

  • Active in BESS (Battery Energy Storage Systems)

  • Currently involved in legal proceedings with APTEL over SECI’s BESS tenders

Project Execution? Pretty Impressive

In FY25 alone, JSW commissioned 1.3 GW of wind capacity, which is nearly one-third of all wind additions in India that year. To sustain this momentum:

  • They’re building in-house blade manufacturing units

  • That enables faster execution and better cost control, and supports domestic manufacturing norms

Money Matters: What the Numbers Say

JSW has outlined a ₹1.3 trillion capital plan through FY2030. Here's what their financial trajectory looks like:

Metric

FY25

FY26E

FY27E

Revenue (₹ mn)

117,454

209,155

237,042

EBITDA (₹ mn)

52,436

107,802

131,127

PAT (₹ mn)

19,509

29,909

36,387

EPS (₹)

11.18

16.91

20.06

ROE (%)

7

13

15

ROCE (%)

5

4

6

EBITDA Margin

45

52

55

PAT Margin

17

14

15

Shareholding snapshot (Q1 FY26):

  • Promoters: 69.26%

  • FIIs: 12.36%

  • DIIs: 11.43%

  • Others: 6.93%

Technicals in a Nutshell

Here’s where it gets interesting for chart-watchers. The stock went from ₹205 to ₹804 (Mar 2023–Sep 2024) and has been moving sideways for 10 months.

  • It’s currently forming a base in the ₹420–₹450 range

  • This zone aligns with the 200-week EMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement

  • A symmetrical triangle is shaping up, implying a potential move toward ₹598 if it breaks out

  • Support lies near ₹470–₹480 – a key zone to watch

  • RSI is picking up, hovering near the short-term moving average – a bullish signal

Source - Bajaj Broking Research Desk

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