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Global equities stayed mixed as investors awaited the Fed’s policy decision. Indian indices extended their winning streak, supported by strong global cues. Nifty held above key support levels, with derivative data signaling a positive short-term bias.
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All three major U.S. indices reached record highs last week, supported by optimism around an impending Federal Reserve rate cut. However, Friday saw cautious trade. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 273 points (0.6%), while the S&P 500 ended marginally lower by 0.1%. In contrast, the Nasdaq rose 0.44% to 22,141.10, led by a surge in Tesla shares.
Investors now await the Fed’s policy decision on September 17, with futures markets pricing in a quarter percentage point cut with near certainty, as per the CME FedWatch tool.
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Bonds: U.S. Treasury yields edged higher, with the 10-year yield at 4.06%.
Currency: The dollar index was little changed at 97.50, on track for its second consecutive weekly decline.
Commodities: Spot gold gained 0.4% to $3,648.55 per ounce, close to last week’s record high. Brent crude futures settled near $67 a barrel, up 0.93%.
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Asian Markets
Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed as investors tracked U.S.-China talks in Spain and awaited key Chinese data releases on retail sales, fixed asset investment, and unemployment. Japanese and Malaysian markets were closed for a holiday. South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.67% to a record 3,420.23, its 10th straight advance, while the Kosdaq added 0.4%.
Gift Nifty
Gift Nifty indicates a flat to slightly negative start for Indian equities, with the Nifty expected to consolidate in the 24,950–25,250 range.
Market Recap: Previous Session
On Friday, Indian benchmark indices extended their rally for the eighth straight session, supported by global cues and expectations of a Fed rate cut. The Sensex closed 355.97 points higher at 81,904.70 (+0.44%), while the Nifty rose 108.50 points to 25,114.00 (+0.43%).
Sectoral performance was mixed. Nifty Financial Services, Metals, and Pharma advanced, while FMCG, Media, and Oil & Gas underperformed. Broader markets outperformed benchmarks, with the Nifty Midcap 100 up 0.32% and the Smallcap index gaining 0.64%. Defence stocks led the rally, driving the Nifty India Defence Index up more than 4%.
The index formed a bullish candlestick with a higher high and higher low, sustaining above its breakout trendline. Immediate resistance is placed at 25,200–25,250, a zone coinciding with the previous swing high and the 61.8% retracement of the recent decline. A close above 25,250 would confirm a reversal from the corrective phase and open room towards 25,500.
On the downside, support is seen at 24,900, with stronger support at 24,600–24,700.
Intraday Levels for Nifty
Resistance: 25,160 & 25,250
Support: 25,030 & 24,950
Intraday Levels for Bank Nifty
Resistance: 55,020 & 55,250
Support: 54,580 & 54,310
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