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Stock Market Live Updates | Gift Nifty Hints at Gap Up Market

Synopsis:


Today’s share market’s key developments include: RPP Infra secures a Rs.126 crore defence order, Federal Bank plans a fund raise meeting on October 24, Ircon International wins a Rs.360 crore project, IndiGo confirms 30 Airbus A350 orders, Natco Pharma wins SC case, while FIIs and DIIs record net buys.


Source
: Bajaj Broking Research Desk.

GIFT NIFTY: Gift Nifty suggests a Gap up opening for the Indian Market. Nifty spot in today's session is likely to trade in the range of 25,600-26,050.

INDIA VIX: 11.66 | +0.80 (7.36%) ↑ today

Latest Market News

1. RPP Infra bags order worth ₹126 cr for civil works of defence staff at NADFM.

2. Federal Bank board to meet on October 24, 2025, to consider Fund Raise via rights issue, preferential allotment, qualified institutions placement or through any other permissible mode.

3. Ircon International bags order worth ₹360 cr from Petronet LNG.

4. IndiGo signs firm order with Airbus for 30 more wide-body A350-900 aircraft.

5. Natco Pharma: SC dismisses plea by Roche challenging the launch of Risdiplam Generic.

6. FIIs net buy ₹308.98 cr & DIIs net buy ₹1,526.61cr in equities.

 

In-Depth Market Insights: Global Outlook, Derivatives & More

Other Asset Classes

  1. Treasury Yield: 

    • U.S. Treasury yields rose Friday as investors’ jitters over a potential credit crisis in the banking sector eased. The 10-year Treasury yield was up 3 basis points to 4.005%.

  2. Currency:

  • The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency against six of its counterparts, headed for a 0.44% slide this week. It closed flat on Friday, placed around 98.2 levels.

  1. Commodities:

    • Spot gold was down 2.6% at $4,211.48 per ounce.

    • Oil prices were little changed on Friday, but posted a weekly loss of more than 2%. Brent crude futures on Friday rose 0.38%, to close at $61.29 a barrel.

Asian Markets

  1. General Trends:

    • Asia-Pacific markets opened higher Monday as investors awaited a slew of economic data coming out of China.

  2. Sector-Specific Indicator: 

  • Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.6%, while the Topix added 1.43% at the open.

  • South Korea’s Kospi added 0.36% after hitting a record high for the third straight day last Friday, while the small-cap Kosdaq climbed 1.13%.

India Market Outlook

  1. Market in the Previous Session:

    • Indian benchmark indices ended the session on a strong note, supported by short covering from FII participants and a steady inflow of funds. The sentiment remained upbeat as Bank Nifty achieved a new milestone, driven by robust buying interest in leading banking stocks.

    • At the close, the Sensex gained 484.53 points (0.58%) to settle at 83,952.19, while the Nifty advanced 124.55 points (0.49%) to close at 25,709.85.

    • On the sectoral front, FMCG, Healthcare, Pharma, and Auto indices were the major contributors to the rally, showcasing defensive strength and rotation into quality counters. On the flip side, profit booking was witnessed in IT, Media, and Metal stocks, which capped the overall upside.

    • The broader market, however, took a breather after a strong run-up, with Nifty Midcap 100 slipping 0.57% and Nifty Small-cap 100 marginally down by 0.05%, indicating selective profit taking by investors.

TRADE SETUP FOR OCT 20

  1. Nifty Short-Term Outlook:

    • Nifty on Friday’s session has formed a sizable bull candle with a higher high and higher low signaling continuation of the up move. On expected lines, Index generated a follow-up buying to the previous session breakout above a three-months symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern.

    • Looking ahead, the index is poised to maintain its positive momentum, eyeing targets around 26,000 and 26,270—key levels representing the 123.6% external retracement of the recent three-month correction (25,669-24,347) and the previous all-time high, respectively.

    • Crucial support lies between 25,350 and 25,450, the breakout zone from last week. Holding this range will confirm the bullish bias. Dips, if any, in the current truncated week should be viewed as buying opportunities.

  2. Intraday Levels:

    • Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 25,930, followed by 26,050 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 25,700, followed by 25,610.

    • Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 58,180, followed by 58,400, while downside support is found at 57,700, followed by 57,480.

Derivative Market Analysis

  1. Nifty:

    • Heavy Call OI concentration is visible at the 26,000 and 25,800 strikes, marking them as key resistance zones. A sustained move above 25,800 could pave the way for further upside momentum.

    • On the downside, notable Put OI buildup around 25,500 and fresh additions near 25,700 suggest a strong support base. A break below 25,700, however, may trigger mild profit booking.

    • Overall, the bias for Nifty remains firmly positive as long as it holds above 25,500. The data setup indicates ongoing short covering, with the potential for the index to extend gains toward the 25,800–26,000 range in the near term.

  2. Bank Nifty:

    • The 57,000 strike continues to see heavy Call and Put OI, making it a crucial pivot point for upcoming sessions. If Call writers at this level start unwinding, it could fuel short covering and push the index higher toward 58,000 and beyond.

    • For now, Call writers at 57,000 appear steady, hinting at the possibility of a short-term pullback from higher levels, with immediate support placed near this zone.

    • Additionally, fresh Call writing at 60,500 has emerged, signaling a potential medium-term resistance area should the upside momentum continue.

US Share Market News

  1. Performance Overview:

    • The S&P 500 closed higher after cutting intraday losses on Friday, as regional banks rebounded following a recent slump on credit risks concerns and U.S.-China trade tensions eased following President Donald Trump’s softer stance on trade negotiations with China.

  2. Sector-specific indicator: 

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 238 points, or 0.5%, higher, while the S&P 500 index gained 0.5%, and the NASDAQ Composite added 0.5%.

  • President Donald Trump indicated Friday that the high tariffs imposed on Chinese goods will not remain in place long-term, signaling a potential shift in U.S.-China trade relations ahead of his upcoming meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

  1. Economic indicator: 

  • Meanwhile, the U.S. government shutdown, now in its third week, continued to weigh on confidence, disrupting economic data releases and raising concerns about near-term growth.

  • Focus was squarely on a host of upcoming third-quarter earnings this week, with Tesla and Netflix set to report in the coming days. 

Stay on top of the latest market news with Bajaj Broking’s insights. Our point-to-point expert analysis digs deep into the surface, empowering you with a unique perspective on domestic and global stock market events. Get all the current share market news, including US share market updates and the trade set up for today, in one place to make wise investment decisions.

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