Today’s share market’s key developments include: Surya Roshni secured a ₹105-crore Gujarat pipe order, Eris Lifesciences moved to acquire the remaining 30 percent of Swiss Parenteral for ₹423 crore, HUDCO signed an MoU with NIUA, Dr Reddy’s gained EU approval for AVT03, Ceigall India won a ₹59-crore project, and FIIs recorded net sales while DIIs logged net purchases.
Source: Bajaj Broking Research Desk.
GIFT NIFTY: Gift Nifty suggests a flat to positive opening for the Indian market. Volatility is likely to be high on account of monthly expiry. We expect Nifty spot to trade in the range of 25,800-26,150.
INDIA VIX: 13.25 | -0.40 (2.90%) ↓ today
SuryaRoshni bags ₹105-crore spiral pipe supply order in Gujarat.
Eris Life Sciences to acquire the remaining 30% in Swiss Parenteral for ₹423 crore.
HUDCO signs MoU with NIUA to collaborate on urban development programmes.
DrReddy’s gets EU approval for osteoporosis drug AVT03.
Ceigall India wins ₹59-cr annual contract from REC Power for Velgaon substation.
FIIs net sell ₹4,171.75 Cr while DIIs net buy ₹4,512.87 Cr in equities.
Treasury Yield:
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was slightly lower on Monday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell more than 2 basis points to 4.038%.
Currency:
The U.S. dollar traded narrowly mixed on Monday and closed around 100.10 levels.
Commodities:
Gold prices rose on Monday, supported by growing expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month.
Spot gold was up 1.2% at $4,113.59 per ounce.
Brent crude futures rose 1.29%, to close at $63.37 per barrel.
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets opened higher on Tuesday morning trade, after Wall Street’s tech stocks rebounded on a rally in Google parent and hopes of a Fed rate cut.
Sector Specific Indicators:
Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index climbed 1.14% in early trading, while the Topix index advanced 0.7%.
South Korea’s Kospi index jumped 2.39%, and the small-cap Kosdaq moved up 1.7%.
Market in the Previous Session:
Benchmark Indices traded in a range for most part of the session. However sharp sell-off in the last hour of trade saw the index closing the day down by 0.5% ahead of the monthly expiry, as volatility escalated amid concerns around interest-rate policy, persistent FII selling, uncertain trade and tariff developments, and broader market weakness.
The Sensex closed the session down by 331 points or 0.39% at 84,900.71, and the Nifty was down 108 points or 0.42% at 25,959.50.
Most sectoral indices traded in the red, reflecting broad market weakness, with Nifty Realty leading the decline at over 2%. Metal, Consumer Durables, Oil and Gas, Healthcare, FMCG and Media also saw notable losses. Financials, Private Banks and Pharma slipped marginally, while PSU Banks were nearly flat. The lone outperformer was Nifty IT, which managed to post a small gain, offering some support to the otherwise subdued sectoral landscape.
The broader market witnessed more intense selling and ended on a negative note, with the Nifty Midcap 100 closing lower by 0.32% and the Nifty Small cap 100 closing down by 0.85%.
TRADE SETUP FOR NOV 25
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
Nifty has formed a bearish candle with a lower high and lower low signaling extension of profit booking for the second session in a row, as index faces stiff resistance near previous all time high of 26277.
Going ahead, we expect index to consolidate in the range of 26277-25,700 thus forrming a base for the next leg of up move.
Short-term support is placed around 25,600-25,800 range being confluence of the 50 days EMA and the lower band of the last two months rising channel. We expect the index to hold above the same, hence the current breather should be used to accumulate quality large and mid cap stocks in staggered manner.
As mentioned earlier only a strength above all time high (26277) will open further upside towards the 26,500 levels in the coming sessions. The last two months up move is well channelled signaling sustained demand at elevated levels.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 26,050, followed by 26,140 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 25,880, followed by 25,800.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 59,100, followed by 59,350, while downside support is found at 58,600, followed by 58,410.
Nifty:
In the options market, the highest call writing is placed at 26,100, while the strongest put writing sits at 26,000, establishing these as the immediate resistance and support levels.
In the previous session, call writers dominated the 26,000–26,300 band, restricting upside momentum.
Put writers unwound positions across 26,000–26,200, and shifted their base lower with fresh additions at 25,750, 25,850, and 25,950.
With 26,000 emerging as a crucial support and max pain also positioned here, the index may stay within a narrow range unless a decisive move unfolds.
Tomorrow marks the monthly expiry for Nifty, making these zones highly sensitive to intraday flows.
Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty shows a mixed structure, with the highest call OI at 60,000 and the strongest put OI at 58,000.
Call writers were aggressive at 58,800 and 59,300 in the previous session, signalling firm supply at higher levels.
Put writers remained muted, offering limited support on the downside.
Max pain currently sits at 58,800, with 58,500 acting as important support and 59,000 as immediate resistance.
Overall, Bank Nifty may continue to trade in a tight band unless writers shift their positions.
Tomorrow is also the monthly expiry for Bank Nifty, likely increasing volatility and sharp intraday swings.
The S&P 500 closed sharply higher on Monday, underpinned by renewed investor appetite for AI stocks following a recent wobble just as investor bets on a December rate cut continue to recover.
Sector-specific indicator:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 202 points, or 1.5%, the S&P 500 index gained 1.4%, and the NASDAQ Composite climbed 2.7%.
Alphabet Inc rose more than 6% amid optimism that its AI model Gemini, which announced a major update last week, is closing the gap on arch rival OpenAI.
Bets on a December interest rate cut have rebounded sharply in recent sessions, with the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut jumping to around 69% from about 44% a week earlier, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Economic indicator:
A host of long-delayed economic readings are due this week, and will offer some cues on the health of the U.S. economy and thus the Fed decision.
Producer inflation, retail sales, and industrial production prints for September are due on Tuesday, while third-quarter gross domestic product data is due on Wednesday.
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