U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday amid strong consumer spending, while gold and silver advanced. Asian markets opened cautiously. Indian markets remain in a corrective phase, with Nifty near key support. Options data indicate a cautious-to-bearish bias.
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U.S. equities closed higher on Friday, though weekly performance remained negative. Strong consumer spending in August lifted longer-term Treasury yields, while gold rose amid steady inflation, reinforcing expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts.
Consumer spending slightly exceeded forecasts, and inflation inched up to 2.7% from 2.6% in July, matching economists’ predictions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.65%, the S&P 500 gained 0.59%, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 0.44%.
Concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown added uncertainty, with President Donald Trump scheduled to meet congressional leaders on Monday to discuss extending government funding.
Global equities advanced last week, supported by Wall Street’s record highs after the U.S. Federal Reserve’s first rate cut since December. Norway and Canada also eased policy, contributing to a positive global sentiment.
U.S. yields and the dollar edged higher.
Oil prices declined, while gold logged its fifth consecutive weekly gain.
Asian markets opened firm, tracking Wall Street, with China’s upcoming rate decision in focus.
Other Asset Classes:
Gold: Up 0.3% at $3,769.37/oz
Silver: Up 1.8% to $45.91/oz, nearing April 2011 highs
US 10-year Treasury yield: 4.18%
Brent crude: Down 0.8% to $69.57/barrel
U.S. crude: Down 0.9% to $65.14/barrel, supported by Iraq’s Kurdistan resuming exports
Dollar Index: Steady at 98.134
Asian markets opened cautiously, reflecting concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown delaying key economic data. Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.7%, while South Korea’s KOSPI gained 1.2%, extending September gains to 6.3%. MSCI’s Asia-Pacific ex-Japan index rose 0.4%, bringing its September increase to nearly 4%.
Gift Nifty Outlook
Gift Nifty signals a positive start. Today, the Nifty is likely to consolidate in the 24,500–24,900 range.
Previous Session Recap (Sept 26):
The Nifty fell below 24,700 for the seventh consecutive session, mirroring a broad Asian sell-off. Pharma stocks slumped after fresh tariffs, dragging the Sensex down 733.22 points (0.90%) to 80,426.46, while the Nifty declined 236.15 points (0.95%) to 24,654.70.
All sectoral indices closed lower, with banks, capital goods, consumer durables, metals, IT, telecom, pharma, and PSU banks falling 1–2.5%. Midcap and small-cap indices dropped over 2%. Headwinds included heavy FII outflows, US–India trade uncertainty, a weakening rupee, and rising bullion demand.
Nifty Short-Term Outlook
Nifty formed a strong bearish candle with lower highs and lows, retracing over 61.8% of its recent three-week pullback (24,433–25,448). The index remains in a corrective phase, with key support at 24,400–24,300, aligned with recent lows and the 200-day EMA. Daily stochastic indicators suggest a potential short-term bounce, but a decisive trend reversal requires closing above 25,000–25,100. Immediate resistance is at 24,750–24,800.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty Resistance: 24,800 & 24,880
Nifty Support: 24,640 & 24,500
Bank Nifty Resistance: 54,650 & 54,850
Bank Nifty Support: 54,080 & 53,800
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