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What is Averaging Down?

The stock market rarely happens to move in a straight line. On some days, your chosen stocks may fly high while on some days, it may be lucky for short sellers. So, predicting the market movement is actually the trickiest part of the stock market. However, what remains constant is the stock market is always full of opportunities and you only need to apply the right strategy at the right time!

In a turbulent price movement, smart investors may often take assistance from various strategies, and averaging down is one of them. Here, instead of panicking over the dipping stock price, investors may purchase more stocks at a declining price to average down the cost of their holdings. But is averaging down always a good decision? That's the most essential question of the discussion.

Averaging down is a strategy where investors purchase more shares of a stock that they had previously purchased at a higher price. The goal is to bring down the average cost of their holdings so the profit margin requirement also decreases. In this way, even during small price movements, investors can benefit. However, this is usually a good idea when the stock price increases. So, having clarity regarding the stocks of a company and predicting the price movement strategically can be the key to successful investment. Let's dive deeper to understand what averaging is down, how it works, its limitations, and its benefits.

How Does Averaging Down Work?

Averaging down, as the name says, is a strategy for bringing down the average cost of holdings for an investor. So now, the price does not have to rise very high in order to bring profit to the investor. For instance, if a stock was running at ₹100, an investor purchased 100 shares of the stock and the average cost was ₹100. Now, when the stock price dipped to ₹70/share, the investor purchased another 100 shares, bringing down the total average cost of 200 shares to ₹85 per share. So, now the profit margin requirement has also fallen down. Unlike earlier, now price increases above ₹85 will start showing profit to the investor.

As discussed so far, averaging down has potential profit since it brings down the average cost of holdings. However, you must note that the potential for profit is only there if the price increases finally. If it falls down beyond the current price, the investor may have to sustain a substantial loss. So, it is highly recommended to have a strong exit strategy which may include using stop losses to avoid making huge losses.

As an investor, it is crucial to use the averaging down strategy along with other strategies to avoid emotionally biased decisions. It can be your fall-back cushion if the stock price eventually bounces back. You need to figure out if the price drop is temporary or has the potential to decrease further. In the latter case, it is always best to have a strict exit strategy to avoid any further loss.

Additional Read - Averaging in Stock Market

Benefits of Averaging Down

Averaging down has its own set of benefits if the price of shares goes high. So, if averaging down strategy seems a good idea to you, have a look at the various benefits it may offer:

  • Shorter Breakeven Wait

    The breakeven point, after purchasing more shares at a lower price, becomes shorter since now stock prices do not have to go as high. This is simply because the average cost per share decreases and so, the scope of profitability increases, considering the stock prices increase.

  • High Potential for Profit

    Since you now have more shares of a stock at a lower price, a price increase can bring you more profit. For instance, if you purchased stock shares earlier at ₹100 and now at ₹70, if the final price increases up to ₹130, you have an average profit margin of ₹45 per share which would have been at ₹30 (when stocks were ₹100/share).

  • Accumulating More Shares

    Another benefit of averaging down is you end up with more shares of stock. It not only adds up to your portfolio but also increases the overall profit if the price increases. You can actually purchase shares at a lower price and then sell them at the breakeven point to make a substantial profit.

Risks and Considerations

There is rarely a strategy in the stock market that has no limitations or risks. That's because the stock market has equal potential for profit and loss. All you need is careful analysis and the correct investment strategy in force. When it comes to averaging down, there are certain risks associated with the same. These may be:

  • The success of a strategy depends on whether your predictions go right. In case of averaging down, the success is only possible when the stock prices increase again and cross the breakeven. But what if it does not happen? That's where the risk lies.
  • If the stock prices do not increase or stay at a declining phase for too long, there are bleak chances that it will increase again even till breakeven. Thus, the investor ends up in a state of loss. When averaging down strategy is used, the potential losses also add up. So, the total loss may be quite higher
  • Until the stock price bounces back, you have your funds blocked. There may be cases where the stock price increase may take weeks or months. Until then, you may not be able to access the fund without making a loss!
  • Another limitation of averaging down is you commit a new set of funds to stocks that may not show a price increase. Instead, you could use that fund to invest in a more promising option that may not only bring you profit but can even help you cover the losses incurred due to the declining price of another stock.
  • When it comes to balancing your portfolio, investing in multiple stocks is a popular choice rather than keeping all your eggs in a single basket!

When to Use Averaging Down

After knowing about the strategy of averaging down, you may want to know the best-case scenario when using averaging down makes sense. Well, it is clear that averaging down is beneficial when the stock price finally increases. If it dips further or if you anticipate the probability of a further price decrease, it may be better to avoid this strategy.

Before you use the averaging down strategy, make sure to carefully analyze the performance of the company, and gauge its financial condition and market news. It is also important to understand the impact of market trends and news on the performance of a stock. In some cases, investors may overreact, which may lead to substantial price increases/decreases.

Considering the time of trade is also crucial. For instance, some shares in a particular year may perform poorly while they may shine in a different year. So, the time when you choose a stock also has a lot to do with how it performs. COVID-19 hit many sectors of the stock market while most of these sectors ended up at a comparatively better position in the succeeding years.

Last but not least, having an exit plan ready is a must. Before leveraging any investment strategy, you must be sure of how and when to exit the market if things do not go as anticipated. You may use the stop loss feature as well to limit the losses.

Alternatives to Averaging Down

While averaging down is one way of speeding up the profit by bringing down the average cost of holdings, you may also use various other strategies. The investment strategy you use in the stock market depends on multiple factors like your market analysis and understanding, the potential of a stock, circulating news in the market, etc. There are other ways to benefit from a declining stock price like short selling. If you anticipate the stock price may dip further, you may short sell to not only benefit from the declining price but also cover the loss. Or you may simply commit your funds to a different stock that may be more promising.

Conclusion

Averaging down has been a popular investment strategy among investors. Some of the leading names, like Warren Buffet, also leverage the averaging down strategy. The best case scenario to use an averaging down strategy is when you expect the price to bounce back and at least reach the breakeven. However, there are always associated risks since nothing is guaranteed in the stock market. So, it is wiser to have a strong exit plan in force.

You may also make use of stop loss so you can avoid extreme losses. In case you wish to use an averaging down strategy, make sure to have an in-depth understanding of the shares you are investing in and the stocks have high potential to bounce back in price.

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Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.

This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

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