Global markets were mixed as caution grew over delayed Fed rate cuts and stretched AI valuations. U.S. indices showed mild moves, Asian markets were mixed, and Nifty is expected to consolidate with a positive bias while key supports and resistance levels guide near-term action.
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Wall Street ended Friday’s session on a mixed note as investors awaited Nvidia’s quarterly earnings due this week, while concerns grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve may delay its anticipated December rate cut. Recent market action reflects nervousness around slower-than-hoped rate cuts and elevated valuations in major AI-driven stocks that have powered equity gains in recent years.
Expectations of a December Fed rate cut weakened notably as inflation remained sticky—partly influenced by Trump’s global tariff policy. The probability of a 25 bps cut has now fallen below 50%, compared to 67% last week.
The Dow slipped 0.65%, closing at 47,147.48, though it still gained 0.3% for the week. The S&P 500 edged down 0.05%, ending at 6,734.11, while the Nasdaq added 0.13% but posted a 0.5% weekly decline.
U.S. Treasury Yields:
The 10-year yield rose to 4.146%, while the 2-year yield climbed to 3.61%, reflecting shifting Fed expectations.
Dollar Index:
Moved marginally higher by 0.02% to 99.36.
Gold:
Spot gold slipped 2.12% to $4,082.76/oz after hawkish tones from Fed officials.
Crude Oil:
U.S. crude settled at $60.09, up 2.39%, while Brent rose 2.19% to $64.39.
Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed in early Monday trade as investors awaited key regional economic releases.
Japan:
Nikkei 225 dropped 0.63% after GDP contracted 0.4%—a smaller-than-expected decline.
Topix slipped 0.44%.
South Korea:
Kospi surged 1.78%, while Kosdaq gained 0.68%.
Hong Kong:
Hang Seng futures hovered near 26,500, slightly below the previous close.
Australia:
ASX 200 fell 0.26%.
Gift Nifty signals a flat to mildly positive start for the Indian market.
Nifty is expected to trade between 25,700 – 26,100 in today’s session.
Indian Market Recap: Previous Session
Indian benchmarks remained under pressure for most of the session on 14th November, swinging between losses and minor recoveries. A strong late-afternoon rebound helped indices end in the green.
Sensex: +84 pts at 84,563
Nifty: +31 pts at 25,910
Sectoral Performance:
Gainers: PSU Banks (+1.17%), Pharma, FMCG
Mild Gains: Energy, Infrastructure
Losers: IT (-1.03%), Auto, Metal, Realty
Broader Markets:
Nifty Small-cap 100: +0.38%
Nifty Midcap 100: +0.08%
Nifty formed a bullish candle on the daily chart, signaling consolidation with a positive bias despite higher volatility driven by Bihar election result reactions.
A sustained move above 26,100 may lead the index toward the former all-time high at 26,277 next week.
If Nifty fails to maintain above 26,100, it may consolidate between 25,700–26,100 after the recent sharp 700-point rally.
Key support lies at 25,500–25,300, aligning with the 50-day EMA, previous breakout levels, and key retracements.
Nifty
Resistance: 26,010 / 26,100
Support: 25,820 / 25,700
Bank Nifty
Resistance: 58,770 / 59,000
Support: 58,270 / 58,050
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