Global markets declined amid fading AI momentum and reduced hopes of a December Fed rate cut. Asian markets mirrored the weakness. Gift Nifty indicates a soft open for India, while Nifty remains bullish short-term with strong support at 26,000 and targets near 26,500.
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U.S. markets ended sharply lower on Thursday as the early rally in Nvidia fizzled out, sparking renewed concerns that AI-driven stocks may be running ahead of fundamentals—especially as expectations for a December Fed rate cut continue to weaken.
Dow Jones fell 386 points (-0.8%)
S&P 500 slipped 1.6%
Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.2%
Nvidia, despite reporting strong earnings, reversed gains to close 3% lower as fears over stretched valuations resurfaced.
Fresh U.S. labour data showed job additions beating expectations for September, but downward revisions to August payrolls and a higher unemployment rate hinted at underlying softness. This mixed signal is unlikely to sway hawkish Fed members toward supporting a December rate cut.
The Fed minutes from October revealed a divided committee, and the latest economic data is expected to fuel arguments on both sides—adding further uncertainty ahead of the December policy meeting.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield: down 3 bps to 4.098%
Gold: down 0.6% to $4,058.29/oz
Dollar Index: up 0.1% at 100.18
Brent Crude: slipped 0.2% to $63.38/barrel
Asian markets followed Wall Street’s sharp decline.
SoftBank plunged 10%+, dragging Japan’s markets lower
Nikkei 225: down 1.57% at the open
Topix: down 0.72%
Kospi: tanked 4.09%
Kosdaq: down 3.01%
A renewed risk-off sentiment emerged as hopes of a December Fed rate cut faded.
Gift Nifty signals a weak start for Indian markets amid global pressure.
Expected Nifty range today: 26,000 – 26,350
Market Recap: Previous Session
Indian markets closed on a positive note:
Sensex: +446 pts (0.52%) at 85,632.68
Nifty: +139 pts (0.54%) at 26,192.15
Nifty opened gap-up and sustained positive momentum throughout the session, hitting an intraday high of 26,246 — just 30 points short of a new all-time high.
Key drivers:
Progress in India–US trade negotiations
Marginal FII inflows
Optimism across Oil & Gas, Auto, Private Banks, and Chemicals
Broad Market:
Midcap: +0.02%
Small-cap: -0.05%
Short-Term Nifty Outlook
Nifty has formed a bullish candle with a higher high and higher low — signalling continued upside momentum.
Target: 26,500 in the near term
Immediate Support: 26,000 – 25,900
Short-Term Support: 25,600 – 25,700 (20-day EMA + breakout zone)
Holding above these levels keeps the bullish bias intact.
Nifty
Resistance: 26,277 | 26,350
Support: 26,090 | 26,000
Bank Nifty
Resistance: 59,500 | 59,770
Support: 59,080 | 58,850
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