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Positional Pick: State Bank of India – Target ₹965 in 30 Days

Synopsis:


Bajaj Broking Research Desk identifies State Bank of India (SBIN) as a short-term positional opportunity. The stock has broken above a rising trendline connecting its April and September 2025 highs, signaling renewed momentum and a favorable risk–reward setup. Sustaining above key moving averages further confirms the positive bias. The research desk sets a target of ₹965 in 30 days, with a stop-loss at ₹875 and an expected upside of 6.5%.

 

Source: Bajaj Broking Research Desk

Disclaimer: This content has been published for informational purposes only. Bajaj Broking is not affiliated with, nor does it endorse or assume any responsibility for, the source material. Readers are advised to consult the original publication for complete and accurate context.

Technical Outlook

  • The stock has generated a breakout above the rising trendline joining the highs of April & September 2025 signaling strength and offers fresh entry opportunity with favorable risk-reward set up. 

  • The stock is sustaining above its short- and medium term averages highlighting positive bias. It has recently rebounded taking support at the 20 days EMA placed around 875 levels which is likely to act as key support. 

  • We expect the stock to head higher towards 965 levels being the price parity of the previous up move (787 880) as projected from the recent trough of 858, signals upside towards 965 in the coming weeks. 

  • The daily 14 periods RSI is in up trend and is seen sustaining above its nine periods average thus supports the positive bias in the stock. 

The Bajaj Broking Research Desk observes that SBIN has generated a breakout above the rising trendline formed by connecting the April and September 2025 highs, a development that highlights strength and indicates continuation of the up move.

The stock is currently sustaining above its short- and medium-term moving averages, reflecting an underlying positive bias. It has recently rebounded after taking support near its 20-day EMA around ₹875, which now acts as a key support zone.

Based on price parity projection of the previous up move (₹787–₹880) from the recent trough of ₹858, the upside projection points towards ₹965 in the coming weeks.

Support Zone: ₹875 (20-day EMA and previous swing base)

Resistance/Target: ₹965, representing the projected price parity of the prior up move.

STATE BANK OF INDIA

Trade

907.518.34 (2.06 %)

Updated - 20 October 2025
913.65day high
DAY HIGH
891.05day low
DAY LOW
13546463
VOLUME (BSE)

Momentum Indicators

The daily 14-period RSI continues in an uptrend and is positioned above its 9-period average, confirming a bullish momentum shift. Sustained RSI strength supports continuation of the positive bias in the stock.

Trade Setup

For traders looking for a short-term positional setup, Bajaj Broking Research recommends:

Buying Range: ₹902–₹910

Target: ₹965

Stop-Loss: ₹875

Expected Upside: ~6.5%

Duration: 30 Days

This structured trade plan allows traders to capitalize on the ongoing breakout while maintaining defined risk limits.

Rationale

  • Major call open interest was observed at the ₹890 strike, followed by ₹880–₹900 levels. However, these call writers appeared trapped and have begun unwinding their positions, triggering a short-covering rally in SBIN. 

  • On the other hand, put writers are showing renewed confidence, with active participation across the ₹890–₹910 strikes, indicating a positive bias and formation of multiple support zones in this range. 

  • At the ₹920 strike, call writers have largely exited, and limited fresh positions have been added at higher levels — suggesting a cautious tone for further upside in the near term. 

State Bank of India’s technical setup presents a confluence of positives: a breakout above the rising trendline, sustained strength above key moving averages, and confirmation from the RSI trend, signaling strength and continuation of the up move. Option data shows call unwinding at ₹890–₹900 and fresh put writing near ₹890–₹910, suggesting near-term support

Summary

State Bank of India has broken out above a rising trendline, confirming strength and trend continuation. The stock remains supported near ₹875 and targets ₹965 over the next 30 days. Momentum indicators reaffirm the bullish bias, offering a short-term opportunity with a defined stop-loss.

State Bank of India is a positional pick from Bajaj Broking Research Desk, blending technical confirmation, momentum alignment, and disciplined trade structure into a near-term tactical opportunity.

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