Global markets ended mixed as U.S. shutdown concerns eased. Indian equities extended gains, supported by RBI policy and metals rally. Nifty shows upside potential to 25,100–25,400, with strong support at 24,800–24,900. Key intraday levels guide short-term trades.
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On Friday, the S&P 500 closed flat, ending the week in the green as concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown were largely brushed aside. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 238 points (0.5%), while the NASDAQ Composite fell 0.3%. Notably, all three indices hit record highs intraday.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that the current shutdown could have a larger economic impact than previous ones, though historically, shutdowns have had a limited effect on markets. The U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for September was postponed due to the government closure.
The Federal Reserve continues to monitor labor market data closely, with officials weighing potential rate cuts to stimulate hiring and investment, while managing inflation risks. Key Fed updates this week include the release of last meeting minutes on Wednesday and a speech by Chair Jerome Powell on Thursday.
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Other Asset Classes
U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday, with the 10-year yield up 2 basis points at 4.119%.
Gold climbed 0.7% to $3,884.19/oz, marking its seventh consecutive weekly gain.
The dollar weakened, closing 0.1% lower at 97.8 on the index.
Oil prices edged higher, with Brent crude up 0.81% to $65/barrel, but still headed for a weekly loss of 7–8% due to potential OPEC+ supply increases.
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Japan saw its stock markets rally to record highs on Monday, with the Nikkei 225 rising nearly 4% to 47,789 and the TOPIX climbing 3% to 3,219.90.
The yen weakened sharply after fiscal dove Sanae Takaichi was elected as the ruling party leader.
Chinese and South Korean markets were closed for holidays.
Market Outlook
Gift Nifty indicates a flat to negative opening, with the Nifty likely consolidating in the 24,750–25,050 range.
In the previous session on October 3, Indian equities extended gains:
Sensex: +223.86 points (+0.28%) to 81,207.17
Nifty 50: +57.95 points (+0.23%) to 24,894.25
Sectorally, Metal led the rally with ~2% gains, followed by PSU Banks (+1%). Midcap and Small-cap indices also advanced, up 0.8% and 0.69%, respectively.
Global tailwinds and the RBI’s dovish stance supporting credit growth have boosted market sentiment. Investors now focus on corporate earnings and RBI monetary policy impact.
Nifty Short-Term Outlook
The daily chart shows a bull candle with higher highs and higher lows, signaling continued pullback momentum.
Upside: 25,100 (61.8% retracement), resistance at 25,400 (trendline joining major highs of June & September).
Downside: Immediate support at Friday’s low of 24,747; key support at 24,400–24,600 (200-day EMA, recent lows).
Intraday Levels:
Resistance: 25,000 & 25,090
Support: 24,810 & 24,740
Bank Nifty Intraday Levels
Resistance: 55,840 & 56,150
Support: 55,300 & 55,130
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