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Bajaj Broking Research Desk’s High Conviction MTF Pick: NBCC is Targeting 14% Upside

Source: Bajaj Broking Research Report

NBCC witnessed a strong advance between March 2025 and June 2025, appreciated significantly from ₹71 to ₹131. Post this rally, the stock entered a five-month corrective consolidation, reflecting a time-wise and price-wise correction of prior gains. This phase has now resulted in a structural base around ₹100–₹107, supported by long-term indicators. 

Key Levels

Parameter

Details

Buying Range

₹115–₹118

Target

₹134

Return Opportunity

14%

Time Period

6 Months

NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED

Trade

116.473.86 (3.42 %)

Updated - 24 November 2025
118.90day high
DAY HIGH
112.66day low
DAY LOW
55013786
VOLUME (BSE)

Technical Outlook

Between March 2025 and June 2025, NBCC was in a robust uptrend, appreciating from ₹71 to ₹131. Following this sharp move, the stock entered a broad-based five-month consolidation, reflecting healthy intermediate digestion of prior gains.

Structural Base at ₹100–₹107

As highlighted in the report, NBCC has established a clear base in the ₹100–₹107 zone, driven by two technical confluences:

  • 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
    A long-term trend-following indicator is often respected during primary bull markets.

  • 50% Fibonacci retracement:
    Retracing the preceding rally from ₹71 to ₹131.

These overlapping supports create a structural foundation for trend continuation.

Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation

The price has been consolidating within a six-month symmetrical triangle, which is typically a continuation pattern within broader trend cycles.

  • The coiling of the price indicates equilibrium between demand and supply.

  • As NBCC approaches the apex of the triangle, an upside breakout is anticipated.

Derived Target: ₹134

The target of ₹134 is derived from:

  1. Measuring the implications of the triangular consolidation breakout

  2. 123.6% external Fibonacci retracement of the recent breather from ₹130 to ₹98

Momentum Structure

The weekly 14-period RSI shows:

  • A constructive base-building pattern around its 9-period moving average

  • A recent rebound from this mean level

This rebound signal suggests a resumption of bullish momentum, reinforcing the positive directional bias highlighted in the price structure.

Conclusion

NBCC’s technical structure reflects:

  • Strong long-term support at ₹100–₹107

  • A  six-month symmetrical triangle

  • A buying range of ₹115–₹118

  • A derived target of ₹134 over a 6-month horizon

Based solely on the technical elements presented in the report, NBCC indicates a medium-term opportunity within the specified levels.

Published Date : 24 Nov 2025

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